(18 Nov 2012) Two items: 

Item 1) What about Petraeus? (Part 2 & final part).
Item 2) What will Israel do and why? Answer: Building more houses... 

 Item 1) What about Petraeus? (Part 2 & final part). 

Ok, in the previous update from 05 Nov I mentioned Petraeus and just a few days later the guy is totally finished... Even for me this was strange, I never thought Peet would fuck stuff with names like 'KelleyPatrol' 

One of the funny things is that David Petraeus is now exactly in the corner I am in too:
You cannot use your phone or email properly because there is always somebody listening to your phone calls and somebody that will go through your email... 

Now lets set aside all that nonsense of the sex scandal, in the previous update from 05 Nov I was more or less sympathic towards David because I was running from the assumption that by now he understood the zero-one project in Iraq from the year 2007. 

And since it is now over 5 years later and he was now running the CIA, never ever I got a well deserved hit team on my ass... 

Ok ok, it is not really USA style to send death squads to foreign countries to kill only one person, that is much much more the 'Mossad style' kind of things. But the zero-one project was so big that even some USA folks could be tempted to do naughty naughty things. 

__________

But now we have all this weird kind of news coming out, I am reconsidering:

Does David Petraeus understand the zero-one project?

Just a few weeks back I thought he had gained wisdom and he understood it, now after all that news I am not so sure any longer...

Lets leave it with that.

Item 2) What will Israel do and why? Answer: Building more houses... 

At present about 75 thousand reservists and active soldiers are called into duty, so will there be a ground offensive against the Gaza strip? 

And at what point in time will this ground offensive start and what kind of circus we will observe this time?

My estimation says it could be at 06.00 this day local Israeli time, that would be the most fast execution of the reservist round up. 

If they need more time, so be it.  

__________ 

Whatever happens, one thing is sure: the Israelis will build more and more houses and grab more and more land whatever happens. 

Lets leave it with that (but for myself speaking: I am highly interested into the speed Israel can turn up a reservist call into real ground war, from the military point of view this is very important information).

__________ 

So I will look with interest at the unfolding stuff: 

End of this update, till updates my dear reader. 

(05 Nov 2012) Wow wow wow, it is about high time for a fresh update! 

We had some superstorm named Sandy refreshing the parts of NY city other terrorists cannot reach & of course we have the US prez election in a few days time. 

Since so much happened in just 3 weeks of time, just a few remarks: 

 Item 1) Just a few remarks.

 Item 1) Just a few remarks.

Remark 1: Superstorm Sandy. 

A strange and rare phenomenon, this combination of a hurricane with other meteorological things from the North. Of course such things give lots of damage, even if you were more or less prepared for storms like this.

It is just a detail; but isn't the NY subway (the metro) system a bit watery right now? 

All those years we only observed idiots trying to prevent terror attacks while all those years nothing was done to make the place more safe from extreme weather. 

Remark 2: Bengazi. 

For myself speaking I am looking in utter bewilderment at the US presidential debates as was Bengazi, Lybia, a terrorist attack yes or no? 

Only 4 were killed (the US ambassador, two marines and a vague person) and what is all the fuzz about? 

I scratch my old bold head; didn't the zero-one project from Iraq in the year 2007 kill dozens and dozens of extra US military service men? Yes or no? 

But later it dawned on me that Mitt Romney does not have access to huge parts of that what is known as 'classified information', so that makes it logical why a footcracker like Bengazi is such a big deal for the USA Republicans. 

Remark 3: What about Petraeus? 

At present date he head's the CIA but in 2007 Peet was the architect of the Iraqi surge during the zero-one project. 

Since it is now the year 2012 it is more or less inevitable he has gained wisdom.  

Over the years I like him more and more, he is not evil, but I will destroy the ways of the Pentagon anyway...')  

Remark 4: Am I a anti Semite? 

No not really, but after the Hamas won democratic elections years and years ago (wasn't that 2005 or so?) the Israelis skillfully killed all hope there was. 

So if the IDF gets a bit of shit in return, please do not complain that a reasonable guy like me pumps up that anti-Semitism until the desired levels are there. 

Remark 5: Chris Christie.

The New Jersey governor Chris Christie is an American as pure as can be: terribly fat and stupid at the same time. I don't understand why he is not running for US president: lots of USA citizens can relate to somebody that is so fat and so dumb.  

But you can use Chris Christie as a new type bunker buster: You simply put him a helmet made from depleted uranium on, put a thermobaric bomb in his ass and you throw him out of a plane from lets say, 10 kilometer high.

The Iranians will be scared as hell when you apply new bunker busters like that! 

Remark 6: Who will win the USA presidential election this week? 

I don't care, why should I care because they are both imbeciles?  

It is floating right into their face: FOR A NORMAL FUNCTIONING OF THE STATE WE NEED ABOUT ONE TRILLION OF DEBT ON THE FEDERAL LEVEL EVERY YEAR. 

So I don't care; let the strongest horse win the race! 

End of this update. Till updates. 

(20 Oct 2012) For me the news of the day is the highly interesting Beirut car bombing that killed about 8 people, wounded scores more and ha ha ha some investigator into the Hariri bombing was killed. 

So that is today's item: 

Item 1) Lessons from the holocaust: never again. 

 Item 1) Lessons from the holocaust: never again. 

A lot of Mideast Muslims totally do not understand the impact of that nice thingeling known as World War II. Ok they had their share of that old war too, but they never understood the impact the holocaust had on the average IQ levels of the surviving Jews. 

Most Muslims do not see how clever the Israeli's can be, in order to understand the Israelis your starting point of study has to include the holocaust because if you only reason along your own religious insights, you will loose it. 

__________ 

Ok, a few years back a Lebanese guy named Hariri was killed via the method of car bombs and a very important detail is still the next: 

Some short time before the Hariri killing about 8 mobile phones were bought, of course paid in cash, and those 8 phones cq phone numbers only called each other and guess what: 

After the Lebanese pm Hariri was killed they never phoned each other again. 

Once you know that small detail you also know that it just had to be the Mossad because Muslims in general are to stupid to behave like such... And in those long lost years it did not make much sense to think Syria did it either. 

So the only candidate with a high enough IQ level were the Israelis. 

__________

Understanding the Israeli's is an art in itself, for example here in my own home town we had about 3000 Jews before World War II and about 200 came back to this town after the war. As a percentage, that is not very high... 

__________

Today we have another one of those car bomb jokes in Lebanon, for my mindset it is obvious another Israeli joke but if you think otherwise it's fine by me.

Lets not do difficult, the car bomb had only 8 deaths and that pales to the six million problem of the last holocaust. In the meantime the Israelis have the benefit of more chaos in the neighboring countries while USA prez hopeful Mitt Romney knows he is pro Israel.

__________

And I am pro Israel too: They have mastered the use of terror attacks far better than I would ever dream of...

Links: 

Profile: Wissam al-Hassan 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-20004476 

Iran FM condemns Ashrafieh explosion, says he might visit Lebanon Saturday 
http://www.nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=448351 

Analysis: Bomb could bring Syria strife to Lebanon 
http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=288613  

__________

Didn't a guy named Osama bin Laden once say:

People only look at the strongest horse? 

Now did he or did he not? That was a cute insight but for today's item I only compliment the Israelis with the latest attempt of provoking war. 

Lets leave it with that. till updates. 

(09 Oct 2012) I am completely through with all those people advertising so called austerity measures! Why should people eat sour grapes while while others only eat candy? 

So I decided to put in place some very simple austerity inside the branch of math science: From now on double derivates at high costs are no longer allowed!    

Item 1) Austerity measures inside math.

 Item 1) Austerity measures inside math.

All those weirdo's that only use computing power for only the first derivate, and after that repeat lots and lots more computing power to only calculate the second derivate...

I feel disgusted, is that all humans can prop up? 

So the empire strikes back: universities should cut spending on dumb math.
If you feed dumb math to even more dumb people the result is a disaster and your country gets filled with dumb and obese people. 

Ok ok, this might not be my most brilliant math update, to be honest: any idiot could write this down. 

Lets leave it with that, till updates.  

(02 Oct 2012, update in Dutch) Lately at the other side of town in a village named Haren there were some riots related to some weird facebook party.  

On the 'rape, pillage & plunder' scale of potential social unrest the riots did not amount to much, but sheer horror, the local youth smashed the windows of a local supermarket and did indeed a little bit of plunder. 

So that is the temporary item of today: 

Item 1) De veldslag te Haren. 

Item 1) De veldslag te Haren.  

Tja, als je als eenvoudig facebooker zoveel schade kan maken met zo weinig moeite, denk ik als naïef persoon gewoon van: 

Zal ik eens een twitter account openen? Als je met facebook een rel kan maken, wat kan je dan wel niet doen met die relnichten van twitter...

__________ 

Maar even serieus, wat ging er zoal fout in Haren? 

Nou dat weet ik natuurlijk ook niet precies & in detail, maar het ging min of meer als volgt: 

1) Er kwamen meer mensen dan verwacht. 
2) Er was niet genoeg feest capaciteit. 
3) Daarna was er niet genoeg politie capaciteit. 

__________ 

Van tevoren. 

Zelf heb ik ook een inschattingsfout gemaakt van tevoren: ik heb hooguit een 5-tal seconden nagedacht over hoeveel mensen zouden komen.

De facebook statistieken gaven aan ongeveer 25 tot 30 duizend en mijn inschatting was dat ongeveer 4 hooguit 5% van die facebookers ook op komt dagen. 

Waarom het zoveel meer was weet ik niet goed, ok ok je kunt wat schuld geven aan bepaalde radio stations die oproepen deden uitgaan om naar Haren te gaan. 

__________

Niet klagen. 

Nee we moeten niet klagen, er is bijna niemand dood, de jeugd heeft een perfecte les in het ontstaan van echte oorlog en Reinko is blij omdat de locale politie nu wat minder telefoon afluister capaciteit heeft omdat blijkbaar 'andere dingen' meer belangrijk zijn.

__________ 

Wel lachen. 

Ja we moeten wel blijven lachen, maar soms heeft een mens gewoon een steuntje in de rug nodig. En geheel toevallig, mocht je zulk één steuntje in de rug nodig hebben omdat je anders niet meer kunt lachen, lees dan bijv: 

Gemeenteraad Haren steunt commissie-Cohen

__________

En daar houden we het maar bij, tot opdatums.

Till updates. 

(25 Sept 2012) Two items on the Syrian equation:   

Item 1) A short message from the War Tribunal. 
Item 2) Ok ok, as an individual I support Brahimi. 

 Item 1) A short message from the War Tribunal. 

On the detail of killed children, once more I give my compliments to the Syrian army; most of the time bombed children are related to the application of air power. And, as NATO knows rather well, very often when you apply air power it can have those nasty side effects. 

So that detail of the war goes relatively smooth, so from the viewpoint of being a referee to how wars are fought, one way or the other, the Syrian army gets my compliments. 

Item 2) Ok ok, as an individual I support Brahimi. 

Oh oh, I just forgot to do my homework last month: checking out the backgrounds of some UN envoy named Brahimi to the Syrian equation. 

Basically I know nothing about that Brahimi guy beside that he is from Algeria and he is older than me. 

I take the gamble; if former UN Security Chief Kofi Annan has a weight of exactly 1, Brahimi gets an estimated weight 3.

So as an antidote, my democratic vote goes to Brahimi.   

__________ 

Assad wants to return to ‘the old Syria,’ says U.N. envoy Brahimi 
http://english.alarabiya.net/articles/2012/09/24/239814.html  

__________ 

Till updates my dear reader. 

(15 Sept 2012) For me the present attacks against the USA & her partner Israel (because of that weird anti Muhammad amateur movie) are a sideshow. 

It is of course funny to see that 'unrest spreads to 20 countries' but we have to take into account this is mostly the 'bunch of monkeys on a rock' kind of behavior that we observe. 

Viewing the entire anti Muhammad movie is for example in the next Youtubber: 

Innocence of Muslims - Muhammad Movie - FULL HD 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAiOEV0v2RM 

The movie is blatantly simple, just like old Hollywood movies from let's say the 1950 kind of years.

