The writings of Reinko Venema
Arty: So now the mujahedin want to hear your opinion upon the latest Military Bloody Day, or MBD, from 02 October 2006.
-Reinko (smiling): Oh I never expected such a question.
The latest MBD was a great success, it looks like the Western air forces bowed for the story, my wish for a double digit number in Western death toll was there and what more do I want?
I would also like tripe digit numbers but these are for the (far)
future... May I once more thank all parties for their help? THANKS!
Of course it is extremely important that the Western air powers bowed on that day because from now on the story can enter the heads and brains of the NATO officers corps. Welcome boys & girlz! Welcome!
So far this short answer.
Arty: Ok, I have to go bye.
Ok, I think that I like the periods labeled with a '1' or a '0' where that means:
0 = Less than long running average
US military deaths is advised or expected,
At first I used them only in my own statistics but since I lately mentioned them in the writings why not give it a try and go on with the zero-one variable until four star general Petraeus (the leader of the US slime inside Iraq) has delivered his report upon the surge in Iraq.
The table below is to be found at the writings of 11 May, just one day after the latest Military Bloody Day. Because it stretches over a considerable time frame we can safely use the T-test for independent samples as for example is found in the SPSS Package. Every now and then I will update the SPSS data file and a jpg picture of the SPSS output.
For the period 24 March - 27 May
one tailed significance runs at 1.4% so since 1/0.014 = 71 it is now 71 times more likely that I tell the truth compared to
weirdo's like Dubya and Petraeus.
Here is the table with the future '0' and '1' periods placed:
That's it for the time being except for one detail:
Originally I envisioned two more Military Bloody Day's this year but given
the importance of Petraeus speech before the Congress I lay down a proposal
at the feet of the Iraqis: Shall we make that date an MBD?
(04 August 2007) Testing... Test failed, URL is gone.
But the Iraqis who're paid $80,000 to $120,000 a year for their interpreting services are offended.
(02 August 2007) I was that stupid not to mention that the so called 'zero and one' project has started again at 26 July (see the above table). Needless to say that in order to win the war in the shortest time frame possible we need record highs of dead US soldiers; it means an average of above four a day in order to make four star general Petraeus a fool before his parliament.
Well how is stuff going until now? Truth is that during the last six days there are tap water problems in Baghdad, here is the Ass Press file on it, it is clear this is very worrisome. Not only from the humanity point of view because we have all those kids dying but also from the military point of view because this hinders operations and the Baghdad area cannot be missed into the statistics.
Of course the Americans are doing next to nothing to solve the tap water problems (recall they are there for the oil and not for the local tap water).
(30 July 2007) So I am back from a one week of a bicycle holiday and flip I did not make it to Gaasterland... Just like in the past I failed two times to make it to the city of Brest in northern France, the first time because the planning Groningen-Brest-Paris-Groningen was to optimistic for the time frame given and the second time it was related to mechanical problems. Well one day I will make it to the aqua zoo of Brest! On bike!
But before that day is there I would like to remark that indeed in my house there is great joy over Iraq winning the Asian cup, I am glad they made it! Congratulations Iraq..;)
I would like to keep this update short and we
take a nice look at the treasure trove as found by the Hamas with
their swift taking of the West Bank. If only 10 or 20 percent of
the claims against the Fatah corrupted folks is true, it is still
a magnificent treasure trove of how the West collects their so
"They thought it was me," he said.
Till updates my dear reader.
(22 July 2007) I will be gone for at least one week, in the meantime it could be that this website expires...:(
The American White House is lately a bit flip-flopping over the importance of the mid-September outlook for the so called surge in Iraq. The second rating US military commander in Iraq has stated he needed 45 more days to make a proper evaluation. Why this is I do not know but in general we can say that mental dwarfs always need weeks and months of time where everybody normal could draw the conclusions in just a few hours.
All in all there is no need to change the strategy (there is already talk in the Media about the surge being a big success so very likely the desired 'Media effect' will take off.
To all who need it: Good luck after 25 July and good luck in August! I will be following the news via so called 'newspapers' (that is a very old fashioned way of following the news; the news is printed on paper and you can buy that...).
(19 July 2007) Sorry I am a bit late but with this arm out of the pit and websites that do not expire on the proper dates please pity me.
The masterwork is there in it's embryonic stage. Here is the simple statistical analysis around the ´0´ and ´1´ project, it clearly says we we have significant more US slime killed on the so called ´one´ days.
I think that UK pm Gordon Brown is capable of swallowing the statistical battlefield data as they are found on the ground. That is what I think, but anyway who am I?
Till updates my dear reader.
(18 July 2007) Right now daily average death toll for coalition members in Iraq for the month of July stands at only 2.56 slime / day that gets killed. We have to go back to August 2006 to find lows like that.
I do not understand completely why the
Western media outlets do not couple the low daily death toll
towards a success of the so called surge strategy. I
mean we only have 46 killed coalition members and it is already
the 18th of this month...
(16 July 2007, second update) A few days back I found the ultimate proof that indeed Dubya has IQ 43! Well this is well known and well established throughout humanity but now I did find solid proof that vice prez Dick Cheney has military IQ of 17 points!
What is the case? Well from January 2004 until now I have pointed out that where it took me about two hours to find out that those so called biological mobile vans from Iraq were just hydrogen producement trucks (for the fine tuning of artillery) , it took Cheney at least four or five months to arrive at that conclusion. In the Summer of 2003 these so called biological trucks were found, I studied the facts as they were found on the ground and arrived after two hours of thinking it was not biological or chemical stuff whatsoever.
So that was Summer 2003, what did Cheney say in January 2004? The dumb ass pointed out that 'Weren't there biological/chemical mobile installations found?'
You might wonder why US vice prez Dick Cheney is rewarded with a military IQ of just 17 IQ points? Well check it out at defenselink dot mil to find out that Cheney was the 17th American Secretary of Defense (the 17th SecDef), here are the undeniable facts...
Do you understand how stupid Dick Cheney is? He has ruled a magnificent military, for example under Dick's command we had the so called Road of Death ending the invasion of Kuwait (only 100 thousand Iraqis killed in just a few hours) and still with all the information he can have at his fingertips he still talks about bio/chemical vans five months after it was found to be artillery related vans...
Ha ha my dear US military, lately it was found out that your commander in chief Dubya wished for democracy in Iraq 'just like in Israel' (see source) and now we have Dick that was responsible of killing at least 100 thousand Iraqi soldiers.
When in future writings I talk about IQ 43 I mean George Dubya Bush and when I talk about IQ 17 it is stupid Dick.
For the rest just some fun:
(16 July 2007) So this website still is not expired, well I cannot find the original six year old contract so I cannot check if something strange is going on...
Since the 01 update I have had some medical problems, having an arm out of it's pit was only the smallest one but a few days of sleeping 11 to 12 hours could set in a relatively fast healing process. It is amazing how fast you can heal if you get enough sleep and rest...
The most weird news from the last weeks was
when that Australian defense minister declared that indeed they
were in Iraq for the oil, of course that weasel pm Howard (the guy
with the funny voice) was very quick to say they were not there
for the oil but only to help the Iraqis... Weasel Howard only
forgot to explain as why there would be such a manifold in foreign
troops deployed compared to Afghanistan; why would the Iraqis get
so much more 'help' compared to the Afghanis???
When my body is strong enough I will have to do some traveling, something like 7 to at most 10 days will be needed to fulfill some family obligations. So when I do not update for relatively long time I am only traveling around.
Till updates my dear reader.
(01 July 2007) After a long time waiting the time has come for the next:
I would like to ask the Iraqi Shia death squad commanders to minimize their activities further. This is a reasonable request because it was related to also the minimizing of Shia markets bombed and we have not seen a single Shia market bombed in a long time. So these are the ways of what I call 'the story': Minimize the death squad activity. In case you are willing to help: thanks!
Of course lots of people will have lots of
different visions on what exactly drives this statistic of bombed
markets and of course the builders of concrete slabs will point at
the preventing that goes with the placement of concrete slabs
In another development the British raised the
terror level to the highest possible and that is very funny
because we only saw one burning car in Glasgow...
Till updates my beloved reader. Till updates.
(30 June 2007) There are worries on the horizon and these worries have a name: The name is Gordon Brown and he is the new prime minister of the GB.