__________

Far more important in destroying the US military might in the long run over poor poor Muslim countries where poor Muslims day in day out only try to memorize the Holy Kuran and forget the rest, lays in the fact we now finally have QE3 in the USA! 

__________

But it is funny to see some USA embassy's burned down, hey lets get to our item: 

Item 1) Is Ben Bernanke a 'weak person' now we finally have QE3? 

 Item 1) Is Ben Bernanke a 'weak person' now we finally have QE3? 

Yes he is, he already has over 2000 billion of crap on the USA Federal Reserve balance sheets that he cannot pump back into the free markets and now our garbage collector will collect more garbage at a rate of 40 billion mortgage backed securities a month.

Operation Twist runs at similar amounts and, as far as I can see it, it is just not enough:

What is 40 billion US$ a month given the USA population size of 300 million dumb and obese people? Well that is over one hundred US$ every month for every citizen. 

It will not help the US economy because the average USA citizen loves it far more to get more obese & stupid year in year out. 

So Ben Bernanke is definitely a weak person, but on the other hand; who is not? 

Till updates. 

(07 Sept 2012) No, I am not going to vote in the next parliament elections here in the Dutch landscape. Therefore this item is in the Dutch writing:    

Item 1) Genoeg van die onzin, ik ga niet stemmen. 

Item 1) Genoeg van die onzin, ik ga niet stemmen 

Nee, ik ga niet stemmen de komende verkiezingen.

Dat besluit had ik al een poos terug genomen en ik moet zeggen dat dit besluit veel rust brengt: Niks geen irritaties meer over politieke leiders die onzin uitkramen. 

Nee, tegenwoordig krijg ik zelfs een kleine glimlach om mijn lippen als politieke leiders de wijsheid roemen van het kopen van staats-obligaties door gelduitgevende instituties als bijv de ECB. 

Ach tja, de ECB zou dat eigenlijk niet moeten doen maar gelukkig zijn ze bij de ECB nog steeds niet zo gek als dhr Alan Greenspan was een aantal jaartjes terug. 

__________ 

Maar goed, waarom ga ik niet stemmen? 

De partij met de meeste bezuinigings voorstellen (de VVD) heeft ook alleen 'balanced budgets' ergens in een verre toekomst. 

En dat terwijl er zoveel rijp fruit ligt: in onze lieve zorgsector zijn er zoveel medisch speicalisten die zoveel harder zouden kunnen werken voor hun geldje.
En die lieve advocatuur dan: Ik zal nooit de dag vergeten dat ik mijn strafzaak had in het jaar onzes Heren 2003 en mijn advocaat stond gewoon een kopje koffie te drinken buiten de rechtszaal. 

Dat moet toch veel goedkoper kunnen? 

__________

Maar al met al is het best veel geld per dag dat we moeten bezuinigen, dat is wel 3 of 4 hele Euro's per dag per persoon binnen Nederland. 

De politiek kan dat blijkbaar niet ophoesten, dus ik ga echt niet stemmen op dat soort van mafketels...

No way. Till updates.

(22 Aug 2012, temporary update.) Wow man, this is a mighty year when it comes to military developments, for example for me it would be easy to explain to countries like Iran how to counter the latest Pentagon bunker buster.        

Link: http://rt.com/news/massive-ordnance-penetrator-bomb-bunker-buster-144/ 

For me it would be a piece of cake to explain to the Iranians how to render a weapon like that into only 8 or 10% of her supposed range: blasting through 100 yards of concrete.  

But I am not going to do that because I am not perfectly happy with the Iranian support for the Syrian Assad. 

__________

Lebanon is also highly interesting: I like the Hezbollah because you know they can put up a good fight but I also like Lebanese Sunni's because after all the Sunni's gave me the so called 'zero-one project'. 

And in the war on terror since 2001, the zero/one project is about as statistical significant as the Higgs boson in high energy physics is.   

It is again very interesting to observe how fragile Lebanon is; they are still a bright and shining example of the old colonial thingeling as 'divide & rule'. 

__________ 

Inside the Syrian equation I observed a relatively sharp decline in children bombed to death, so I decided to say 'thank you' to the Syrian army. 

And I mean that from my heart my dear Syrian army: Thanks! 

__________ 

And after having said all those military words, the Turkish terror bombing is also highly interesting. So that is our item for today: 

Item 1) Did the PKK execute this Turkish car bomb?   

 Item 1) Did the PKK execute this Turkish car bomb?

Ok ok today's car bomb in Turkey could also be a lousy executed PKK bomb but as I observe the eagerness why so many hundred's of Turks demonstrated against the Kurds, I just scrap my old bold face and say: 

Turkish people are dumb people because Israeli involvement is far more logical, please remark that only every now and than I tell you stuff like this: 

My dear Turks, is it really the PKK?
Don't get lost in emotion, by the way, what is your fucking problem with the Kurds? 

In case you never heard about the Turkish car bomb at a police station, the Haaretz says: 

Death toll in Turkey car bomb attack raised to nine  

Lets leave it with that, till updates!  

(12 Aug 2012) This one-item update replaces the temporary math update from 08 June this year. It is about how to calculate the Laplacian for functions over our 3D complex numbers.  

Item 1) The Laplacian, the 3D curl you have to do yourself (homework). 

 Item 1) The Laplacian, the 3D curl you have to do yourself (homework). 

Lets recall what we are doing: 

We copy the goodies of the 2D complex plane to the higher dimensions, but we look mostly to the 3 dimensional example. Just like the complex plane is generated by the simple statement that the square of some 'imaginary unit' i equals minus 1, we look in 3 dimensions to some strange number j and the third power of our creation j also equals minus 1.  

In the two-dimensional complex plane, complex numbers are usually written as z and functions from complex numbers are usually denoted as f (z).  

For dimensions above 2 it is far more handy to use the goody good old X as the variable.
Since we talk 3D stuff, today X = (x, y, z) in rectangular coordinates. 

__________

The Laplacian plays a rather fundamental role in boring partial differential equations like the heat equation or the Schrödinger equation from quantum mechanics. 

Quantum mechanics is loaded up to her nose with two-dimensional complex numbers, just open any book on that branch of science and the 2D complex calculations spatter from about every page in the book. 

Will 3D complex number bring any kind of relief? 

To be honest: I do not have any kind of clue...

__________

End of the bla bla bla, here is the Laplacian for functions as defined on the space of 3D complex numbers into herself. So f (X) is a 3D complex number for every X and not some funny injection into linear operators or so. 

And the curl? 

That is your homework my dear colleagues in math: just like the Laplacian express it in differentiation into the direction of the real axis.  

Good luck with it & till updates. 

 (03 Aug 2012, temporary update on Syria)  

As usual in the heat of summer a lot happens day in day out, but it was funny that Kofi Annan gave up his 'peace bringing role' when it comes to the Syrian equation. 

Needless to remark again that I decided to skip that Russian military navy base in Syria, so whatever the outcome of this crisis, the Russians will no longer have a military base over there.  

We must take into account that the Russians might be very good at drinking Vodka, but I want Assad dead because he made a weird kind of brew with all those vague semi-military-security forces. The Assad guy simply doesn't cough up enough battlefield discipline, so he is dead meat.   

So drink some more Vodka my dear Russians...

__________ 

BBC version of the latest developments of a detail inside the Syrian equation: 

Russia says UN vote undermines peace efforts in Syria 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-19121983 

__________ 

Lets leave it with that, good luck my dear Syrians! 

Till updates.  

(25 July 2012) Two items:  

Item 1) A War Tribunal message on the Syrian equation.
Item 2) Clyde Davenport on hyper-complex numbers & the impending rapture... 

 Item 1) A War Tribunal message on the Syrian equation. 

After a long wait I have decided that Russia will loose her only significant foreign navy base in Syria. It was a long wait because ending the Russian naval base harms global equilibrium of military power.

And that, my dear reader, is always a dangerous thing to do. 

Sorry my dear Russia; it is over and you have just lost your Syrian naval base. 

__________ 

It was a long wait because I need now more fire power to cage in the other military powers pulling at Syria. And I don't like that because may be I have other things to do... 

The sudden rapture of possible chemical warfare is a sideshow until now, but if indeed the Syrian army has that capability, any fool could see against what nation such weird chemo stuff has to be deployed. 

__________

Lets leave it with that, but I wish both the Syrian army as the rebel fighters good luck. 

If you want to make war, so be it, I wish you good luck. 

__________

End of the War Tribunal message.  

Item 2) Clyde Davenport on hyper-complex numbers & the impending rapture... 

I found an American guy that is extremely good in expanding complex function theory into more dimensions. Ok ok, it is only a four dimensional kind of theory, but I liked it a lot.

Check it out at: 

Commutative Hypercomplex Mathematics 
http://home.comcast.net/~cmdaven/hyprcplx.htm 

But Clyde is also an American, and although Americans can be smart every now and then, on average, they have a severe 'rapture problem' deeply rooted in their society. 

If you need a joke you can get one: 

Clyde on the possibility of time travel; it could cause a rapture. 

Apocalyptic Visions of the Past 
http://home.comcast.net/~cmdaven/apocal.htm 

But serious: all those rapture fantasies that vividly live inside the USA could also partially explain why the Americans behave so weird every now and then: 

1) Selling mortgages on over priced homes to people that can never ever afford these kind of homes in the first place? This generation the rapture will be there, so who cares? 

2) Laziness & obesity on the rise? No problem, the rapture is right around the corner, so lets sit on the couch waiting for the rapture. 

3) Crazy levels of debt growth? Don't worry, the impending rapture will take care of it! 

Oh oh Americans and their rapture, more in for example a wiki: 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapture 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapture  

__________

That's it, after all biology is the study of things that stay alive so let me be careful with demolishing the last foreign Russian naval base... 

Till updates. 

(18 July 2012, temporary update on the LIBOR interest rates)  

Item 1) Is the LIBOR scandal a true scandal or just a symptom? 

 Item 1) Is the LIBOR scandal a true scandal or just a symptom?

My dear reader, in a real world where financial authorities know how to run a fiat money system of course such things as LIBOR or Euribor or whatever free market rates between banks are, would be very important. 

Now in these last years since our beloved 'credit crisis' broke out, did I ever dive into details on how LIBOR behaved? Because after all, inside our beloved fiat money system debt growth has the amazing property of always being above the capability of paying back your debt obligations. 
No, all those years I never felt such a desire as to comment on LIBOR rates.

On the large scale of things, the debt monsters need lower and lower interest rates. 

And that is more or less what happened in many places, let it be Central Banks or places like Barclays, it is all irrelevant: 

The debt huggers need their low interest rates... 

__________ 

No it is not a scandal, it is now the year 2012 and if by now you think it is scandal, you are one of those imbeciles not understanding how our fiat money system has derailed. 

It is not that hard to run a fiat money system, but if fresh credit is always too cheap in the end you just cannot fulfill your 'pay the money back' obligations and you start complaining about too high interest rates. 

That is what we are observing, the rest is irrelevant. 

Even the folks that think the LIBOR scandal is a 'scandal' are irrelevant, just like those same people were years ago. 

__________ 

Lets leave it with that & let the financial circus continue.  

Till updates. 

(07 July 2012) Since this week a possible proof of existence of the Higgs boson was announced, one way or the other it just had to be a good week.  

So I decided to throw in my 50 cents too and I tried to repair the computer a little bit and tried to squeeze some math text out of it... And after just a few hours the computer  worked a bit more properly! That was great.

Item 1) More math: more generalized Cauchy-Riemann equations. 

 Item 1) More math: more generalized Cauchy-Riemann equations. 

One way or the other this just has to be a good week. So since I wanted to throw in my 50 cents during all this "God's  particle" is found kind of stuff, why not throw in a representation of the generalized Cauchy-Riemann equations that shed more light on the general theory in finite dimensions? 

Why not? 

As you see on inspection: This is how the generalized CR-equations look when you write it down with the chain rule for differentiation in mind. 

Basically it is fucking simple: all you need to do is copy the relevant idea's from the complex plane to the higher dimensions. And, for example, if you want to differentiate a complex function f(z) all you have to do is taking the derivate into the real direction... 

Ok, lets leave it with that. Till updates. 

Update from later: ok ok now it is two days later and may be I drunk too much beer or just not enough, but anyway, what is life without taking a good old fashioned limit? 

It would be worthless, a life without the possibility of taking it to the limit would be without any kind of value. So ensure all your basis vectors are invertible! 

Lets leave it with that, till updates. 

(02 July 2012) Just a small item about how hacked telephones work in daily life in my native Dutch country. I am sorry but it is in the Dutch language, so it is more a local update about hacked phones... 

Item 1) Too much echo on the line, even after the phone call... 

Item 1) Too much echo on the line, even after the phone call... 

Het is al laat in de avond, even na half twaalf gaat de deurbel. Ik verwacht eigenlijk niemand meer maar ach laten we maar eens kijken wie er nu weer voor de deur staat.

Ik open de deur en het is Youri! 

Jawel, Youri is één van de straatkinderen alhier en hij heeft zelfs twee vrienden mee.
Hallo Youri, zeg ik, ik wist niet dat je van gewoon slachtafval uit het slachthuis gewoon twee tieners kan maken. 

Dat kan ook niet zei Youri, dit zijn Hobbel en Bobbel en hun beltegoed is op en anders is hun batterij van de telefoon wel leeg of in een omgekeerde volgorde.

Ik kijk Bobbel en Hobbel eens diep in de ogen en inderdaad Youri heeft gelijk: ze zijn niet gemaakt van slachtafval maar ze zien er wel uit als met een lege batterij en misschien is hun beltegoed ook wel op. 



__________ 

Om een lang verhaal kort te maken, de heren willen graag één telefoontje plegen. 

Nou ja, dat mag wel. Per slot van rekening lijkt het mijzelf ook wel leuk om het 'input/outout' gedrag van mijn huistelefoon weer eens te bevestigen... 

Laten we zeggen dat Hobbel ging telefoneren, hij doet wat bla bla bla dat waarschijnlijk belangrijk is en tegen het eind van het telefoon gesprek zeg ik nog tegen de andere heren: hou er wel rekening mee dat ze dit afluisteren. 

Hobbel convergeert naar het einde van zijn telefoon gesprek en legt de hoorn op de haak van de telefoon. Binnen een tweetal seconden gaat de telefoon exact één maal over. 

__________

Jawel lieve lezertjes: gedurende meerdere maanden was het altijd hetzelfde:

1) Bel ik zelf via mijn huistelefoon, nooit gaat de telefoon 1 x over na afloop van mijn gesprek.
2) Iemand anders bellen? Altijd gaat de telefoon 1 x over na afloop van het gesprek.

__________ 

Maar goed lieve lezers, ik klaag niet. 

Waarom klagen, het is maar een telefoon... 

Tot opdatums, till updates. 

(17 June 2012) The space thingeling that just doesn't go away. Is it possible, just for example, to turn electricity into kinetic energy? Who knows? 

Item 1) Unmanned space vehicle lands after 469 days... 

 Item 1) Unmanned space vehicle lands after 469 days...   

Oh oh, it is still there on the Google news files and indeed this little detail has aroused a strong attention in myself. 

And I wonder what they have been testing, to put your mind a bit more focused lets quote a bit of those strange strange details: 

Quote 1: 

An unmanned Air Force space plane dropped out of orbit and glided to a computer-controlled California landing early Saturday to close out a classified 469-day military mission. 

Quote 2: 

The spacecraft was originally developed by Boeing for NASA and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, or DARPA, but it eventually was turned over to the Orbital Test Vehicle program operated by the Rapid Capabilities Office of the Air Force. 

And quote 3: 

The X-37B features a scaled-down 4-foot by 7-foot payload bay. But unlike NASA's manned orbiter, which relied on fuel cells for electrical power, the Air Force space plane is equipped with a deployable solar array that permits it to remain in orbit for long-duration missions. 

Source: 

Unmanned Air Force space plane lands after secret mission 
http://news.cnet.com/8301-11386_3-57454645-76/
unmanned-air-force-space-plane-lands-after-secret-mission/ 

Comment: Of course I have to craft my words carefully, but if this is done via something known as the Orbital Test Vehicle program you understand the goal was not to send some vehicle into some stationary orbit for 469 days. 

And after 469 days try to let it safely land again... 

No, stuff like 'controllability of orbit' would make much more sense. 

So I just scratch my old bold head and I wonder: Have they found it?
Have they found the way to turn electricity into kinetic energy or, if you want, give some acceleration to your space vehicle... 

And that with only solar power? 

With a little smile on my face I wonder how far they are, but on the other hand may be they still use propellants to change course in space and the solar power is only used to heat up the propellant to be more efficient. Who knows, it's all secret they say.

Let's leave it with that. 

Till updates. 



(08 June 2012, temporary math update) This evening for the third time I tried once more to get my math typo system up and running again.

But within five minutes I decided to throw in the towel; I know how to 'repair' the problem but the vulnerability stays the same after such 'repairs'. 

So no more math pictures for the time being, may be this autumn or so we could proceed. 

__________ 

Therefore without the Latex math type setting system I would like to place a few remarks to some fellow math folks: 

Remark 1) Calculate the curl and the Laplacian for 3D functions using the generalized 3D Cauchy-Riemann equations. Express both curl and Laplacian into differentiation into the real-axis direction, so with regard to x. 

If you do it properly, you will find it both boils down to a multiplication with (1, -1, 1). 

So for a function f from 3 variables (x, y, z) and f = (u, v, w) while  

calculate Curl(f) and the Laplacian. 

Remark 2) See below for a definition of the 3D version of 'complex conjugate', prove that the main non-invertible element (1, -1, 1) is it's own conjugate.
Find all other X that satisfy X = \overline{X}. 

Remark 3) The first reaction of a lot of people familiar with the complex plane is given by that 'these are only complex numbers represented in some weird 3D form'. 

For those strong believers I challenge them: Find the number i please... 

And if you have found it, what is the inverse of your number i? 

__________

Bah, I don't like it that I have to throw in the towel but that is the way it is. 

Till updates. 

(05 June 2012) Ok, since life is boring anyway let's try to make it even more boring...

When it comes to phone tapping/hacking it looks like I can no longer study the concept of the 'asymmetric echo' in my private phone calls.

One of the small but important details in understanding when your phone is tapped comes with the fact there is often too much echo while the person you are speaking with does not observe an echo in the sounds. 

Of course in practice asymmetry in echo has a lot of other contributions too, but most of the time our beloved telecom companies try to minimize echo.

Lets go to even far more boring stuff: Boring math stuff.

Item 1) Is it so hard to create some 3D complex numbers? 

Item 1) Is it so hard to create some 3D complex numbers? 

No that is not that hard, the hard part is convincing other people that you have some weirdo 3D multiplication scheme that satisfies the good parts of math life. 

With amazement I looked at other proposals upon 3D multiplication in the last 20 years (it was before the internet did sink I crafted my own version of it) and this is about as good as it gets: 

http://mathworld.wolfram.com/HypercomplexNumber.html  

Ok, the above link is actually some 4D multiplication thingeling, but what to think about some 'Search of the Holy Grail' as found here: 

Distance Estimated 3D Fractals (IV): The Holy Grail 

For example a quote from the above link: 

The question is how to extend this to three dimensions. The Mandelbrot set fits two dimensions, because complex numbers have two components. Can we find a similar number system for three dimensions? 

Comment: Yes we can, actually in the complex plane you use a square number i while in three dimensions a cubic starting point is far more handy. Same stuff, only some other dimensions... And it has the benefit of expanding all those standard functions like exp, sin, cos etc etc to all dimensions you want. 

Beside the complex plane the most easy 3D example is given by the generalized Cauchy-Riemann equations as next: 

For the time being, lets leave it with that. 

Till updates. 

(23 May 2012) Ok ok, I am still very annoyed by the phone hacking because after all this was not the usual 'inbox hacking' kind of thing. Anyway, this is not the time to activate the 'coffin industry' but I won't forget this phone joke my dear reader.

Ha, years back I poked fun at the US military like: "In the end your strength always turns into your weakness", and now so many years later with every phone call I make my own ears are washed with the same kind of fun.

But hey phone hacking is irrelevant compared to the wreck and havoc Euro bonds could bring! So that is the item of today: 

Item 1) Are Euro bonds really a good idea? 

 Item 1) Are Euro bonds really a good idea? 

Today I observed once more a lot of weirdo's that for reasons unknown to me think that it is a 'good idea' to introduce Euro bonds instead of local issued government debt that is a little problematic lately... 

The idea is that the so called 'problem nations' will have a lower yield on their issued debt needs and other nations have a slightly higher yield. 

In France we have a new prez, the old bling bling Zarkozy is out and Hollande is in. I have to admit that I think I like Hollande. Where bling bling doubled his salary to stress the importance of his job, Hollande looks a bit more down to earth. 

So I like that a lot, and I wish Hollande a bit of luck with the new job. 

__________

But Euro bonds will not save the day, it is nonsense to hammer out such stuff. 

The underlying problem is and stays that debt levels grow faster compared to the underlying capability to pay back those levels of debt. 

How can Euro bonds solve this tiny problem? They can't.

__________

But from the marketing point of view Euro bonds will be a big hit, where all those dumb and stupid nations face problems like '60% of GDP' or '115% of local GDP' suddenly there is a new kid on the block: EURO BONDS.

In the bond market, it always starts as 0% of local GDP.

Further reading (who thought at the OECD they were that blatantly dumb?): 

OECD joins call for eurozone bonds 
http://edition.cnn.com/2012/05/22/business/oecd-eurozone/index.html 

The Guardian tells us: 
Hollande pushes case for eurobonds  

Old music from before the Euro bonds: 
elo-telephone line 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aix03KSesoE 

Lets leave it with that. Till updates. 

(01 May 2012) It is labor day and the Paul Krugman has done a lot of labor and has a new book out... Among the spectrum of weird USA economists that have won a Nobel prize in the science of economy, Paul has always been my favorite idiot.

Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Paul has a new book out... 

 Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Paul has a new book out... 

As you might know I am not the biggest fan of economist Paul Krugman's insights when it comes to debt level growth in economies. 

Lately I estimated that in the next decade the non-financial parts of the US economy need about 37 trillion US$ in higher debt levels only to produce a moderate GDP growth of at most 2% a year. 

According to the last 30 years, that part of the debt (non financial institutions) grew about 7% a year or a doubling every decade. That simply means that the USA needs about 37 thousand billions higher debt levels for the next decade.

Paul talks only nonsense like 'Foreigners are still willing to borrow us money'. But hey this is not the first and likely not the last time I will tell you that Paul is horribly bad at elementary math. My dear Paul, the debt grows exponentially and time grows only linear. Debt will beat time my dear Paul...

What kind of shithead is going to give 37 trillion to the USA and expecting to get it back? 

Paul is also very good as a comedian: He remarks that you 'need to stimulate the economy' so that 'people can pay off their debt'. 

Yeah yeah, as if the average USA citizen will 'pay off debt' at the moment they can...
Come on Paul, the average USA citizen has more important things to do, like getting fatter & dumber year in year out. 

Check Paul out at the Daily Ticker (the video links don't have a very long lifespan, but anyway, have a good laugh):

Krugman: How To Fix The Economy? Do The Exact Opposite Of What We’re Doing 

Lovely to see such a video, please remark Paul never says a number... 

That's how he got it's Nobel prize in the first place; only dumb logic that sounds good but has only limited merit. 

Till updates my dear reader. 

(28 April 2012) Two items:  

Item 1) In Dutch: Zelf selectie van idioten: PVV, SP en PvdA. 
Item 2) A tiny bit more 3D complex multiplication. 

 Item 1) In Dutch: Zelf selectie van idioten: PVV, SP en PvdA. 

Zo zeg, dat ging even snel van de week; in maar een paar dagen een accoord op hoofdlijnen en gelukkig eindelijk wat meer serieuze bezuinigingen. 

Laten we eventjes de fundamentele losers langslopen: 

Loser 1) PVV / Geert Wilders. 

Het uitgekotst stuk semi-kosher vlees genaamd Geert Wilders had al enorm veel last van een veel te laag IQ. Daarom is de PVV ook zo populair bij al degenen die moeite hebben met het begrijpen van onze nogal ingewikkelde wereld: idioten voelen zich thuis bij andere soortgelijke idioten.