This guy is not a lightweight like Dubya or
Dick Cheney, this Gordon Brown is for real. Lately I heard some
rumors about his academic career and so today I had to do the
Wikipedia thing begging God that Gordon
Brown has not studied physics or so.
To complicate matters further, Gordon was born in 1951 so he is 12 years older then me and if this all was not enough the guy has suffered. Ok it is only one blind eye and just a few years but suffering brings big wisdom in guys like that.
There is more horror on this guy: He can be patient and can wait many years to strike. So that's one more worry...
You know the problem with this guy is simple to understand: Gordon would need at most five minutes to check the validity of the latest zero and one project that killed 346 coalition slime in Iraq in just 94 days and after that he would go work on other things. So one thing is utterly clear: For the first time since September 2001 I face a formidable opponent.
For example the easy at making Dubya a full lame duck is nothing compared to making Gordon another Tony Blair. But facts are facts and because Gordon now also has to lead an entire nation he will be absorbed with that and likely he will not be a major hindrance to this story. But he is something to fear and to worry about and may be it is wise to test him with something like 350 to 500 civilians killed so I can check how wise he really is.
I think I have to think longer because 500 civilians are also 500% of the civilians blown to smithereens in Afghanistan in just the last week.
Lets leave it with that, see you on the battlefields Gordon. See you there...
(29 June 2007) On the London scare around a few car bombs I have no comment for the moment except that it is indeed rather strange that you drive very wild when you ride in a car bomb... (That's the way the first car was found.)
Luckily there is also positive news this day: US slime toll in Iraq this month also triple digit fashion! Here is the fun:
Hear here, it's the triple triple
song you stupid!
The above picture says all I had to say,
except for the next wonderful and positive news I found today: US
led president George Dubya Bush would like Iraq to become 'Just
like Israel'. Yeah yeah, I had some field day today! Here
is the Media file.
(27 June 2007) It looks like all death reports until 25 June are in and the '0' and '1' project likely ended on a one tailed significance of 3.05%.
So according to common scientific behavior we can reject the zero hypothesis from the next set of statistical stuff:
H0 : Iraq is in chaos, no stupid
zero or one project can help that, versus
This is welcome news and of course I would like it that all Media outlets concentrate on the things in life that really matter, for example if Paris Hilton was wearing underwear or not when she was released from jail... That's important to the American public so concentrate on that detail please!
Statistical testing was based on 94 days of observing the US and coalition death toll, in this timeframe we had 345 reported dead coalition slime. The 94 days amount to 6% of the total days this war has lasted and the 345 dead folks are 9% of the overall death toll of 3847. Therefore the Military Bloody Day that was located at 10 May this year was a blistering success!
It sure is a pity that you cannot communicate
with the Americans on an argument based kind of conversation, even
the former UK prime minister Tony Blair has found that out. The
only argument the Americans listen to is the argument of filled
In a few days I will write a html file with some statistical conclusions from these last 94 days of the '0' and '1' project.
Till updates my dear reader, have a nice life or try to get one.
(26June2007) Today we take a look at the expected death toll numbers of the US led coalition in Iraq for the month of July. It was after four days of thinking and one more day for more thinking that I came up with the next strategy:
Strategy A: July in the 75 to 80 range, for August try to get above 141 of dead coalition slime (this in order to get above both Fallujah raidings death toll's) and for September likely any triple digit number will do in case the Petraeus speech is early in September.
Motivation: When we will have an artificial
low death toll in July the Americans will climb over each other in
order to shout into the Media microphones: See the surge is
working! Ha! Now it is proven that our leader Dubya is indeed a
very smart military leader! We win, they loose and the Iraqis are
siding with us day by day & bla bla bla.
There is a small danger with this strategy: It only works best when indeed the Iraqis can come up with 141+ coalition death toll in the month of August. My estimation is that this danger is so small it can be taken: I think that the Iraqis can beat the US/coalition death toll related to the second raiding of Fallujah. (Don't forget that in this second raiding we had the biggest concentration of heavily armor since World War II; there is nothing in the Korean war or the Vietnam war that compares to this so it will be very important to crush the monthly threshold of 141.)
Well this is all up for the local commanders, if they think that the 141 threshold cannot be crushed we simply have:
Strategy B: July any triple death toll number for the brave coalition that is not there to steal the oil but helping the Iraqis in finding happiness will do. August also triple digit but as high as possible (that could indeed mean above 141...).
Motivation: Keeping monthly USA death toll month in month out in a triple digit fashion is demolishing the American public opinion rather efficient.
So now you understand my problem: What is
better, Strategy A or Strategy B? Well in order to make Petraeus a
fool before the Congress I think Strategy A is the best...
With all my accumulated knowledge of a 43 year old man, this is the best advice I can give. It is fully thought through and all I can hope for is the blessing of Allah. This is all I can hope for...
At last; what about this month? It looks like the Iraqis will make it to some triple digit number of dead coalition slime, just like advised. So we will likely observe the first 'triple consecutive triple digit death toll of slime' in the entire Iraqi war. Right now it is 26 June and we have 91 dead slime reported plus we have the benefit of time lag...;)
Till updates my dear reader, think well live well and fight well.
(24 June 2007) It is today that I can publish a very interesting average, first lets take a look at the next screenshot from icasualties.org:
You see that the highest daily average of killed coalition slime still is 4.02 and that average goes back to 2003 and of course that average is from the invasion of Iraq...
Another interesting detail is the average from the last 143 days (that is exactly the time that I live in the new and bigger house by the way): It says 3.49 on average during the last 143 days. So averages are rising but lets take a look at the next screenshot made from my illegal SPSS crack:
You see that during the days labeled with a
'1' the average runs at 4.28 killed coalition slime / day. If
today and in the coming two days no US slime gets killed in Iraq
average will end at 4.02 but this is not to be expected...
My dear Iraqis: You have made it; this simply
means that this nice '0' and '1' project is from the military
point of view more important than the whole invasion...
They do not know because they are too stupid in
the first place and in case they are not stupid they will have
some weird US emotional blockade in their weird heads.
Of course my thanks goes to the Iraqis: THANKS FOR HELPING THIS STORY!
Oh, there is only one little nasty detail left:
I still would like to keep the Media out so I am very sorry but I
have to repeat my request for one CNN journalist killed.
Till updates my dear readers.
Oops! Update from 21.38 hours: Stupid me, I only sifted through the so called geographical details right now and what do they say???
From the reported 14 dead US slime we have 10
from Baghdad and 2 from Anbar Province... (The US West Point
students are invited to read the words from 15 June below, these
dumboes are invited too.)
To opponent US four star general David
Petraeus I would like to say: Want another decade of this? Ok, you
said it yourself: We likely need another 10 years to fight this
All that was needed to be said was said, so till updates.
(22 June 2007) Today I have a small job for al Sadr, it will take at most two hours of work so I hope al Sadr can spare the time for this.
What's the job about? First read this media file (that looks relatively reliable and not riddled with too much propaganda).
The job is very simple: al Sadr has to invite this former taxi driver Abu Rusil or Abu al Hassan (the Shia commander that makes a hobby of drilling Sunni skulls). Very likely Abu will be honored to be invited by al Sadr.
Hopefully al Sadr will tell Abu a story that roughly goes along these points:
--The Americans invaded Iraq and they started using Shia to kill Sunni (rumors say those initial Shia killers were from the Iranian trained Badr brigades)
--So the Sunni, not particular crazy either, started killing Shia in return
--All the time the Americans used more and more Shia to kill more and more Sunni
--That is how your brother got killed Abu, so stop killing Sunni and concentrate on the American lead oil robbers instead.
Of course al Sadr can bring any other point around that he likes...
But beside this small job there is more to say to al Sadr: In nine days, that will be the 100th day of the '0' and '1' project I am planning to ask the Shia death squad commanders to minimize their activities because if they don't do that the market bombings will return.
This will be the second time that I will ask the death squad commanders to minimize their activities, if in lets say a period of 30 days there is no large decline in death squad activity the market bombings will resume.
More simple as this I cannot make it my dear
al Sadr, lets follow the path of wisdom and minimize both the
death squad labor and the Shia market places bombed...
Till updates my dear readers, by the way: yesterdays reported 14 killed US slime has to be upgraded to 15 killed US slime in 48 hours, till updates.
(21 June 2007, local time 19.34) CNN's leading article is 14 US troops killed in Iraq in 48 hours. Significance of the hundred day long test runs at 3.35% so indeed: During the periods labeled as '1' we see significant more killed US slime.