Loser 2) SP / Emile Roemer. 

In tegenstelling tot de PVV is de SP een waardevol element van het politieke landschap, onder het electoraat zijn nu eenmaal veel personen met een sterk en woest doorleefd sociaal rechtvaardigheids gevoel terwijl die personen niet zo erg goed zijn in rekenen.
Nou ja, die gaan dan SP stemmen. Moet kunnen...
Dat is het belang van de SP: het kanaliseren van woest doorleefde rechtvaardigheids gevoelens... 
Hij is een loser omdat hij niet echt zijn schaapjes beschermd op de lange termijn, maar ja iedereen heeft wel een neef die niet kan rekenen. 

Loser 3) PvdA / Diederick Samsom. 

De verse PvdA leider Diederick deed deze week nog steeds enorm luchtig over zogenaamde 3% eisen, dus ik dacht van die zal wel één of andere flut studie als Middeleeuwse Scandinavische talen gedaan hebben. (Nou ja, ik wil dat soort studies niet afkraken, het is leuk dat er dat soort spul en specialisaties zijn.)
Maar nee, deze wiki zegt TU Delft kern fysica... Check it out: 

http://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diederik_Samsom 

Dus waarom doet Diederick zo luchtig over die 3%?
Want het is niet 3% van alle belastingelden in een jaar terwijl we ook nog eens 3% groeien met de hele economie... Nee het is 3% van het bbp. 

Dus ik denk van 'laten we de bewijslast maar eens omdraaien' en Diederick kan ons haarfijn uitleggen dat idioot hoge niveau's van extra schuld echt geen enkel probleem zijn... 

Normaal gesproken geef ik nooit stemadviezen, maar omdat het nu duidelijk is dat in de hoogste regionen van de PvdA zware cognitive stoornissen welig tieren moet je echt twee of drie keer nadenken voordat je op die mafketels gaat stemmen. 

Maar, wie weet heeft Diederick nog een mooi lapje wiskunde liggen dat zijn gelijk bewijst. Wie weet hoe een koe een haas vangt... 

__________ 

Over de bezuinigingen kan ik niet veel zeggen maar ik was blij dat de politie weer een jaartje geen salaris verhoging krijgt. Met een beetje geluk krijgen ze in totaal 9 jaar geen salaris evbij, dat zou dan evenlang zijn als dat ze mij hebben zitten stalken...

Weten ze dan ook eens hoe lang dat wel niet is: negen jaar...
Is zoiets eigenlijk wel legaal? Geen flauw idee. 

 Item 2) A tiny bit more 3D complex multiplication. 

Ok, lets proceed where we left unfinished in the previous math update. 

Today the inverse of a point X = (x, y, z) and the 3D analog of the complex conjugate come along. But before that we look at the 'shape' our matrix representation has: with 'shape' I simply mean the position of the x, y and z and the + and - sign. 

1) M(X) once more, look at her shape. 
2) The inverse of X via the inverse of M(X), look at her shape.
3) The 3D analog of the complex conjugate z = x - yi, again look at her shape. 

The stuff looks as follows: 

So that was it for today, I hope you haven't fallen asleep by now because math it is just so boring to most people... 

Just so boring... 

Lets leave it with that for the time being, see yah around my dear reader! 

Till updates. 

(23 April 2012) One item; I am leaving the democratic system for the next years.

Item 1) No way I am going to vote in the next Dutch elections... 

 Item 1) No way I am going to vote in the next Dutch elections... 

Just two days ago the Dutch government fell over some hard needed austerity measures and when viewing the political landscape today I decided not to vote in the coming elections. 

The main reason for me not voting is given by the fact there are far to many debt huggers in the Dutch parliament, if I would vote I would give more or less implicit some signal of trust in the next Dutch government.

But I don't trust them any longer, it is not only the imbecile named Geert Wilders. Basically along the entire political spectrum they have learned zero point zero from the financial crisis. 

From the emotional point of view I don't want have anything to do with the Dutch parliament, so I will not vote for a few years. 

One way or the other there will be debt huggers in the next government, that simply has to run it's course and that will take a few years... 

Imbeciles, we are ruled by imbeciles. 

Till updates my dear reader. 

(12 April 2012, temporary update) Oh shit, 3 hours of work down the drain...

This is no fun: They started to look so beautiful, those funny thingelings that also paint generalized Cauchy Riemann equations but once more the computer breaks down...

Repairing the stuff will take too much time, so I am sorry to give you this very handicapped & temporary update.    

Item 1) Correction & addendum to the 24 March update on fractals. 

Oh oh, at the end of the previous update I wrote that you could even take Cauchy integrals... I am sorry for the eventual inconvenience but that was plain stupid wrong.  

To my excuse I can say that over two decades I did not look at this old 3D complex multiplication math and as far as I can see it was the only fault...

__________ 

So far for the correction, now what fresh stuff to add? 

(1) Lets look at our exercise: solve det(M(X)) = 0
(2) A few remarks on differentiation. 
(3) Calculating the inverse of a point X = (x, y, z). 

Yes well I totally flip but the above is all that remains from 3 hours of work... 

Bah! 

(25 March 2012) It was a long wait but finally I have decided that the Syrian prez Basher Assad not only has written his own death certificate, but with this update I will validate it:  

My dear Assad, you are dead meat because you perform poorly when it comes to stuff like the battlefield discipline. May be as a dentist you can perform good, but as a ruler of the Syrian army you perform very bad. 
Therefore my dear Assad, with regret in my heart I have to inform you that in the year 2012 you have to die, if you survive this calendar year 2012 I might reconsider.

__________ 

Lets do a tiny bit of math in order to honor those that get killed for nothing at all:

Item 1) More math: The Mandelbrot fractal in 3 dimensions. 
Item 2) What if the Rick Santorum was a European?

 Item 1) More math: The Mandelbrot fractal in 3 dimensions. 

To be honest I never wrote down the programming code for this (because I am not very good at programming) so there is no guarantee in the sense of an eye witness or a few pictures of such a 3D Mandelbrot fractal.

Yet it would be weird if nothing would pop up...
Lets start today's tiny bunch of math: 

An important distinction with the complex plane is given by the singular points. In the complex plane only division by zero gives a simple singularity, with the above method of multiplication an entire line is made of non-invertible 'numbers'. 

(Exercise: Find all non-invertible points by solving det(M(X)) = 0, why is it enough to find only one non-zero (x, y, z) point?.) 

Ok a lot more could be said on this small detail of math, for example you can define the log and even look at Cauchy integral like formulas...   

Item 2) What if the Rick Santorum was a European? 

In the USA the Rick Santorum is still trying to get God's help in becoming the new & fresh Republican nominee for the presidential elections. 

Lately the Rick Santorum drew the attention of the Dutch because according to the Rick Santorum our elderly wear bracelets in hospitals that say 'Please do not commit euthanasia on me'. 

With his remarks the Rick Santorum truly made himself immortal in our Dutch landscape as the standard example of USA retardism; most facts as delivered by the Rick Santorum were wrong and if correct always completely misunderstood. 

So I decided to write some stuff as was the Rick Santorum a European commenting on the USA health care system. 

In this regard it might be of interest to know that Rick had a dead born baby or a child that died young, I don't know the particular details but USA tongues said he brought the corpse home so the other children could play with it... (Yes I am in a nasty mood.) 

End of this update. Till updates. 

(05 March 2012) Only one item, it is so boring to read that you better get to more exiting activities right now. So leave this website and never return! 

 Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Debt hugger Paul explains why austerity is bad.

Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Debt hugger Paul explains why austerity is bad.

Lately we have done some calculations upon fresh debt needed in the USA in order to let the US economy grow modestly and as a point estimation we observed that for at most 2% GDP growth a hefty 37 trillion US$ was needed for the next 10 years. 

By all standards this is a truly astronomical figure, but given USA debt growth over the last 30 years that is what they need for just a modest GDP growth of at most 2%. 

Consumer economy. 

In the holy financial Media they always say that the USA is a 'consumer economy' because about 70% of her gross domestic products is done by consumers. 

That is a highly interesting phenomenon: how can you consume so much while producing so little? 

Please remark that in Greece, after all, obesity in the worker population was never as high as in the USA. Greece folks were dumb, but they were not lazy...

__________

Let's go to the 'We Need Always More Stimulus' guy Paul Krugman. 
In my world Paul is a sizzie; if we need 37 trillion in fresh debt for the next standard operating decade, a stimulus would be even more.  

It is not the first time I am saying this, but Paul Krugman is very bad at math... 

But he hides it very well, look for example when Paul explains the evils of austerity: 

A number of people have asked me for a quick, easy explanation of the difference between a government and a family — basically, what’s wrong with the argument that when times are tough the government should tighten its belt. 

Until this far, Paul does not look like a weirdo. More quotes: 

That’s the key point, of course. When a family tightens its belt it doesn’t put itself out of a job. When a government tightens its belt in a depressed economy, it puts lots of people out of jobs; and this is a negative even from the government’s own, narrowly fiscal point of view, since a shrinking economy means less revenue. 

Comment: Paul is right when he remarks that the USA economy is not a family, no normal family would need such a huge yearly debt growth. But my dear Paul, suppose that the US economy is not a family living in harmony, where do these fresh 37 trillions for the next decade come from? 

Boring (extremely boring) source file: 

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/12/losing-the-belt/  

Losing the belt? Only obesity folks loose the belt on a regular basis my dear Paul... 

__________ 

End of this update so see you around. 

Till updates. 

(01 March 2012) Not much news from Syria in the sense that the madness continues. Lets hope for the best but I have to remark I only have little hope.
By the way, the evolution of suicide bombers in Syria suggests strongly that my hypothesis around the twin car bombings in Syria wins in strength: it gets more and more likely some Israeli involvement was there, but for valuation of such an accusation we need more proof...  

So let time float by & lets wait and see. 

__________ 

Today's two items are about the gigantic strength and resilience of the USA economy; anyway they reported a 3% GDP growth while just in my previous update I told you folks that high growth is not expected for a long time. 

The other item is in Dutch and we poke a bit of fun at the Dutch government that has, miracle miracle, a budget deficit of 4.5% as measured in local GDP numbers... 

Item 1) Oh deflator on the wall, who grows the fastest of them all?
Item 2) In Dutch: Au zeg! Wel 9 miljard bezuinigen? 

 Item 1) Oh deflator on the wall, who grows the fastest of them all? 

Last week I estimated for you that the USA needs about 37 trillion US$ in fresh debt for the non-financial parts of her economy. It is highly questionable that such an amount of money is there to borrow it out or that borrowers want to take on such high levels of debt. 

Then the news came out the USA GDP grew a hefty 3% year on year, but I neglected it because sometimes I am so horribly bored with the USA financial/sector/press coverage/etc etc. 

Yet by coincidence I heard someone complaining that the deflator was only 1% and I was thinking 'That can't be true'. So I looked it up in the relevant files from the US Bureau of Economical Analysis. 

This link confirms the 3% growth: 

Table 1.1.1. Percent Change From Preceding Period in Real Gross Domestic Product 

And this one the ridiculous 1% for the deflator (in case you don't know what a deflator is: it is the price inflation for the entire economy, so it measures a little bit more than price changes in for example grocery stuff):

Table 1.1.7. Percent Change From Preceding Period in Prices for Gross Domestic Product 

Please remark I am not saying the USA BEA is cheating or so, but I don't understand what is happening. After all the USA population is still getting more obese, lazy & dumb year in year out so what explains this huge reported USA GDP number? 

I don't know. 

Screaming faggots... 

Where are the usual USA screaming faggots always so afraid for deflation?
After all according to USA based screaming faggots deflation could lead to a deflationary trap bringing down the entire economy with it...

As we see, the Durable goods prices are completely smashed with 2.5%.
But the usual screaming faggots stay silent...

Item 2) In Dutch: Au zeg! Wel 9 miljard bezuinigen? 

An sich was het uitermate komisch om te zien: steeds in het buitenland roepen dat 3% toch echt de limit is en onder hun eigen kont en natuurlijk volslagen onverwacht zitten we zelf ineens met een tekort van 4.5%. 

Om het helemaal hilarisch te maken: vandaag zeiden ze in het nieuws dat na de vorming van ons nieuwe kabinet Rutte ze zelfs vergadering(en) hebben gehouden over 'wat te doen met eventuele overschotten?' 

En nu, min of meer plotseling, moet het geld daar gehaald worden waar het is: woningmarkt en pensioen leeftijd... Dus sowieso afbouwen van de hypotheekrente aftrek en een paar jaar later de huurtoeslagen. 

Het zou creatief zijn om gewoon de huren in sociale woningbouw eens een jaar of 5 te bevriezen, of pak em beet, hooguit 0,5% per jaar verhogen. Dat heeft een leuk drukkend effect op de inflatie terwijl tegelijkertijd de woningbouw corporaties als het ware uitgenodigd worden om terug te gaan naar hun kerntaak:
Goedkope huurhuizen bouwen... En niet al dat bankje spelen, kijk maar uit want het is statistisch bewezen dat bankje spelers meer kans hebben op lawines dan anderen... ;) 

__________ 

En je kunt bezuinigen ook heel leuk maken, zo klaagt de politie over hun salarissen enzo. Nou dan laat je elke diender gewoon een standaard IQ test maken, als bijv voor een willekeurige diender daar een IQ van 65 uit komt rollen dan krijgt ie voortaan nog maar 65% van zijn oude salaris. 

Ja nu ik er zo over nadenk: met die standaard IQ testjes kun je enorm veel bezuinigingen doorvoeren bij de politie. 
Oh oh, als ik eens een weekje minister Opstelten mocht vervangen, wat zou dat toch mooi zijn... 

Tot opdatums. 

Till updates. 

(26 Feb 2012.) This is a short update on a simple extrapolation of future USA total debt levels, the European debt growth is neglected although I have to remark the second round of a possible fresh half a trillion  € joke from the ECB does come a little bit swift if you would ask me ask me.   

Just a short time ago we had those 500 billion Howitzer for 3 year long bank loans, so I am scratching my old bold head. For the time being I support the ECB policy but this all should not get too crazy... 

Item 1) Future USA debt growth; a fresh 37 trillion needed in 10 years of time... 

 Item 1) Future USA debt growth; a fresh 37 trillion needed in 10 years of time...

Yes you read this correctly: if the present ways of USA economical growth continue they need at least 37 trillion in fresh debt in the non-financial sectors of the USA economy. 

I don't have a clue about estimates of total world yearly gross domestic product, but it might very well be that in the next 10 years total debt levels in the USA in the non-fin parts will exceed the economical output of the entire planet. 

Why do I look only at the non-financial sector of the USA economy? That is because in the financial sector they are deleveraging at the expense of expanding US Federal Reserve so called 'balance sheets'. So in the long run over the decades that is not relevant, the FED has become just like the average USA citizen: dumb, lazy & obese. 

__________ 

Enough of the rhetoric! 

Please take a good long look at my easy to understand source file from the US FED, here is the source file: 

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/current/accessible/d3.htm  

In the very first column in the above link you see stuff like 'Total nonfin debt' or so.
I picked the last data from 2011 the third quarter, 10 years ago and 30 years ago. 

The results upon yearly debt growth are not very promising, since it is clearly a nail in the Pentagon death coffin I was delighted to make a little graphic from the data: 

With a little bit of rudimentary math you see yearly debt growth is always above 7% totally outstripping the growth of economical output let alone the profits needed to pay back this debt growth. 

Ok ok very often debt growth also induces inflation but in order to tame the 37.8 trillion debt beast you need about 5% inflation a year for at least 10 more years... 

So in a hand basket the next 10 years for the USA from the macro viewpoint will be:

-- At most 2% economical growth when it comes to reported real GDP. 
-- Inflation will stay high in the USA for at least 10 years. 

__________ 

Now crisis in crisis out the USA has arrived at a 37.8 trillion in 30 years of time, that is over 7% of debt growth a year. Given her military arsenal she will proceed with that kind of debt growth, so what will happen?

Very simple: at least 7% a year simply means that in 10 years of time we are looking at:   

37844 * 1.07^10 = ha ha ha 74 trillion US bucks...

End of this update. 

(21 Feb 2012, temporary update.)  

In the USA the presidential race is going on and the Republicans offer a wide range of utterly strange people that try to win the Republican nomination for being the Republican candidate.

As such we have Rick Santorum, he is a true Christian & he likes to show it. I kind of like this guy, he is definitely not a Dubya clone but he has the same deeply rooted fundamental smell of utter retardation. 

Why in the USA there still are so many retards doing their thing is unknown to me, may be in the USA the 50 cents of wisdom always fall 10 years too late. 

Ok the other guys in the race like Newt G and that rich stinker Romney are also highly interesting, but if you want to enjoy the weird insights of Rick upon the killing of Dutch elderly people in state run hospitals, you should definitely look at the video as found in the next link: 

Rick Santorum on the monstrous ways the Dutch kill the elderly.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn-eejMcmuA  

You know Rick is just like Dubya a 'nice fellow' but guys like that should not run 50% of the world defense budget...  

Till updates. 

(15 Feb 2012, temporary update in Dutch.)    

Guttegut, zitten we zomaar in een recessie... 

Volgens het CBS is de economie in het vierde kwartaal 0,7% gekrompen ten opzichte van één jaar eerder (dus geen kwartaal op kwartaal gedoe met al die seizoens invloeden). 

Hoewel verrassend qua omvang zie ik de krimp als een uitermate positief gegeven, het is toch prima dat er minder gas verkocht is? Elke kuub die we nu niet verkopen kan je in de toekomst tegen veel hogere prijzen verkopen. 

En dan dat gezeur over 'de consument' die 'de hand op de knip' zal houden? 

Ach ach, pure paniek natuurlijk... Kom nou, het is toch een goed ding dat allerlei personen eindelijk eens wat gaan aflossen op hun idioot hoge hypotheek?

Vergeet niet dat de Nederlandse huizenmarkt er tot nu toe waanzinnig goed is afgekomen; vrijwel nul komma niks aan 'USA housing collapse effect'. Die paar procentjes in waardeverlies tot nu toe stelt niet veel voor, het had veel en veel erger kunnen zijn.

Maar het is nooit in mijn belang geweest om de lokale huizenmarkt een dreun te geven. In tegendeel, nu de huiseigenaren om de één of andere reden graag wat meer willen aflossen wil ik de banken vragen om dit geld te gebruiken voor het verstrekken van nieuwe hypotheken... 

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Grap van de dag:

Denk je nu echt dat de banken de extra aflossingen op hypotheken gaan gebruiken voor verse hypotheken? In dat geval ben je waarschijnlijk een huis bezitter die net een extra betaling op de hypotheek gedaan heeft... 

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CBS link: 

CBS link 

Tot opdatums. 

(08 Feb 2012) One short item: 

Item 1) On the Syrian equation. 

 Item 1) On the Syrian equation. 

From the level of international diplomacy the UN Security Council resolution was vetoed by Russia & China. (I did not read the details of the resolution since it was clear from the beginning stuff would not make it. And, by the way, where has my UNSC vote on Palestine statehood gone? Have I missed something?) 

Ok, China is not important since it is hard to phantom they could cough up some serious help. China is only relevant since it has veto power...  

I have more trust in the Russians since at least they try something although I fear that the Russian efforts are not enough given the present escalation problems. My dear Russians, it is clear that the Syrian Assad is not a full blown idiot. Likely Assad is doing his best.  

But stuff like 'restoring dialogue' or 'transforming politics' has a high degree of failure my dear Russians. So it is nice the Russians try to do something, but is it enough? For example: 

UN resolution would bring no peace to Syria – Medvedev 
http://rt.com/politics/un-resolution-syria-medvedev-845/ 

In order to keep this update short: 

The Russians are allowed to go on with their efforts for lets say 7 days, so that would be until 08 Feb + 07 days= 15 Feb.  

After that the Russians retreat and the Turkish people are invited to take the lead... 

Till updates my dear reader. 

(04 Feb 2012) Only one item around math.

Item 1) Syria is boring, lets do some math that calms the nerves even more. 

 Item 1) Syria is boring, lets do some math that calms the nerves even more. 

Ok ok the title of this item is a little bit overdone, of course Syria is not boring but there is also that vast ocean of that science known as math. 

So instead of commenting on the Syrian equation I would like to update with a little bit of elementary math known as the Cauchy-Riemann equations that rule a lot of math in the complex plane. 

I sincerely hope understanding the next math is good for your nerves, it is good stuff although it is only a small detail. 

Till updates. 

(27 Jan 2012) One item:  

 Item 1) Leadership and the brain.

 Item 1) Leadership and the brain.

What is leadership? Because leadership in humans is a very wide thing lets only look at, for example, political leadership. What makes the populace follow leaders and why do leaders 'lead' in the first place? 

Stuff like that is embedded into our biology, a well known Dutch biologist named Midas Dekker once explained leadership among schools of fish that swim into the ocean: 

Most fish that swim in schools just follow their instinct and try to swim behind other fish in the school. But weirdly enough there is at least one lonely fish swimming in front the entire school. What does this fish set apart from the other fish?
So they did catch a lot of those leading fish and put them under the knife in order to study the brains of those leading fish.

It turned out all those leading fish had a little bit of brain damage and as such were not capable of following other fish... 

__________ 

I had to laugh very hard when I understood the implications of the contribution Midas Dekker made. Of course our human brain is far bigger per kilo bodymass and as such our brain operates a little bit more complicated, but I had to laugh anyway. 

It is a pity we cannot operate on the Dubya brain in order to find that spot where it all has gone so horribly wrong... 

But serious: political leaders that create the most lethal chaos are never of the conformist type, in that sense they have indeed some brain damage. 

__________ 

For myself speaking, when I employ projects like bringing the DOW in half from 14 to 7 thousand, of course I use my insights in leadership. 

If I would not follow elementary insights, the whole process might have stopped at, lets say, 9500 on the DOW and those folks would party like a bunch of debt huggers inside a Central Bank. 

__________ 

Now why do some brain damaged people get so many followers? 
Why do political leaders get their followers?  

I don't have a clue, may be my mind does not want to go there... 

Till updates. 

(21 Jan 2012) Two items:  

Item 1) On the Syrian equation. 
Item 2) In Dutch: En ineens zomaar en volkomen is je dag verpest...  

 Item 1) On the Syrian equation.

Ok, on 04 Jan I asked for withholding sniper fire done by the Syrian army for at least 7 to 10 days ending on the 14-th of Jan. 

That was all I asked for and without posting all kinds of links it more or less looks like that is what I got. So that is a good thing although it has to be remarked that it was only on a limited timescale on a limited detail of war (the marksman or the sniper). 

But hey my dear Syrians, where do we go from here? 

For myself speaking I would like it to write a little bit about Syria every now and then, it is not for nothing I am already writing 'Syrian equation' instead of simply Syria. 

__________ 

Just like the international community, I too don't have a clue about Syria. A lot of forces are pulling at it; most want stability and other forces like higher instability. 

__________ 

So lets wait and see how the Syrian equation will evolve over time. 

 Item 2) In Dutch: En ineens zomaar en volkomen is je dag verpest...  

Zit ik gewoon op de bank naar die saaie tv te kijken en bah: de tv zegt dat Netanyahu op bezoek is in Nederland! Ik dacht van die eikel heeft toch wel wat anders te doen nu zijn hoom kountrie een fizit heeft van deze kwast:

US military chief holds talks in Israel on Iran 

Maar nee, de Israelische Netanyahu zit gewoon een kopje koffie te drinken met Mark Rutte en aanverwante materie.  

Nou man, mijn dag was gewoon verpest weet je. 

Tot opdatums. 

Till updates.  

(11 Jan 2012) One item:  

Item 1) The Syrian equation versus my oath of non-interference. 

 Item 1) The Syrian equation versus my oath of non-interference. 

Where is my oath of non interference gone? You know, that old promise of me to keep my mouth shut when it comes to uprisings in so called 'Arab nations'. 

Ok ok, a bit of Libya came along, but for the rest most of the time I kept my promise of a more or less rigid non interference policy... 

And now there is Syria, it is screaming for attention because the levels of internal violence are relatively high. Oath or not, rising levels of rough violence always arouse my attention. 