My thanks goes to the Iraqis; THANKS! And at the same time the future US military officers corps that studies at the West Point academy are invited to check this all, advised is some kind of statistical exam...;) For example this SPSS database when testing the so called 2 sample independent T-test, in case the Americans are interested: I am very willing to write such a test for free...:)
At last an important point: In a few days the
next '0' period will set in but if that large operation Arrowhead
Ripper is still going on we cancel the whole thing. It cannot be
that there is a '0' period when the Iraqis come under large
attacks day in day out, that is not very helpful.
So lets end this ego boosting writing & once more a big THANKS to those who deserve it! Till updates.
(19 June 2007) Now on day 87 of the '0' and '1' project so called significance is running at 9.7/2 = 4.85% so it is very clear that the four day long curfew in Baghdad has eaten away all reserves there were build in...
When in the coming '1' days only one US soldier will not get killed we will crash the 5% of significance threshold. We will see how stuff will unfold, we will see.
Right now, as if it would matter, the
Americans are staging a 10 thousand wide offensive against al
Qaida in Iraq. Operations from the US military often have those
very macho names, this operation is named Operation Arrowhead Ripper.
Update on the Palestine equation: It was
about 60 hours ago in the morning of the 17th of June I read this interesting
news article. Of course I already had told al Qaida in Europe
what to do at the height of the impending air raid.
I do not know how far the OPEC is in her
thinking but as far as I am concerned the so called 'oil weapon'
can easily be thrown in on behalf of the Gaza strip equation; act
swiftly before the many thousands killed by the possible
economical sanctions are there. Of course the oil weapon will be a
smart weapon (because we are in the age of so called 'smart
weapons') and only countries that support the possible future
sanctions will get no oil for a period of three to five months.
All other nations get it a a fixed price of say 80 US$/barrel but
when they smuggle to the evildoers all deliveries are withhold...
Why not give it a try my dear OPEC?
Of course I have to keep an eye of the thoughts of opponent four star general Petraeus (he leads the coalition of slime in Iraq) and in this media file you see some details coughed up. For example Petraeus is relating death squad activity to building up US forces (of course the relation is as always: more US presence gives a better behavior on behalf of the Iraqis). Well you slime head Petraeus, if you are that good in minimizing Shia death squad activity why don't you make it a field day for me and bring it down below five deaths a day for a period of just one week?
By the way Petraeus, just between you and me,
why did you not mention the decline in bombed Shia markets? Don't
you have statistics on that detail my dear boy?
Update on the latest war of mosques inside Iraq: Everybody knows the details so let me spare you mention them again. In the first place I hope that the Shia death squad commanders only relate their activity to bombed Shia market places. If we do not have such a binding the picture gets too much blurred.
To al Qaida in Iraq the next is advised: At the moment it is observed that a cell wants to stage a hefty attack against a religious object or symbol of the heretics it is advised the kill the entire cell. There will be no time for long time Sharia judgements, kill first and ask questions later...
I know al Qaida in Iraq has a lot on it's mind but those who think they can stage attacks at religious symbols are heretics to me. Do what you have to do!
(15 June 2007) Only a short update today, it is around the Baghdad curfew and it's possible consequences it could have on the statistics of the '0' and '1' project.
Needless to day that now we are in a '1'
phase and the Baghdad curfew hinders killing US military slime so
this is bad for the significance threshold. Right now this
threshold runs at 3.3% and when it comes above 5% we are in
My gut feeling says that the Baghdad curfew will not destroy the statistics, all we need are a bit more killed US slime outside the curfew area's. Beside this I can simply compensate for the curfew by estimating how much more US military slime would have died without a curfew... I hope sincerely that my fellow statisticians from the US military and the brave Israeli Defense Forces agree with me that this is a justified approach because the Baghdad curfew was unforeseen by all of us.
It has to be remarked that this hundred day long '0' or '1' project will give me a big sway over the mindset of the US officers corpse, the Iraqis also understand this detail so it is definitely worth some extra attacks on that US military slime. But it is right now only tactical where the large killings needed in August are from a more strategically point of view; just like before the US elections from last year it is important to kill enough of this slime in the month before opponent Petraeus will deliver his briefing before the US governmental thingelings.
That's it for today, till updates.
(14 June 2007) In the Palestine equation things
evolve swiftly and tunnel in the right direction, it was very
interesting to observe that the Israelis were willing to 'help'
Fatah in the West Bank only via for example weapon delivery...
But there was more weasel talk observed, this came from the White House via a spokesman for Dubya: Dubya has grave concerns around the Palestine violence.
Analysis: The day the international aid
towards the Palestines was withdrawn only two seconds after that
news reached me I understood Dubya was steering towards civil war
inside the Palestine territories.
Well it did not pan out this particular way & this is not the first time that the Dubya folks are completely wrong in their view on the world. It beats me why they keep on being wrong when I expose all kinds of heavenly wisdom on these subject for many years on a row...;)
Ok ok, since I am after the destruction of the US military it is imaginable that they will always say 'no' when I say 'yes' & that is all you need to understand about international diplomacy: Use the emotional mindset of a three year old and you understand how the international diplomacy of the USA works.
Ok a few words to the Palestines: Executions
on the spot give bad press, this is not advised. Now the green
flag is waving over the Gaza strip it is still advised to apply a
bit of democracy because that mechanism prevents civil war.
Just like the advise as given to al Qaida: Strike civil targets inside Europe when the future IDF air raidings are on their high point. Keep European civil death toll below 500 (that means less then one kilometer of filled coffins is advised).
That's it for today, let me only say to the Israeli air force officers corps: Have a nice life or try to get one.
(13 June 2007) Again some items today, five is their number. Five it will be:
And from the chapter 'How do very old advises upon the building of an army fare' we have two examples:
And we take a look at:
So quite a mixed picture, lets start:
ITEM ONE: The adventures of the US 10 year bond yields.
If you know nothing from bonds you can skip this detail. Lately these bond yields stand between 5.00% and 5.25% so they are just under Fred Bernanke's daily internight lending stuff from the FED to the commercial banks. Here is a graph of this yield:
Well nobody knows who does the selling so
with a little smile on my face I would like to thank China &
the look-alikes to hold on to the higher moral ground. And stop
financing the immoral wars in Iraq and Afghanistan...
ITEM TWO: A fine tuning of what I wrote two days ago around the situation in Anbar, Iraq. I wrote that as far as I am concerned the Anbar folks can pump up police and new born Iraqi army forces and restore a bit of elementary security around there.
This had not to be confused for only one gram
of support for the Iraqi puppet regime, this is not to be confused
with only one millimeter of support for this puppet regime.
ITEM THREE: How did old advices fare?
I am talking about advices about when the army is still small and has a lot of growing to do combined with what to de about successors of fallen leadership.
Lets first quote from that completely unknown group named The Army of the Men of the Naqashabandi Order. Quoting pillar seven:
Pillar Seven: Our army adopts the reserve system (substitutes). That means if any of the leadership elements is lost, his reserve will replace him, and if this reserve is lost, his reserve will succeed him, and so on. A reserve will succeed another until the last mujahid in this army. This system is set up so as not to let the enemy think of arresting the leaders of this army or think that if the leadership of the Army exterminated, the army will end.
Comment: Of course there have been at least
two translations from the original advices (English to Arabic and
now back) and beside that this text is from some oral interview
but a very important detail misses:
By the way my dear The Army of the Men of the Naqashabandi Order
men, without any insult meant, may I call you the N-Order or may
be New Order? That is I want of avoid having all kinds of little
papers hanging around here with the correct 'Naqashabandi' name.
Now I remark at myself it gets easier after a few times.
Lets stop this item and go the the next one:
ITEM FOUR: If my memory is factual correct it
was the day that the Hamas won the Palestine elections that I
asked them to create a new army (of course they already had a very
old so called 'military wing' but one wing does not make an army).
Today's victory (just some tactical stuff)
over Fatah was a lesson Fatah will remember for a long time, swift
speedy and just the way I like it.
Today's swift and speedy takeovers give rise to the expectation that indeed no long lasting destructive civil war (where the Western and Israeli powers were likely hoping for) will not be there. So although there are many families with weeks of little or no water and food, the nightmare scenario dreamt up by people like Dutch foreign minister Maxime Verhagen will not come out.
A few words to Maxime: Oh oh Maxime, today
you proved that you are nothing but a bag of dogshit because why
did you portrait today this conflict as one between so called
'moderates' and 'extremists'? Why this one dimensional approach my
bag of dog shit?
ITEM FIVE: I only want to remark that the statistic known as bombed Shia markets is running very low lately. If it stays that way I am planning on on day 100 of the '0' and '1' project to ask the death squad commanders in Iraq to minimize their activities again. (That would be the second time I would do such a thing, we have some weeks to go until that point in time).
I would like to thank the Iraqi Sunni's for withholding attacks on Shia markets and at the same time I would like to thank the Shia death squad commanders for following my advice for minimalization the very first time.
All in all I hope that both market bombing and death squad activity will stay low after day 100 of the '0' and '1' project. When one of these elements gets too high I will advice the other element to strike, these two details will be bound together.
Now you are at the end of this day's update. I you understand most of the details above you might be a successor of me... And now gheesh man, that would be lovely...;)
Till updates my dear reader, ok one more for the road we are riding:
(11 June 2007) Only four items today:
Item one: The bridge bombing from yesterday, in the Western media it surfaces as a suicide attack where normal people say it is a Martyrship attack. The details are staggering: The car (or the truck) explodes, one lane of the two lane bridge is utterly destroyed, the slabs of concrete fall on a US roadblock below...
Well on a scale of 1 to 10 this definitely is a perfect 10.
Item two: The situation in Anbar province. The Americans applaud the low level of US deaths inside Anbar as a very important success of their superior tactics and they plan to export this kind of stuff to the entire of Iraq.
So what is my vision on this?
Well of course I remarked that there were a little bit low US casualty numbers flowing from that particular Iraqi province but since the Anbar folks have taken the brunt for years and since general killed US slime was not negatively influenced I decided to be the wiser one and keep my mouth shut.
My respect goes to the people of the Anbar province because they have fought for years and if they need some months of recovery it is fine by me. After all from the statistical point of view there is no problem at all so why tunnel the Anbar folks in a attacking kind of mode where recovery is advised?
No way, only when it looks at the end of
August we have to little killed US slime we need some Anbar help temporarily
in order to achieve the needed level of dead US troops in that
future month. For the rest the Anbaris can clean up the province
from weird shit, recover and of course build up a bit of the thing
called military power.
BUT: It is advices to build up potential military power towards the occupiers and the stealers of oil contracts...
Item three: How does it work? How come that indeed lots of fanatics enter Iraq and make indeed some havoc around there? How come that indeed Iraq is some kind of trashcan for fanatics?
This all is very simple to understand: It is just like the way the war on drugs were fought in the past, make sure that all kinds of negative attributions are there on behalf of the drug dealers and guess what? It happens in practice!
So all Western media constantly say all kinds of fanatics head off to Iraq and guess what happens? They actually go.
Often I portray my opponent George Dubya Bush
as a full blown idiot but the above detail he understands: When
all Media Power folks say that fanatics go to Iraq than they will
go. And so my opponent Dubya can say to the Americans:
The Iraqi clergy is invited to explain to their audience how Media power can pan out, how you do it I do not care. Take some simple to understand life examples and reason along until you arrive at why lunatics are indeed entering Iraq.
Item four: Why do we need more killed CNN journalists?
This question is very simple to answer:
It was only four and a half months on a row
and at that date the US air power slime folks had already thrown
the same amount of air ammo as 2006 entire.
They reported World Sport, they reported Main Sail, they reported Living Golf, they reported all interesting things there are on the Business Traveler. They reported all kinds of interesting things about the collection of luxury things.
Yet they did not report that it took the US military only four and a half months to burn all that air ammo.
So I have to remove my ban on killing journalists and I advise to kill a bit of that CNN slime.
That's it for today, end of the itemizing thing.
(10 June 2007) Important!!: We will now have 15 days of the so called '1' days instead of the previously announced 10 days. Spread the word please! Sorry I am a bit late with this but I had to do some thinking on a range of subjects like how to maximize the overall strategy until Petraeus goes back to the USA to deliver his insights to Congress and Senate.
Of course in July and August it can be tried to achieve more of those 'Third deadliest month until now' but for a number one top ranking we need only 11 dead more coalition slime...
All in all the best strategy to follow is: Try to reach this month a triple digit death toll for the coalition slime while for July and August try to get above 141 reported dead coalition slime. I hope I do not over ask the Iraqis with this, I hope the evident advice given is a realistic advice.
Ha! These weird Americans, why can you only conduct dialogue with them via the method of filled coffins? Just like in the runup to the previous Congress / Senate elections from last year? Why is the coffin filling machine the only way to deal with the Americans? That part of the equation is still not fully understood by me, may be it is the fact that the USA strategic oil reserve is shrinking by the day a part of the answer... Who knows.
I wish those who stage the attacks a lot of luck, please never forget it are their works that make it possible for me to stand on their shoulders and hang out some 10 feet tall guy... Good luck to the local commanders, to the so called foot soldiers and of course to all supporters in general like for example the Iraqi females.
Good luck to the Iraqi females? Yes, that is because I am planning for a feast meal the day after Petraeus delivers his speech. I am not the best cook in town but I am seriously planning on writing a few recipe's for some details in some feast meal.
So that's it for today: Some advice on needed killed US slime and the announcement of some cooking stuff in case this all pans out fine...
(09 June 2007) Only a short update for my fellow statisticians: Right now the one tailed significance is running at a nice 1.2% (that is a 1 : 83 ratio) and that is a new record as far as I know it.
Now I know the Americans a few years longer and I am 99.95% sure that at most 0.05% of US military statisticians know what I am talking about. In case you still have not done it: Read 11 May for what exactly zero and alternative hypothesis are...
My dear fellow US military statisticians, let me drop a few more 2000 pounders in the pursuit of happiness, this time a picture paints a thousand words. The words create emotion and the emotion creates new ways of so called logical thinking...
And here is the next 2000 pounder: At the
present date both Kolmogorov-Smirnow and Shapiro-Wilk runs at the
triple digit of 0.000 significance in
my lovely crack of the SPSS program.
Please let me beat the shit out of you, you
asked for it & there is no denying this!
Till updates my dear and beloved reader, till updates.
(08 June 2007) The last days I only did what I advised myself to the Iraqis: Take some time and visit family and friends. Well I had a pleasurable time, some good conversation and some good fun. Both are important pillars of life, or not?
So I did not write a large html text with lots of interesting statistics in it around the so called '0' and '1' days and although I planned to take some time today to start with it we will instead look at some perfectly crafted US propaganda.
Here is the main leading CNN article stating that there is a major rift seen in the Iraqi insurgency. Please read the article first...
So now we are supposed to believe that the
Islamic Army in Iraq, the former Baathists and the famous 1920
Brigades are 'friends' with the Americans..?
So far the 'fun part', now for the serious part:
In the article it is mentioned for example
that it has been practiced that people were amputated a finger or
even a hand for only smoking... I have no way of verifying such
claims from more sources but if correct I wish the Anbar people
luck with cleaning up the province from amputating weirdo's like
We end with a quote that lets shine through the level of cleverness from the CNN sources. Quote:
"After we are done with al Qaeda," Abu Ali says, "we will ask the Americans to withdraw from Iraq. ... If they do not withdraw, there will be violations and the American army will be harmed."
Comment: This is of breathtaking naivety. But it can be done, here is how to do it:
(In the transition of stuff we had some problems so there is some text missing forever...)
After these goals are achieved the Americans would very fast turn down to only a 50 thousand presence for only 50 years (the South Korean model that is under study right now by the honorable opponent SecDef Robert Gates).
Oh oh CNN, how ever can you pump up such a piece of crap writing? How come?
Oops, before I forget it: The US air force has right now already used more air power then the whole of 2006. To be precise: After only 4.5 months they already took the 2006 threshold... So it looks like they upscaled air power with 270% for this entire year, why this is I do not know but it is clear they fight more and more the coward way and more and more they follow a strategy of the weak. Here is the Ass Press detail on this. Since the application of air power is mainly inside heavily populated area's you can be 100% sure there will be at least 2.7 times as many civilian deaths... You can be SURE about that so why do they always say it was a regrettable accident? It beats me, when I am sure about future civil deaths I never say it is just a bit of (bad) luck, I would say it was just in the planning.