__________ 

My dear reader the Syrian equation is packed with a gigantic load of dimensions, as such most people have enough reasons to more-or-less explain the higher levels of violence. 

I will not loose myself in such generally accepted nonsense, on the contrary: My compliments go to the Israeli IDF for the help into the Syrian equation. It's so fucking good my dear IDF; you can even look me in the eyes for a few seconds, my compliments!

Religious dimensions. 

A lot of people are blinded by religion when it comes to Israel. 
That is not forbidden of course, but is our beloved Israel truly so perfect? 

After all the IDF guy Gantz is telling us, quote: 

The chief of staff also explained that the current situation in Syria makes it difficult for Assad to attack Israel. 

Comment: Only a fool needs more comment! 

Jerusalem Post source: 
Gantz: Israel prepared to absorb Alawite refugees 
http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=253033 

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It is actually past midnight right now but I forgot to comment on the content of the Syrian prez Assad speech from yesterday. The line of reasoning is more or less that foreign involvement causes the violence and the response will be with an iron fist... 

In this regard it is highly interesting why exactly the Syrian security forces act so very violent... The most logical answer is that indeed they had some rough attacks, and they respond by killing back.

Suppose the line of reasoning from Assad is correct and indeed foreign stuff is trying to trigger higher and higher levels of violence inside Syria, why do you let your iron fist hammer the own Syrian population? 

That does not make sense because it is very logical from the viewpoint of state survival that Israel dearly wants and needs maximum amounts of violence in Syria. So that our Israeli pals can say once more: We are a beacon of stability...

To put it more simply: If a burglar attacks my house, why should I attack my own family members? Wouldn't it be far more logical to find out what attacks you instead of doing weird stuff without brains?

There is something strange with the Assad regime although it is a far cry from that imbecile formerly known as colonel Kadhaffi.  

Till updates my dear reader. 

 (04 Jan 2012) A happy new year by the way...

I have decided to make the previous temporary update a permanent one, so if I am wrong with my idea's that our beloved Israel is indeed jacking violence a bit up inside Syria, I would like to fall flat on my face. 

Since the temporary status is now lifted we can proceed to the items of this update: 

Item 1) A simple marching order for the Syrian army: no sniper fire for 7 days. 
Item 2) Boring but funny links. 

 Item 1) A simple marching order for the Syrian army: no sniper fire for 7 days. 

Ok, lets try to see if it is possible to control average violence levels in Syria... 

That is all I would like to do my dear Syrian army, don't worry it is not like the zero-one project from Iraq that lasted over one hundred days. It's only a 7 to 10 day timespan kind of thing. 

I could write thousands of words and lay down all kinds of nuances and hang out the diplomat. I am not going to do that, no lets grab some small axe and simply tell the Syrian army it is simply forbidden to use sniper fire for a period of lets say 7 to 10 days. 

__________ 

It goes in right now, so that implies that from the 14-th January higher levels of sniper fire from all parties inside the Syrian equation are allowed. 

Lets leave it with that. 

Item 2) Boring but funny links. 

Did you know the Palestinians are an 'invented people'? I never knew that, but USA prez hopeful Newt Gingrich explains: 

Gingrich Describes Palestinian People as 'Invented'  

After so much sniper power every body needs a good laugh, from the Fox business channel they are telling us: 

Why America's Financial Future is Far Better Than Europe's  

After all that laughing it gets truly hilarious when USA Nobel prize winner Paul Krugman complains:

Nobody Understands Debt  

Lets not try to explain to Paul Krugman when debt levels grow too fast, let time do it's miracle thing. 

__________ 

End of this update, the financial parts follow their predictable path but how will the Syrian army react? And what about the fucking Israelis? 

Till updates. 

(25 Dec 2011, temporary update) These Damascus bombings look very strange, it has all the looks and feels of another 'Hariri bombing';  therefore this temporary update on the Syrian equation.    

Item 1) Musings on weird & unexplained bombings... 

 Item 1) Musings on weird & unexplained bombings... 

Weird & unexplained bombings and who to blame for them? 

For myself speaking the recent Damascus bombs have all that gut & feel like the Lebanon Hariri pm killing. 

I know that inside Syria everybody is blaming everybody & I am 100% sure that I will put all my credibility on the line, but at the moment I am thinking the Damascus bombings are some advanced Israeli joke. 

After all, at the state level, the Israelis are very much interested into hefty instability inside the neighboring countries.  

__________ 

But hey my dear reader, did I not put 100% of my credibility up? 

If you want to destroy my line of reasoning, lets look at:  

1) Lebanon Hariri still unexplained, while 
2) Damascus today. 

__________ 

From the statistical point the future is very easy to measure: 

More bombings like these on a rather sparse timescale...

__________

At last it is remarked that against Israeli involvement the detail of suicide bombers was observed, hard to say if Israel has such capabilities.

Till updates. 

(21 Dec 2011) Two items, the last item is in Dutch: 

Item 1) The ECB bazooka. 
Item 2) Van Dale woord van het jaar: Tuigdorp... 

Item 1) The ECB bazooka.

Item 1) The ECB bazooka.  

Wow man, today the European Central Bank borrowed out almost 500 billion in 3 year loans at 1% of yearly interest...
That is indeed some bazooka... May be the name 'Howitzer' applies a bit more.

I have to admit that I needed some time too in order to swallow the possible implications and/or future ramifications of such a big thing. After a few hours of thinking I give it the green light: a priori there is no reason to expect future inflation danger from this if this giant half a trillion borrowing scheme is executed properly included the exit path... 

Furthermore I am not going to check all kinds of details because for the time being I still trust the ECB more than other Central Banks from not named nations.

Lets leave it with that.  

Item 2) Van Dale woord van het jaar: Tuigdorp... 

 Item 1) Van Dale woord van het jaar: Tuigdorp... 

Tuigdorp? 

Wat is dat nou weer? Één of ander mislukt concentratiekamp zonder ovens?
Want zeg nu zelf: wat zou een tuigdorp zijn zonder ovens? Dat is niet goed voor de doorstroming zou een naief persoon als mijzelf opmerken. 

Maar volgens een enquête van Van Dale is tuigdorp het woord van het jaar geworden: 

'Tuigdorp' Van Dale Woord van het Jaar 2011 
http://www.nu.nl/boek/2697712/tuigdorp-van-dale-woord-van-jaar-2011.html 

En, vreemd genoeg, schijnt dat woord uit de koker van dhr Geert Wilders te komen; je weet wel, die mafketel Geert van de PVV die min of meer een heel moderne versie van Boer Koekoek is. 

Vroeger, mijn lieve lezertjes, hadden we Boer Koekoek in ons parlement. Als je eens een halve gare in actie wilde zien dan kon je nog altijd naar Boer Koekoek kijken.
Tegenwoordig hebben we Geert Wilders... 

Nou, Boer Koekoek kan er nog een puntje aan zuigen maar Geert is tegenwoordig zelfs een beschermd handelsmerk! Kijk maar: 

Geert Wilders® is (nu ook) een merk 
http://nos.nl/op3/artikel/265105-.html 

Nee dat tuigdorp gaat het echt niet worden en of Geert succes zal hebben als Trade Mark is ook disputabel... 

Laten we hat daarbij houden. Tot opdatums. 

Till updates. 

(09 Dec 2011) Two items, no links. 
Yesterday both the EBC and the EU political leaders had a meeting:   

Item 1) Mario Braghi, the new ECB prez has won the seal of approval. 
Item 2) What will the EU politicians decide?  

 Item 1) Mario Braghi, the new ECB prez has won the seal of approval. 

Today the new European Central Bank had her latest policy meeting and as such Mario was invited to the usual press conference afterwards. 

For myself speaking (don't forget Mario is Italian...) I think we can trust Mario, so he gets my seal of approval. 

Ok ok me myself & I might differ on details with the ECB central bankers; I don't see the inflation going away in the food & energy parts of the real economy. So I would have raised 25 points instead of lowering 25 basis points.
It has to be remarked however that I don't have any kind of data to back up my EU inflation expectations for, lets say, the next five years, so if indeed future inflation will sink below 2% again it will be a clear case of: I was wrong...  

Lets not loose ourselves in all kinds of sideways concerning today's ECB policy decision, why does Mario get my thumbs up? 

Because he nicely pointed out that in the European treaty it said that monetization of sovereign debt was not allowed and as such a bypass via the IMF was completely out of the question...

__________ 

Tip for the ECB folks upon monetization of future sovereign debt: 

Until now, as far as I understand reality, for every € sovereign debt bought at some other point in our beloved financial system one € is sucked out again... 

I don't know if that is true, but at least over there at the ECB at least they try to get the place nice and tidy. And that cannot be said by the US Federal Reserve who, by now, can only expand further their wonderful balance sheet. 

So without much problems, in the future, for every € of sovereign debt sucked up, you can also put a leverage on it and drain above it: why not 2 or 3 in liquidity withdrawn for every sovereign debt €? 

Item 2) What will the EU politicians decide?  

No idea because we need 'balanced budgets' at the nation state level and for some strange reason a lot of European political leaders think that if your own economy expands 3% a year, you can also reap up 3% fresh debt in GDP every year. 

This is so breathtaking stupid, only people with a background in law studies could believe such a retarded thing. 

__________ 

My dear European political leaders, if you can only tax about 25% in money numbers as compared to your GDP and your economy expands 3% a year, your own government layouts can only grow 3% of GDP too... (Anyway, that is the math stupidity in it.)

For example: If a government taxes away 25% from her economy while that wonderful economy grows 3% a year, at best the government outlays can grown is 0.25 times 3% = 0.75% of the reported GDP. 

Yeah yeah my dear European leaders, the war against the debt huggers is far from won...  

__________

But what will they decide now they have their own meeting too?
Lets hope a more solid stability pact... 

So good luck with it. Till updates. 

(01 Dec 2011) I want Italy to sing the song of debt for me and for that I need the help of the bond markets that rule sovereign debt.  

Item 1) Italy thou are so beautiful, please sing the song of debt for me... 

 Item 1) Italy thou are so beautiful, please sing the song of debt for me... 

I can't say how much I enjoy the present European so called credit crisis: Lovely to see all those weirdo's that think the end of the earth is there because it is such a giant mess in Europe... 

All of that because the European political leaders just cannot hammer out some progress and the European Central Bank for some strange reason has weak knees when it comes to sucking up trillions of € in sovereign debt for the next years.

__________ 

Tourist stuff. 

May be you have traveled a little around in Europe and very very may be you have visited some famous tourist attractions in Europe. While doing so you might have encountered Italians; especially as a group they always stand out because they talk so much. 

Where normal people would only need about five words to say something, the Italians easily need 25+ words & a whole lot of gestures to say exactly the same thing... 

That's how they are on average; talk a lot but not saying anything. 

If you have observed a few of those groups of Italians abroad you understand instantly that it would be very hard to change the way they behave in public. The Italians are a kind of their own: in Italy things go differently. 

End of the tourist stuff. 

__________ 

And if you have about 60 million of those talkative debt huggers inside a nation called Italy, again instantly you understand that warning against the dangers of debt hugging will be met with a lot of words but zero substance... 

__________ 

Luckily there is also a guy named 'Mr. Market', I have never met him and I have never seen any photo of Mister Market but lately this guy wants 7% interest rates of freshly issued Italian government debt. 

I am shaking with laughter; that Mr. Market person has far more muscle than I will ever have! 

__________ 

But lets get serious: for the time being bond markets should focus sharply on the 7% rates for fresh Italian debt. Whatever the timespan of Italian fresh debt offered, let it be 3 months or 3 years, 7% for fresh debt is always the answer of the bond markets... 

In case there are some weirdo's inside the international bond markets that think they can skip my 7% advice when it comes to Italy; you can give it a try but if you annoy me or you irritate me you will find me on your path and rather likely you will not enjoy that... 

Lets leave it with that. Till updates. 

(22 Nov 2011) One item: 

Item 1) From the debt huggers to the toilet economy... 

Item 1) From the debt huggers to the toilet economy...

Years and years ago I combined the words 'debt' and 'hugger' into debt huggers as some kind of funny antidote to tree huggers. 

Today more and more people, even the smart asses inside the financial parts of our economies, are beginning to understand what debt huggers are: for every tiny problem they have, more debt is always the answer... 

Most classical example: the USA, for some strange reason she needs more and more debt. 

__________ 

Ok, that was all years ago and when I wrote down the two words 'debt hugger' for the very first time I knew it would take some years before we could observe the fun at the nation state level. 

In these days we have indeed some fun at the level of state funding, a lot of weirdo's have complained for example that if for example Italy needs a bit of refi at for example 7%+ rates, the whole Euro system is crashing down like hell. 

Ok, those weirdo's are always allowed to enjoy the fruits of their own brains. 

For example the USA nuthead & Nobel economy prize winner Joseph Stiglitz says: 

Joseph Stiglitz: Austerity not the way to go for Europe 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15110053 

It is so breathtaking stupid, guys like Joseph wants Europe to go the debt hugging ways of the USA... Oh oh oh my dear and old Joseph, at what point in time does the concept of a 'toilet economy' set in? 

And in case you don't understand it: a toilet economy can, by definition, only finance it selves via stuff like this:  

Monetization of Federal debt is all the USA can do, just like your obesity rates why don't you just have fun with it my dear USA?

Till updates. 

(18 Nov 2011) Two items: 

Item 1) On the IAEA report on Iranian nuclear activities. 
Item 2) Boring links. 

Item 1) On the IAEA report on Iranian nuclear activities.  

Ok, there is a steady drumbeat over there in the media about the likelihood of Iran trying to make a nuclear bomb. Since many years ago I arrived at the conclusion that Iran did not try to make a nuclear bomb it might be wise to check for myself if old old insights are still valid today.

Without posting links, for me it was very funny to observe that some US lawmakers think that Iran tries to create a nuclear EMP blast against our beloved USA... 

I will not repeat my own old arguments upon my old conclusion, I would only like to highlight the extreme desire of some IAEA so called 'member states' to turn attention away from the little Palestine problem they have towards big evil like a nuclear armed Iran. 

My dear reader, I have only read a few parts of the IAEA recent report on Iran and I am sorry to inform you that rather likely this report is just another bucket of shit. 

My dear reader, the IAEA report is about 26 pages long, so it's a long read. But if you do not have the time, save the file so you can later read it when you have time enough... Link: 

http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/IAEA_Iran_8Nov2011.pdf  

__________ 

Chairman stuff. 

Simply for myself speaking, from the moment he was appointed I considered the new IAEA chairman a so called 'weak person'. I never wrote about it, why not let time do it's miracles? 

In the report there is just too much weird stuff coming from 'member states' so in mind comes Israel & the USA. Sorry folks, the above report might be more or less a little bit true, for the time being I simply operate from the viewpoint that Iran is not actually making nuclear bombs. 

In case you might be interested about why I think the new IAEA chairman is a 'weak person'? Try to read this:

Statement to World Association of Nuclear Operators Biennial General Meeting 
http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/statements/2011/amsp2011n028.html 

Item 2) Boring links. 

I love it, all those doomsayers about the €. It will break up, it will destroy us too, it will this and it will that... In practice it is very very good we finally have some action against the ridiculous debt super cycle where year in year out debt growth always outstrips total profit growth.
So my dear doomsayers, will the € breakup truly get us into WWIII? Have fun with:

The Rise of a Euro Doomsayer (from the NYT)
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/rise-euro-doomsayer-155509377.html 

__________ 

Rather often the USA folks complain about China having an artificially cheap currency and as such generating gigantic trade deficits with the poor poor USA folks. But, as Stephen Roach points out, the USA runs more or less a trade deficit against every nation it trades with... 

America's Other 87 Deficits 
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/roach10/English 

__________ 

No time was found to check the factual details on the official USA Federal Reserve website, but somewhere it was claimed that the FED was now the largest holder of US Treasuries thereby surpassing China. 
So all goes down it's predictable path... What else can they do beside monetising debt? After all the USA folks are the debt huggers pur sang! 

Fed Now Largest Owner of U.S. Gov’t Debt—Surpassing China  

__________ 

Bloomberg is reporting that, sheer horror & pure evil, that holy USA banks risk contagion from Euro risks! Wow man, it is no longer Mortgage Backed Securities that could be a trouble for USA banks, this time the poor poor USA banks have to skip the 'mark to market' rule even for European sovereign debt! 

U.S. Banks Face Contagion Risk From Europe Debt 

__________ 

The most boring links are the last two: they are about using the axe properly.
I just love that kind of stuff although I haven't done much axing lately. 

For you it will be boring, but I like Youtubbers like that: 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueIB0h4SzHc  

And a German version, also nice: 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j506cXGvOPg  

Till updates. 

(09 Nov 2011) Two items:

Item 1) Will the Italian debt huggers run into problems? 
Item 2) Oh oh Israel; are thou a bunch of liars? 

 Item 1) Will the Italian debt huggers run into problems? 

In the previous update I neglected the side show named Greece because all in all that takes away all attention of much larger underlying issues. (May be that explains why the US financial media pay so much attention at the European problems...) 

Anyway today Italy her ten year interest rates on fresh debt rose above 7%.
Since Italy has about 1900 billion € in outstanding debt that would amount to only 130 billion a year in interest payments.
Of course the 130 billion is some theoretical future ceiling and you have to compare that to the average interest rate on already outstanding debt. I don't have a clue about what the present average interest rates are, suppose they are only 3.5%.
That means yearly interest payments would rise only 65 billion €. 

Italy has a population of about 60 million so the extra interest payments would amount to about 1000 € a year per capita citizen. Although that is a lot of money it rather likely will not be the end of Italy. 

__________ 

The problem for Italy is of course that they can only pay old debt via refinance and so you have to trust them you constantly hear because financial markets are build on trust.
Trust? Often financial markets are also based on irrationality; any fool can see the US Federal bond markets only act as a 'safe haven' because there is nothing else. 

With only a small piece of paper and a pencil you can calculate that this safe haven is not for real; what else can the USA do in the long run than monetizing more and more debt? 

__________ 

Now for trust in Italy; do you trust Italy? 

For myself speaking I think it will be very hard for Italy to change in a meaningful way, just look for example at the garbage problems in Napels and so. For an amazingly long time people have constantly trash and garbage on the streets.

So do you trust a nation that cannot even clean up it's own citizens garbage? 

Item 2) Oh oh Israel; are thou a bunch of liars? 

Yesterday it was very funny that emerged, quote: 

Microphones accidently left on after G20 meeting pick up private conversation between US, French presidents. Sarkozy admits he 'can't stand' Israeli premier. Obama: You're fed up with him? I have to deal with him every day! 

Source (Ynet): Report: Sarkozy calls Netanyahu 'liar' 
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4145266,00.html 

Of course it is very funny that it is phrased in words like 'liar' but lets put all fun aside and analyze Israel's very weird words once more: 

For months and years we are hearing from the Israelis that the Palestinians need to come to the negotiating table without pre-conditions (with that the fucking Israelis mean the Palestinians must not complain about settlement expansions).
But for themselves they say (quoting Netanyahu in the Haaretz):

Netanyahu at UN: Palestinians can get state only after peace with Israel 

Of course in the meantime Israel just cannot give up her right to 'self defense' because they are surrounded by evil terrorists & more of that bla bla bla. 

__________ 

My dear reader, the creation of the state of Israel was a massive blunder from our recent forefathers. It has been a disaster from the very beginning and since Israel was created by the international community, that very same community should also end the existence of the state of Israel. 

One way or the other: the creation of Israel was one of the last big colonial decisions.  

It was wrong from day one, we should end Israel as soon as possible. As far as I am concerned; the state of Israel has lost her right to exist somewhere in the last 60 years. 

That's my view on the fucking liars from Israel; they don't want peace, they only want settlement expansions and go on with the military imbalance that prevents a meaningful peace anyway. 

Lets leave it with that, till updates. 

(01 Nov 2011) Today we take a fine look at the UNESCO vote for allowing Palestine to be a member while we neglect a funny side show like the Greek debt hugging problems.

Item 1) It looks like the Israeli circus is continuing: more landgrabs. 

 Item 1) It looks like the Israeli circus is continuing: more landgrabs. 

For some strange reason the USA has some law that forbids all funding to UN agencies that would recognize some kind of Palestine state. 

One way or the other; this is a very strange law. It looks like inside USA laws there are all kinds of things that truly hinder the recognition of a Palestine state. 
That is weird beyond belief, this law in particular even doesn't allow for a presidential waiver... 

So, by law, the USA stopped funding UNESCO. 

Who says the USA is not the perfect Israeli poodle?  

__________ 

My dear reader for years and years I have argued that the present situation is more or less the perfect situation for our beloved Israel: day in day out the slow landgrab will go on one square meter of new ground at a time. 

Therefore it was funny to observe a very fresh reaction from the strong Israeli leader monseigneur Netanyahu (Jerusalem Post): 

PM calls for increased W. Bank settlement after UNESCO vote 
http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=244014 

As an example, quoting: 

In a series of retaliatory moves against the Palestinian Authority, Israel on Tuesday night agreed to accelerate Jewish construction over the pre-1967 line and to temporarily suspend the transfer of tax funds to the PA. 

Comment: No comment needed, a long long time ago I understood the luxury position of Israel. Israel will always do anything to prevent peace, therefore she shall be destroyed... (Or will she only break a finger nail, who knows...) 

__________ 

My dear reader, with sadness in my heart I have to inform you that there is a new SecDef. You might think 'So what'? 

But for me those kind of details are very important, the previous SecDef was Robert Gates and he was so smart that his sheer presence kept me from activating sheer & rough violence against the US army. 

By now the US military has a new SecDef and although I did not study the guy I simply smell a fresh Donald Rumsfeld clone.  

Don't forget my dear reader, guys wearing the title of 'SecDef' usually run about 50% of global military spending. It is only the 50% threshold that arouses my attention of course... 

And oh yeah, why me might look at another Rumsfeld clone? The new guy on the block has stated a few weeks ago that Israel and Palestine: 

Both parties should go back to the negotiating table because they have nothing to loose.  

Comment: No comment, if the SecDef wants to believe such nonsense for himself just let it be. 

__________ 

Till updates. 

(25 Oct 2011) Ok ok, I am annoyed by all those 'human rights' weirdo's that want to investigate the Gadhaffi killing as some kind of criminal war act...
My dear NY based human rights weirdo's: isn't it one 100% clear that a military bullet was used? A clean entry wound and rather likely a clean wound when the bullet exited the body. 

My dear human right weirdo's; compare that to the bullets used by the US Navy Seal team when they killed bin Laden. After my humble opinion that was illegal ammo, of course with stuff like that the human right weirdo's keep their mouth shut. 

__________ 

After having said that, let have fun with the European debt crisis! 

Item 1) Will the EU rescue fund work? Will it 'rescue'? 

 Item 1) Will the EU rescue fund work? Will it 'rescue'? 

The rescue fund is a very strange thing, in many ways it resembles something of a flying elephant. There is no real money in the 440 billion € rescue fund; it is borrowed money that is AAA rated and the money could be borrowed because the European countries guaranteed for the shortcomings of the rescue fund... 

In practice countries contribute with a pledge of guarantee and this adds nothing to their running daily deficits. So it's a huge bag of borrowed money, but until now not much of this bag of borrowed money has been spend.  

Since the rescue fund doesn't show up on the deficits of the diverse EU countries we might wonder if this will be a total disaster.
For the time being there is no reason for a total broad based panic: It is not as horrible as the 4+ trillion US Federal Trust Funds. Because in the US Trust Funds there is only sheer debt and all contributions to the Trust Funds have been spend years and years ago. 

Will it work? 

I don't know because I don't have any kind of sharp insight into total debt level growth inside Europe. In the previous update I calculated for you that in the USA debt levels in the last 30 years in the real economy grew over 7% every year thus outstripping all possible underlying profit growth. 

By the way, in case you are interested about exactly why the USA population got so horribly fat & obese these last decades: look no further as their total debt growth...

So I know a lot of statistics and I have to admit that have no insight in European total debt levels, the rescue fund can work if and only if total EU debt growth is far beyond the USA 7% problem. 

Lets leave it with that, till updates. 

(20 Oct 2011, temporary update)  

Item 1) Wow man, what a day in Libya! 