(06 June 2007) Why does it always take such a long time to see the obvious? Only today I thought 'Why not write a crash course SPSS for the Iraqis'? So they can test the effect of future 'possible reported dead US slime' so that in the '0' periods we do not have 'too little' US slime killed.
So here is the crash course in three jpg pictures, first download a crack of SPSS with a p2p program like Shareaza. Install the crack on a computer (always download two or three cracks because not all cracks work properly).
Then load this dot
sav file that contains the data needed (The variable Slime
refers to the daily reported dead US soldiers, the rest is
picture, you see you have to choose Analyze from the main menu
Open the second picture, choose Slime as the test variable. For grouping choose MBDper and fill in 1 and 0 to differentiate between the groups. Now the output screen opens with the output.
Open the third
picture, look for 'two tailed significance' in the upper row.
In our case it says 0.033. That means 3.3%.
After that you calculate 1/0.0165 = 60.60606060... say 61. (Likely your results are slightly different because I have already updates the dot sav file on my own computer while you use the one from yesterday or the day before or use the one from a future date update...)
The meaning of the 61 is as next: The odds of having a united resistance against the occupier are 1 to 61. So it is 61 times more likely there is unity compared to what the Americans always say 'There is no central command'.
The next is extremely important: This number has always to be above 20! If it declines below 20 (meaning one tailed significance is above the 0.05 threshold) all work of the last 75 days has become meaningless.
You see it is not very difficult. Now all you
have to do is the next:
Next item: I only read one Media article on the subject but it looks like that quarrel between the Islamic Army in Iraq and al Qaida in Iraq is over. I hope the forming of that judicial comity/council will work properly.
Again, only for the second time, I would like to ask al Qaida in Iraq to take their time that is needed to build that what we want. Don't waste that what has been gained. Don't forget that the footprint of al Qaida is already relatively large in Iraq & do not forget that right now there is nothing that can wipe that footprint out.
Just an example: When someone rings at my doorbell and invites me to the latest 107 floor highrise building stating 'It only took seven days to build and Dubya is coming too so you can look him in the eye, bla bla this and bla bla that' would I accept the invitation? Well it would take an awful lot of firepower to drive me into that building.
Last item: The so called Explosively Formed
Penetrators or the EFP's as the US military commonly names them.
They have the capability of ramming through all armor the rumors
go. They can also be fired from a 50 to a 100 yard kind of range,
anyway this is what the rumors often say.
Well today I would like to introduce the concept of the Statistically Explosively Formed Penetrator or the SEFP. The SEFP is very simple to make, all you need is a good statistical program like for example the SPSS program and you use some screenshot to produce the very first SEFP:
So I greet the Slime & the Glory, oh oops it has to be the Power & the Glory. Sorry my dear US military folks, of course you are heroes and not slime or so...:(
Till updates, have a nice life or try to get one.
(04 June 2007) This update is purely technical in nature, it is only meant for readers who like the analysis of a small set of battlefield data: The measurement of and in how far daily US military death toll in Iraq is clearly related to the series of '0' and '1' days.
Today I updated the 'dot sav' file for the SPSS package (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) and I did some serious statistical ramming around. And from all that statistical ramming around I got hungry. So I just clicked a bit around and sometimes the computing device needed a lot of time to fulfill my statistical hunger...
Today I am also very friendly towards my statistical fellows inside the Pentagon in particular and in the US military in general. I am friendly because I am some 314.59 pound statistical gorilla where my American statistical fellows look rather slender lets not say have a anorexia trait over them. I am only in a friendly mood today, so here are the conclusions you can draw from the dot sav file:
When you test if the variable known as Slime (the daily US casualty rate) has the normal distribution in the time frames known as '0' or '1' we get the next output:
We see that the variable Slime has a normal distribution on the '0' days where the 'attacks are advised' days do not have such a random kind of behavior. It is not normally (or Gaussian) distributed.
Question for the US military: What does this mean?
Answer: That means that amongst all groups who actually stage attacks against you slimy folks, no local commander and no local group works against me. Or better: No one is against this selfunfolding story...;)
For teasing the US statistical folks: Would you like it in case when one of your four star air power generals shouts: Attack!!! That in that case the amount of applied air power and the amount of dead enemy folks would be nicely normal distributed just like it was? Now my dear US military slime? Now?
(03 June 2007) Ok ok, I have to admit it: I have
made a serious error of judgment.
I thought the Iraqis would be very exhausted and so it would be better if they could rest and lay down for 10 days...
Well statistics indicate that there is no exhaustion at all! The latest data from the battlefield are just of a breathtaking beauty: We are only three days into June and daily running average is already running above 5!!! As far as I can recall this has never been observed before because the way the West tracks the daily average it is ensured that in the beginning of the month there is always severe underreporting on the daily average number. (They do this very simple: Total reported dead are divided by the number of days but there is always time delay in the reported number of death so they divide by 'too many days'. At the end of the month this effect slides away.)
Now what is my error of judgment? Very simple: I expected more exhaustion where in effect there are lots of celebration kind of feelings amongst those who do the actual attacks...;)
If the local commanders already want the
Summer offensive to be there already it is fine by me, after all
they do most of the work. And I do respect these views because the
local commanders have all the local information that I do not
After all: The goal is to win this war and the time frame from 24 March to 27 May was already enough to impress the US military very hard. They finally understood how lousy there own statistics have been all these years...;))
It is time to split but I have a nice link towards a Washington Post dot com article that describes a so called 'complicated attack' as done by evil terrorists in Iraq... Now come on my dear US military, don't you have nothing better than turning Mr. Grant into Hero Grant? My beloved Iraqis can pop up much nicer stuff compared to your weird propaganda with that baby kind of stuff...
You truly are a bunch of weirdo's my dear US
military, you just are.
(02 June 2007) Today we take a small look at the advancements of honorable opponent US SecDef Robert Gates (the successor to the defeated not so honorable anymore Donald Rumsfeld). Because Robert was the head of a US university I hoped for some more brains but right now we can conclude that I have to say the same as I told Rumsfeld a few years ago:
Robert Gates, I will beat the shit out of you! I promise and I swear...
Why would the honorable Robert need to get such a treatment? That is beside standard US rhetoric like 'We need to pump up the pressure on Iran' or 'We need more help from the international community with Afghanistan' it was 'We foresee a long lasting military intervention in Iraq just like in South Korea' that was the droplet that overflowed the bucket.
Of course it is very likely that Robert is wiser and understands the relatively small likelihood of such a 'South Korean' thing happening but in the way US policies are structured he just has to follow the orders of his boss Dubya. We all know how smart Dubya is so this likely explains the stupid words of opponent Robert Gates.
Yet he spoke them anyway so he has to bear full responsibility. Lets leave mental dwarf Robert with that and turn to the second and last subject of today's update:
Why the so called surge of the US military is another disaster in the making:
From the military and civilian viewpoint together it is relatively easy to understand how such a surge should be executed:
--You pour in more soldiers, lets say a 1000
Lets stop the teasing, only a message to the Iraqis: There are now 73 days in the (small) database. With something like a hundred days I have enough statistical info so that when I make slices of the database it still contains at least 20 days of bodycounting US slime. So about one more month is enough...
After that we will see if there are needs to keep this policy up or think upon something else that maximizes USA defeat.
That's it, till updates.
That's all: You need such a level of soldiers
that they can work efficiently and so is the present surge enough?
I mean we have 15 months deployments instead of 12 months so that
is 25% more and we have those 30 thousand additional slime
representing 20% more so all in all it is 1.25 * 1.2 = a rough 50%
Because not all of the 20% more boots are working already there are right now not 50% more US casualties. (We are running at something like 35% more casualties nicely in line with the unfolding of the surge...) Now when you study daily/weekly/monthly death toll, the 'surge threshold' is not taken by far.
So from the military point of view this surge is a disaster in the making, failure will be there or I will eat my shoes. And believe me it is all so simple that I can easily offer to eat my shoes; that particular future scenario will never materialize.
By the way, it beats me that so many people think that enemy opponent four star US general Petraeus is such a smart guy. I think he is a gambler and gambles with his last assets and I think these assets are not enough to take the 'surge threshold' significantly. It is simple: In case Petraeus is truly a smart man, he is desperate as hell...;)
To put it simple: The surge is too little too late.
Till updates my dear enemy Petraeus & have a nice life or try to get one.
(01 June 2007) The sting of successes just continues in an amazing speed:
---We had lately a new announcement from al
Qaida International (done by the so called American al Qaida)
stating that there will be a larger than 9/11/2001 attack. (See in
the archives what I wrote on 22
May this year).
Private First Class Matthew Bean was shot in the head by a sniper on May 19th during a door-to-door search for a group of missing US soldiers that includes 25-year-old Alex Jimenez of Lawrence.
Here is what the US department of defense makes of it (source):
Pfc. Matthew A. Bean, 22, of Pembroke, Mass., died May 31 at the National Naval Medical Center, Bethesda, Md.
So are we getting fooled or so? You can't die in two places...
Hence following a strategy of the weak we conclude that you can die in two places. The only question left unanswered is: Why should America follow a strategy of the weak in the first place?
That's it for now, later to be updated or, as usual:
(31 May 2007) Today I was in a 'staring mood', only a lot of staring and waiting. In the afternoon I bicycled throw the rain for three quarter and after that I bought some lovely strawberries at the local store.
Now on 16.08 local time I turned on the computer, went to my favorite website and guess what? It said total coalition death toll in Iraq for the month of may stands at:
Therefore this month of May 2007 will make it in the history books as the third ranking deadliest month for the brave and heroic oil robbers... Oops, the brave and heroic coalition that only fights evil terrorists...
So there is enlightening in the heart, pleasure in the brain, excitement in my fingertips & a whole lot more. Lets celebrate with a cup of lovely strawberries (just 1.49 € for 500 gram at the local Jumbo...)...
Yeah, lets do that & my thanks go to all Iraqis who have helped to achieve this lovely goal. THANKS!!!
(31 May 2007, second and last update) Ok, in a few days time I have enough information to run some interesting statistical analysis. For example since the '0 or 1' project started on 24 March a total of at least 252 dead US military slime is reported. To be honest: on the 24th of March I was still struggling to get back online, let me spare you the boring details but I have made four visits in person to the desk of the local internet service provider with questions like 'It still does not work and what is your excuse this time?'
Over the entire observed time frame daily
average runs at 252/68 = 3.71 slime a day (this is '0' and '1'
From the statistical point of view the 1.42 difference can only be explained via the enormous trust the Iraqis have in me & it has to be emphasized that I am only one guy and one website with also a very strange name on it...;) What would happen if I would like to have the thing called 'Media Power'? Ha, my dear US military in that case all hell would break loose so I am the wise guy and wait as long as possible before the in the long run inevitable media weasels start interfering.
But hey! Lets make some fun! Until now I not
said as why the 10th of May needed to be a Military Bloody Day...
Want to know?
Now the Iraqis must not think that I send them into battle for just 75 € kind of thing, the organization that collects these kind of payments has large sway over me and legally they could end this website... What the police can't do, what no prosecutor can do can be done by the Central Juridical Incasso Buro from the city of Leeuwarden, Netherlands.
Well in Media land things slowly start to dawn: They start realizing that the last two months were the heaviest and most deadly 'two month period' for the coalition and US military alike in the entire war in Iraq...
So if the smart folks from the CJIB think it
is wise to keep on pumping the shit at my doorstep it might be
advised to think twice. I will pay what I owe you but if you keep
on pumping the shit I will declare you an official al Qaida
Ok, till updates says this (computer) desktop general & again I would like to thank the Iraqis! Thanks for the easily measurable trust you have in me, just thanks...
(Date of publishing was 03 May (the first half) and the second half on 22 May 2007) For reasons of archiving I place the text in the archive:
Ok, we have Military Bloody Day in one week so what is the amount of air power allowed for the Western air forces?
Well very simple: In the Iraqi
equation 450 pound is allowed and since I observed on previous MBD's that
the Americans often piss beside the potty by using cannon rounds they can
also use at most 35 cannon rounds. So if the Americans choose to use the
fastest blaster around (70 rounds/second) they can only fire for at most
That's it, just like I order a bread at the local bakery I publish this.
Update from 22 May: Like expected
the Western air powers did not do that what was needed. I never exposed it
but I was on a trajectory of exactly seven Military Bloody Days and when
in two or more cases the Western air forces did not do the brave fighting
that was needed, we need another 911.
It is formal and it is
definitive, this multi year plan has grown this way & the Western air
forces did it themselves.
(30 May 2007) In my previous update there was a little flaw, I hassled up a few things and so I wrote, quote:
So if we get an additional 21 reported US slime dead we will have the second deadliest month for the entire war and beside that we already have the very first period where on two consecutive months you need a triple digit number.
So what's the flaw? Well I should have written 'period' instead of month because only the Fallujah raidings have a higher number of reported killed US slime. It is not a major flaw, it is just a tiny detail but this month of May can only get 'third single deadliest month of the entire war' status.
There is also good news: Without the death toll from 29, 30 and 31 May (they are not reported right now) we already have 117 reported US dead slime and so this already is the third ranking deadly month for the USA. So this very desirable goal has been achieved by the Iraqis. Again: congratulations.
For the entire anti Iraqi coalition to have
that same statement: We need six more reported dead military folks
inside Iraq. Only six, it looks like a cakewalk but we better not
fool ourselves and wait until solid evidence is there.
In another development it was reported that
the number of car bombs were down, I have not compiled any good
statistics on this but I hope that this statistical detail emerges
from the fact that there are less Shia market places bombed.
Of course the death squad commanders have
their own responsibility in this all: It would be very handy if
after every Shia market bombed there is a spike in your
operations. Save the 'revenge needed' from other attacks at your
communities up for those spiking days. But as always: keep things
clear and don't kill too much.
Well these folks will find me on their way
and they will not like it, it is the task of the Shia death squad
commanders to make sure these folks indeed do not like it.
Till updates, sleep well & don't forget that in just two days a so called '0' period will set in for 10 days. So we expect average dead US slime below the long running average while in the 10 days thereafter we are in a '1' period and we expect the desired stuff above the long running average...;) Live well my dear reader.
(27 May 2007) Good news from Iraq: This month of May needs a triple digit number to write down the coalition & the US military death toll!
Right now we have 103 US slime reported dead and overall coalition death toll is standing at 108... So this is great news.
We still have four days unreported, if the Iraqis can keep up the killing pace at the average level of four reported a day we would get 108 + 4*4 = 108 + 16 = 124 And that is only four less then the second ranking deadliest month of the entire war.
So if we get an additional 21 reported US slime dead we will have the second deadliest month for the entire war and beside that we already have the very first period where on two consecutive months you need a triple digit number.
Man oh man, that will be hard work and it also needs luck... Well I wish the Iraqis all the luck they need;
Ha! When seven days ago I wrote down these words I never ever dreamt of reaching the triple digit goal so fast. It is amazing, just amazing...;)
(26 May 2007) With the reported incoming reports
of killed US slime inside Iraq we have received good news: Right
now statistical significance of the last Military Bloody Day has
two sided level of 0.063, since we measure upscaling (a one sided
kind of thing) it is one tailed 0.063/2 = 0.0315.
Ok lets keep it simple: We need only two more killed 'coalition members' to arrive at the desired stuff and only seven more reported US slime reported dead to arrive at more desired stuff. It is now the 26th of May so we have five more reporting days to go and it is very likely we will achieve our goals.
In another development I have enlarged the analysis of the MBD from the 10th of May with the reports of dead US military slime until now, that means I have updated the table as given on 11 May below. Here is the link in case you cannot scroll down for some weird reason...
Now in order that I do not like it to expose to my four star enemies in the US military I will not explain why certain periods of time are labeled '0' (meaning less US slime is advised or expected where periods labeled with a '1' should have significantly more killed of this kind of slime). I mean why should I feed the US military statisticians with the stuff they need to attack me myself & I?
No no, only Allah knows the future and I do not have a clue if I will make it towards my own statistical goals.
Lets leave it with this.
(25 May 2007) Today there were six US slime
reported making it very likely that we will see another triple
death toll month... That is good news but we ain't there yet.
Will we make it towards that goal? Because we have only six more days left in this month of May. Nobody knows, only Allah knows the future. Yet I am very confident on this & I wish the Iraqis good luck in killing at least 10 of this slime.
In another development we study the famous Associated Press count of dead US soldiers, for a few years I always write Associated Press as Ass Press and this is not for nothing of course.