 Item 1) Wow man, what a day in Libya!

Of course in the first place I would like to congratulate the Libyans too with the killing of our bucket of shit named colonel Gadhafi; congratulations! 

A few updates back I pondered the detail of a killed Gadhafi buried under some square in Tripoli inside the sewage system and build an urinoir above it...
Ok that was a bit rough, but I also mentioned that highly likely Muslim religion will forbid such things, so as an idea it was nice but it would be weird to actually do that.  

To my surprise today it emerged in the end he was hiding in some sewage pipes and I felt the need to make some graphical art from it, but nowhere I could find some good footage; if I find it may be I'll make some art from that in the future. 

__________ 

In the West a lot of observers are afraid for civil war inside Libya because there are so many factions and the place is awash with lots and lots of weapons...

Ok ok I admit things could run out of hand, but for the time being I totally don't expect it. After 42 years of the colonel most Libyans understand what it means to have some fair share of freedom. 

__________

Ha my dear Libyans, may be already 1% of your total workload is done these last months. From the bottom of my heart I wish you luck with the next 99%.

Make Libya a beautiful place to live! 

Lets leave it with that, it was a good day today. 

Till updates.

Updated 21 Oct at 00.19 hours: 

Luckily the Guardian had a photo, so after about 10 minutes of work some graphic art could look like this (it's only a sketch of course):  

Ok, end of this temporary item, till updates my dear reader. 

(07 Oct 2011) One item:  

Item 1) Musings on debt level growth; a boring approach. 

 Item 1) Musings on debt level growth; a boring approach. 

Suppose you live in an economy where it is more or less supposed that if you take on debt you will also repay it, for example if you take a mortgage it is supposed by the bank that you will actually pay your mortgage back in the long run. 

Lately the US FED issued a new so called Z1 release and one of my favorite short files is the next link:   

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/current/accessible/d3.htm  

It is such a cute short file that gives so much insight on the larger scale of things, for example all the stuff of 2008 and so could be easily foreseen if you knew where to look... It was so fucking simple to foresee the collapse of the financial system. 

Today I only want to look at the total debt levels in the USA as found in the first column of the file above: that contains all USA debt without the financial sector debt. 

Of course now the last few years there is all that talk of so called 'tax money' needed to transfer it to the so called 'financial sector' it might be interesting to observe how fast private and government debt as a total grows. (Or shrinks...) 

So for example; how fast did this total of private and government debt grow over the last five years in the USA? On inspection you see: 

2011 Q2 = 36516.8 and
2006 Q2 = 28089.0 

The growth factor over a five year timespan is 36516.8 / 28089.0 = 1.30 so the yearly factor would be 1.30^0.2 = 1.0539
That means 5.39% of total debt growth a year. 

Is that high given the 36 trillion we are talking about? Are the years 2006 through 2011 some kind of anomaly?  

Lets look at the last 30 years in order to see if the last five years might be some strange anomaly: in the year 1981 total debt was: 

1981 Q4 =  4361.7 while we still have 
2011 Q2 = 36516.8 of 'total debt' 

That gives a 30 year growth factor of 36516.8 / 4361.7 = 8.37 

So the yearly growth factor would be 8.37^(1/30) = 1.073 or a totally staggering 7.3% on an annualized basis. 

May be now you understand why the US FED is so afraid of deflation; the US economy is finetuned to be afraid for stuff like the real economy ruling the waves. All we have is ridiculous debt growth but little real performance...  

In order to make this update as boring as possible, a bit of graphics:  

And: 

Ok, it's time to hit the 'publish website'. See ya around my dear reader. 

Till updates. 

(22 Sept 2011, temporary update. Updated in Dutch on 30 Sept.) 

Item 1) The Israeli circus will continue, or not?

 Item 1) The Israeli circus will continue, or not?

Numerous times I told you that the Israelis are basically only interested in ongoing slow expansions, they do it slowly and it goes on by the square meter and day by day year in year out.

That is the only thing that counts in the long run for Israel, the rest is only a circus and when the Israelis feel the need to play the violin they play the violin. The only difference is that this time it is the Israeli finger behind the (military) trigger so you observe a very different kind of violin music. 

This week it emerged that the Palestinians want a reasonable response from the United Nations in general & the upper echelons of the UN in particular. The request is simple to understand: Give us some kind of state so we can live.

__________ 

For myself speaking I would like to see the application of the USA veto in the UN Security Council so that we will have clearity on that detail. Please no weasel stuff from the other UN folks please... 

Lets leave this temporary update with that, as mostly when I am seething with anger better I keep updates as short as possible.

So see you on some lost Friday afternoon. Till updates. 

========== 

Update (in Dutch from Friday 30 Sept 2011):

Zo zeg eigenlijk wilde ik vorige week op vrijdag de 23-ste wat updaten maar ik was een beetje moe of had geen zin of weet ik veel wat. 

Gelukkig was er in Zeeland een interessante giga grote knal; een compleet caisson totaal aan gruzelementen! En weet je, ik krabe mij een beetje over mijn oude kale kop en dacht van dat soort dingen als 'Wow man, zouden de lui die dit explosief gemaakt en geplaatst hebben soms ook af en toe deze website lezen?' 

Geen idee of zij ook kinkytshirts punt nl lezen, maar er waren wel een aantal gave details gevonden: 

1) Giga grote knal te horen over grote delen van Zeeland, geen doden of gewonden.
2) Onderzoek door politie en EOD kan alleen gedurende laag water.
3) Geen enkele verantwoording is opgëeist.
4) Politie heeft, zoals gebruikelijk, geen flauw idee.
5) Etc etc, al met al was het erg komisch maar bovenal uitstekend uitgevoerd! 

Voor als je het nieuws gemist had, bijv op nu punt nl: 

http://www.nu.nl/binnenland/2624786/caisson-gesprongen-zwaar-explosief.html  

Nou ja de Zeeland knal was het positieve nieuws van de week maar het negatieve nieuws was toch wel de Jodenstreek die onze minister van buitenlandse zaken Uri Rosental ons brave belastingbetalers flikte. 

Ik had eerst zoiets van ik scheld Uri gewoon uit voor Blöde Scheiss Jude maar later dacht ik van dat dat misschien toch iets te ver gaat... 

Wat is het geval? Uri blokkeerde eigenhandig een Europese resolutie omdat die 'te negatief' voor Israel zou zijn. Ik moet zeggen dat ik de oorspronkelijke tekst van die resolutie niet gelezen heb, maar voor zover ik weet is dhr Uri Rosental een lid van de Nederlandse regering en niet in dienst van Israel. 

Kijk wat mij betreft mogen Joden gewoon Nederlanders zijn en ook alle gangbare maatschappelijke functies vervullen, maar een minister van buitenlandse zaken die zo éénzijdig pro Israel is dat kan natuurlijk niet. 

Dus ik adviseer geen sniper schot tegen Uri (zoals ik lang geleden wel eens adviseerde in het gevalletje Maxime Verhagen) maar ik zie liever een minister van buitenlandse zaken die de Nederlandse belangen behartigd en niet die van Israel. 
In de praktijk zou dat betekenen dat we deze minister snel moeten afvoeren op de één of andere manier... 

NRC bericht bijv: 

D66 en PvdA eisen uitleg over Nederlandse blokkade EU-standpunt Israël  

En dan bijv dat weekbald Elsevier, eigenlijk is Elsevier altijd een pro Israel club geweest: 

Rosenthal: EU-tekst over Israël was niet evenwichtig 

Dus mijn geachte Rosental: wil je een evenwichtig sniper schot ja of nee? 

Einde van deze update. 

========== 

Update van 09 Nov 2011 (in Dutch): 

Er blijft geen enkel nieuw nieuws komen in de arrestatie van die 20 jarige jonge man die deze caisson explosie op zijn geweten zou hebben. 

Zijn ouders waren ook gearresteerd maar die zijn al weer vrij en zijn voorarrest was verlengd met een dag of 30...

Ik moet opmerken dat de kans dat een 20 jarige zoiets kan doen als een heel caisson opblazen toch wel uitermate klein is, het kan wel maar dan moet je toch als klein kind af aan al veel met explosieven te maken hebben. 

Zelf had ik een soort van dader profiel als iemand, waarschijnlijk mannelijk, van 28 tot zo'n 35 jaar. Nou ja, ouder dan 35 jaar zou natuurlijk best kunnen, in dat geval en als ie nog op vrije voeten is zullen toekomstige bommen spaarzaam zijn. Maar bij activatie wel spectaculair... (Tenminste dat is mijn inschatting tot nu toe.) 

Verder is er natuurlijk gerede kans dat de Zeeuwse politie in dezelfde IQ equivalentie klasse zitten als de lokale politie hier te Groningen en tja laat mij diplomatiek blijven en deze IQ klasse maar niet omschrijven...

Ik blijf (als een soort van strontvlieg) deze interessante caisson zaak natuurlijk volgen... Tot kijks. 

Till updates. 

(09 Sept 2011)  Sorry for not updating for so long but I was doing other stuff. Other stuff like loosing weight (15 kilogram until now so only 5000 gram to go), loosing weight is actually very simple. Eat less, exercise a bit more and, in my individual case, drink green tea... 
Basically it is so simple that I don't understand why there are so many commercial shitty diet programs around, the losers that buy those shitty products can only be classified as lazy folks; loosing weight is not something you can buy but is mostly a state of mind. 

Hey, I crafted two very boring items, here they are: 

Item 1) Boring links.
Item 2) On the nonsense of Euro bonds. 

 Item 1) Boring links. 

Somewhere it was claimed some monkeys made photo's of themselves with a camera that was left behind... Don't know if it's true but the photo's don't seem to be some trick. 

Source (from techdirt): Monkey Business: Can A Monkey License Its Copyrights To A News Agency?  

A six page read about the emerge of the US dollar, very interesting: 

When money brought us together 

From just before the recent market turmoil, from the Black Swan: 

S&P 500 Priced in Gold---The Economic Recovery Illusion  

A movie festival with 911 conspiracy theory movies? Those folks are very persistent, I have given up highlighting my version of events because of the sheer lack of interest... (Although even today after so many years it is still funny to be able to say: They had to die so I could live...;)  

Bay Area to Host 9/11 Conspiracy Movie Festival 

For the fine-tasters, in Europe money measurement M3 grew 2% in July (annualized 2% of course): 

MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE EURO AREA: JULY 2011
http://www.ecb.int/press/pdf/md/md1107.pdf 

In the next video a guy named Chris Whalen is talking reasonable stuff about farces like Federal US Trust Funds... 

He even mentions stuff like the 
Federal Uniform Core Kernel Inflation Neglecter Gauge: 

Is Social Security a ‘Ponzi Scheme’? Chris Whalen “Salutes Perry for Raising the Issue” 

Item 2) On the nonsense of Euro bonds. 

In Europe the situation is very simple: Debt Hugging nations think it is a good idea to issue Euro bonds because that will shrink their interest rates on freshly issued debt while normal countries don't think it is a good idea. 

In this country we, the Dutch, pay very low interest rates on more or less modest amounts of debt. But it is not as a simple one dimensional mindset I am very much against the idea of Euro bonds.

Let me name just a few counter arguments: 

1) One thing we have learned from the financial crisis is that it would be better to have risk locally contained. If local risk can swarm too easy around you run the risk of blowing the whole place up. 

2) Too low rates were very much the beginning of the problems for debt hugger nations, going on with that is of course the best way to blow up the value of the €. 

3) There will always be nations confronted with huge internal problems that will over borrow if rates are too low. Look for example at Spain; they are not rigid debt huggers but their unemployment levels are just so high that they might be tempted to do weird things. 

4) Euro bonds will hollow out the national parliaments, it is simply better to let the locals collect taxes and issue debt and avoid too much centralization.
Remember Greenspan: Too much centralization can kill you. 

5) And so on, and so on. 

No I cannot think of only one tiny long term benefit, the European countries are far to diverse that a uniform tax code and Euro bonds will always be a negative in the long run. 

While the € has only brought positives for the real economy, every day from every year we have large cost cutters at work: Try to imagine how 17 different currencies would work... 

__________ 

My dear reader, it is time to hit the button known as 'publish website'.
So till updates & have a happy 911 anniversary. 

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