The Associated Press death toll of killed US military is by far the international standard of reporting on this. On all media files on a global scale it is the Ass Press that rules the numbers reported...
For example when a US soldier dies in the Walter Reed hospital and it is clearly related towards an attack inside Iraq or Afghanistan it never reaches the Ass Press counting. This is very interesting because this is a way of deflating US death toll while on the other hand it is clearly a strategy of the weak.
I mean I follow this war on a daily basis and
I have observed zero reports of US military who died in Walter
Reed, so it is clear we are getting fooled. And so it's clear the
real US military death toll is far beyond the Ass Press counting
H0 : Walter Reed is the heaven of
medical stuff; no one dies over there, versus
And what about CNN's Nic Robertson who hangs around like the gay war whore? Does he not understand what underreporting is happening? And that CNN guy Jonathon Mann that runs the 'Insight' thing? And what about that bearded fellow that runs the so called 'Situation Room'? They all think that it is very normal to have zero reports of dying US soldiers in the Walter Reed hospital?
Why all this propaganda my dear CNN & my dear Walter Reed medic staff? Why?
That's it for the update of today. Have a nice life or try to get one my dear reader.
(24 May 2007, second update) Here we have an interesting report upon a brave US soldier who has lost both his legs while fighting in Iraq. It is of interest to observe that we routinely do never see any reports of US soldiers dying in Germany or the Walter Reed hospital inside the USA. It only makes you wonder: Why does the USA apply the strategy of the weak? Why not include medical deaths inside the statistics? Why?
(24 May 2007) Only a short and temporary update to today; It has to be remarked that with an amazing speed after I published the next words:
So now it is formal: Permission for a larger attack than 911 is allowed.
there was a very interesting video posting
from al Qaida international. Here
is the media file (it is posted on a blog from abcnews so you
cannot find it via the google news thing but luckily gossip
journalist Matt Drudge posted it) that describes the video (I
haven't seen it myself).
Well the next attack can take just a few days or even many many years, for myself speaking I do not expect it in just a few days because of the problems there are with using telephones and email and stuff like that. Beside this planning and staging an attack that is even larger compared to the 911 attacks from 2001 will take a very long time, that is easy to understand.
Also it is wise to remark that I am not some kind of hothead, Osama published about 16 months ago his promise that more attacks were in the making, I chewed a long long time on it and now after 16 months I have arrived at the conclusion that stuff is allowed.
In another very different development it was
observed that the Chinese are finally stopping their policies of
buying as much US bonds as possible and have shifted towards
buying commercial companies. I do not know how large the shift is
and how long it will last but I am glad that they have done this
because buying US government bonds is of doubtful moral nature.
The Americans use the bond money to finance the war in Iraq and
Afghanistan so this is of a doubtful thing to do: for example
child death has doubled in Iraq since the invasion of the oil
robbers & when you buy US government bonds your money is used
to do things like that.
At last: This month has seven more days, we need another 12 coalition soldiers killed to make it a triple digit death toll month for the coalition & we need 17 more dead US military slime in order to have the same statement for coalition member America. Well 12/7 = 1.71and 17/7 = 2.43 are the daily averages needed and both averages run well below the monthly averages we have until now...
Well I don't want to be a king because in general I dislike royalty but if the Iraqis can place the crown on the Military Bloody Day related to 10 May this month I would feel great pleasure. That would be the very first time in the entire war in Iraq we would see a triple digit death toll in two consecutive months...
Of course folks like US general Coldwell will try and argue this away into insignificance by stating things like 'With more soldiers you have more encounters with the extremist enemy therefore resulting in more deaths' but that would only validate we had to few US soldiers all these years... That would only validate one more dumb Dubya/Rumsfeld insight.
Well we will see if we make it to the very first triple digit double months equation... We will see BUT I wish the Iraqis luck into their works on this.
(22 May 2007) Today we will look at two details of interest: The search for the missing US soldiers in Iraq and some suburb gossip as found on the website of gossip journalist Matt Drudge; it is about US officials thinking that this Summer Iran wants to pull of a 'decisive battle' against America in order to drive the Americans from Iraq...
The case of the missing US soldiers: They are
now missing for 10 days and the US military is doing weird stuff
like draining canals and so. Well last Summer we had a so called
Military Bloody Day located at 26 July, like always I published
the amount of allowed air power and of course (like always) the
Americans did not care.
(Oops, this is an update from 25 May implemented into the writings of 22 May; I have never done such a thing before but we quote Dubya on the case of the missing soldiers.) Here we go:
THE PRESIDENT: I'm confident that the military is doing everything it can to find the missing soldiers. I talked to General Petraeus about this subject and Secretary Gates, and General Petraeus informs him that we're using all the intelligence and all the troops we can to find them. It's a top priority of our people there in Iraq.
Comment: Dubya Dubya, why did you not read my 26th July 2006 words about how future US military captured military should be treaded? I am puzzled Dubya, I am only puzzled... I mean you were the one that said 'The enemy is so evil that most of us in the USA do not know what they do why they do'. You know they are needed for biological experiments, why do you tell that Petreaeus crap Dubya? Why?
Second detail: The case of the official gossip: First read this article as found on the Guardian. To get a feel for the level of idiotery, here is a quote from the article:
The official said US commanders were bracing for a nationwide, Iranian-orchestrated summer offensive, linking al-Qaida and Sunni insurgents to Tehran's Shia militia allies, that Iran hoped would trigger a political mutiny in Washington and a US retreat. "We expect that al-Qaida and Iran will both attempt to increase the propaganda and increase the violence prior to Petraeus's report in September [when the US commander General David Petraeus will report to Congress on President George Bush's controversial, six-month security "surge" of 30,000 troop reinforcements]," the official said.
Well there are an enormous amount of arguments against such a way of thinking, let me name a few:
Argument one: Somewhere in the past opponent Dubya has declared that Iraq will only be a comma compared to what the USA is going to do to Iran. Hence at the moment enough US firepower is withdrawn from Commaland the Americans will attack Iran. So it is in the interest of Iran that the US military stays bogged down in Commaland. (Beside this, Dubya has now lame duck status so it is highly unlikely that he will get Congressional/House approval for another war adventure.)
Argument two: The Americans see the flow of
Iranian weapons as 'proof' for a high level conspiracy but they
never back that up. Now suppose if it was an Iranian conspiracy,
in that case the Iranian leadership would have a large sway over
the Iraqi Sunni's and if the weapons were delivered for free they
would likely set conditions like 'Do not use these weapons for
attacks against Shia' or 'Stop those market bombings and we will
Argument three: The Americans not only think
they are the beginning and the end of the universe, they also have
a tendency to view other nations as if they were 'little
America's'. In America it is very normal to have all kinds of
covert operations while for example in my own country Holland the
Dutch army and political leadership never ever use covert
operations in Germany or Great Brittany.
There are many more arguments to be made, but lets leave it with that except for one detail:
Right now we are in the third day of fighting in Lebanon where the Lebanese army is fighting a heavily armed Sunni group. How do they come on all that heavy weaponry? Rumors indicate they were via Saudi Arabia with the approval or under pressure from America. The rumors whisper that the Americans hoped that this Sunni group would attack Hezbollah... I do not know if these rumors are more than just rumors but in case they are true it is logical that the USA officials view all kind of weaponry flowing as some conspiracy.
(21 May 2007) If this news is in fact correct it is definitely like a shit tasting meal. Did the US military indeed arrest an entire ring that specialized in the helicopter downings from January and February?
In case you are new to this story you might not understand how dire this is when it is true: see for example the statistics from the Military Bloody Day related to 02 February this year. On that MBD we had the fourth heli down and that was enough to make heavenly statistics from. Bah! Just bah! We will not loose the war via these arrests but this is bad bad news.
I can't help it; the report looks and tastes genuine & lets leave it with that.
(20 May 2007) Right now statistics indicate that it is possible that coalition death toll in Iraq for this month could be written in a three digit number. It is not impossible: We are at 20 May and we have 11 days to go while the reports of today are not yet in completely. Reports until now indicate 75 deaths so with one third of the month to go it is not impossible...
Last month April also had a three digit number of coalition death toll, furthermore it is possible that USA member of that brave coalition also would have two consecutive months of triple digit death toll number reported.
That would be the very first time we have triple death toll reports in two consecutive months... That would be the very first time, so it would be 'very significant' if you know what I mean.
I don't know how exhausted the operatives are so I do not know how realistic it is to ask and try for another 'triple digit month' of US killed slime. But if the Iraqis succeed in this they can lay down in June while for July I might have another Military Bloody Day planned...
Why not throw in some history? The very first
Military Bloody Day was something like 17 or 18 September
2003. On that day three US slime were killed while in lots of
weeks before that only two was the maximum of daily death toll...
So far this little history lesson and my extrapolations of possible consecutive triple US death slime reported...
(18 May 2007) Yesterday I forgot to mention just
one detail, it is very simple: although it was advised at the
commanders of the Shia death squads to upscale their activities I
forgot to mention that this time all that electrical drilling of
sculls is not allowed. In general: No torture allowed, just clean
kills without much pain.
May I call on al Sadr to spread the word in this?
For the rest: When I started minimizing death squad activity in Iraq last year I used a time frame of 90 to 120 days. In practice it was 150 days so now that I want to minimize bombed Shia markets I will use a 150 day time frame.
So the Shia death squads have to pump up the volume for 150 days, if we see significant decline in Shia market places bombed we can reduce on that time frame.
That's the update of this day, till the next update.
(12 May 2007) Ok I only have 10 minutes because I have a steady stream of social obligations tonight, but today it was found out that on 10 May five US slime died in Iraq so we made it!
Or better: The Iraqis made it because they do the actual killing while I only compose some statistics every now and then...
So now it is statistically proven that during
Military Bloody Day periods we have significantly
more US slime killed (significance threshold = 5%) and the
funny thing is: It is not even illegal.
May I from the bottom of my heart thank the Iraqis for their cooperation? THANKS!!!
Well I have to go, bye! Till updates.
(17 May 2007, second update) Well it is now right before midnight and after a few days my aggression has faded into insignificance. Lets hope we will see sharp decline of bombed Shia markets so that after that I can ask the Shia death squads to minimize their activities.
For the rest of this update: Lets poke fun at the US military around the latest Military Bloody Day from 10 May. This poking of fun is rather technical and statistical in nature, we start with the assumption that there is at least one member of the US military that is capable of using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (the SPSS program) properly, very likely there is no such person but anyway...
You can download a jpg picture with the output here and when you have the SPSS package installed on your computer you can also download the dataset and the statistical output of the so called 'independent two sample t-test' (see below at 11 May 2007 for what hypothesis we are testing exactly).
For the statistical amateur the hypothesis tested looks something like:
H0 : Reinko is telling rubbish
with his 'more killed on MBD's' versus,
Needless to say we have to reject the zero hypothesis in order to have fun and the above mentioned jpg file suggests that until now we have so called significance runs at 2.5 percent. That means there is only a 1:40 likelihood that I am telling rubbish...
And this is where the fun sets in: A one on
forty likelihood is not admissible in local courthouses but when I
include this long line of almost five years of Military Bloody
Days, we run at a one to many million kind of likelihood that I am
In order to achieve such a 1:40 result I have included the US military deaths from 11 May until today, you know that was that period stuff labeled '0' or '1'. Needless to day that after a Military Bloody Day it is labeled as 'zero'.
Lets look at the SPSS dataset (I have used a
crack of the SPSS 15.0 version).
So now I have added the last seven days significance runs at 2.5 percent and the funny thing is: The US military has to cough up a very large amount of extra killed US military folks in order to make my zero hypothesis insignificant...
The Americans even have a saying for that kind of stuff, they mane it a 'Catch 22'. Why it is 22 I dunno but it is a nice saying if you know what I mean.
Ha! Only a skilled statistical scientist can understand the fun I have and for the other readers it is very simple to understand: Like a dolphin plays with the waves and like whales make sounds so loud that for miles around you can hear them I do my own shouting...
Well it is now six minutes after midnight so it is actually 18 May so I have to go & so lets split my dear and beloved reader.
(17 May 2007) Ok a lot has happened, the
Palestines are heading towards civil war and weirdly enough there
is nothing that can stop it from happening. Just like I foresaw
within minutes after the news arrived that the international
community stopped funding the Palestines who cannot create a
normal economy because of the occupation.
Beside this negative news there is also positive news confirming my ideas about the stupidity of US president Dubya, only a full blown idiot like Dubya could appoint people like this in his government. What people am I talking about? Here are a few:
How does this all come? The problem is very simple: The Americans have to elect someone to be their president and so this guy runs 50% of global defense spending beside the other things. Well the US electorate always need somebody who they can 'relate to' and thus the one idiot after the other occupies the White House and is commander in chief of 50 percent of world defense budget.
Because the Americans think they are the beginning and the end of the universe this is a blue print for disaster & this can easily be proved: According to the RAND institution on a global scale terror attacks are up a sevenfold or a 600 percent increase since the year 2001. Well on 20 October 2001 I already understood that the weird Americans would execute this war on terror in such a way that the problems would only scale up but I never imagined a seven fold increase! Just think about the staggering amount of filled coffins this is! And then you have always a US president where the Americans can 'relate to' so you have another idiot by definition...
So you see, this is all good news because I like my enemies stupid. The Americans might be handy to humanity in for example space exploration but for the rest: please fuck off because we do not need you any longer destroying the things we value.
Just fuck off you bunch of weirdo's, go back to Texas where you belong. Do your rodeo thing and let the Afghan's and the Iraqis settle their own differences on themselves. Just fuck off!
(15 May 2007) I am not in a friendly kind of mood the last days. And I am not in a friendly mood for some days... What's the case?
Well long before media reports upon more Iraqi death squad activity popped up I already knew they would come. These media reports would come popping up because I have asked the death squads to pump up the number of Sunnis killed.
Until now the Sunnis have not given a rigid military rationale as about why it would be wise to bomb Shia markets. They still have not coughed this particular kind of wisdom up so I have to ask the commanders of the Shia death squads once more to keep on killing until I have that military rationale.....
I am not in a friendly kind of mood the last days I just guess my dear Sunnis. I am not in a very friendly kind of mood; why did the Muslim Scholar Association of the Sunnis never pointed out such a relation between death squad activity and market bombings?
Why am I so aggressive and why do I need to speak to the Scholar Association? I would like it to have the 'military stuff' on my behalf and the religion stuff in their behalf...
Well before the stupid media reports upon upscaled death squad activity were there I already knew what the answer was to repair this upscaling: Less market bombings...
If the Iraqi Sunnis think it is wise to keep on bombing market places they will find me on their way and they will not like it. They will not like it and I have sworn this detail. I have sworn it.
Again: I am not in a very friendly kind of mood the last days, I am not.
(13 May 2007) Today only a teaser towards the US military: One of your two star generals has defected and is a little bit against your fine and brave and wise commander in chief. His name is John Batiste and we all know that when you turn against the finest of military brains you are definitely a traitor.
From the statistical point of view this shaking of the cradle is insignificant because there is a practice of rubber stamped promotions inside the US military so more and more idiots licking Dubya's ass will fill the ranks of the 3+ star generals.
This is what will happen, we must not forget
that only idiots like Dubya can appoint idiots like Rumsfeld and
only that kind of idiotery will lead to a nice breakdown of US
military power. Ha! How does 50% of global spending in defense do
it against just a few millions of Sunnis and a handful of Shia
inside a nation of 26 million?
Read the words of traitor John Batiste, it's a nice reading because until now I did not know the '200 miles' detail. Well now I do and with a soft smile on my face I greet the power & the glory kind of folks.
(11 May 2007) Temporary update, later to be updated.
We split the previous 42 days in four groups and label these groups with a '0' or a '1' as follows:
Technical detail: We have to use the t-test for independent samples and if we would only use the 09 April through 10 May time frame we have too little data. Therefore it is reasonable to enlarge both the '0' and '1' time frames with 8 more days so we can approximate with the normal distribution.
As zero hypothesis we take:
H0 : There is no difference
between the periods, versus
After running SPSS with all daily reported
dead US soldiers we arrive at the following: Two tailed
significance = 11.2%, we test one sided so it is 5.6% for this.
So only when we have two or more reported deaths tomorrow or the day after we will take the 5% significant threshold.
Remark 1: If al Qaida in Iraq would not have
executed the truck bombs from 23 April we would easily have
achieved significance... (If you leave out the 9 reported dead
from that day, significance threshold would be 0.85%)
Lets wait until tomorrow to finalize this easy calculation & don't forget the Iraqis did not know that I was also testing this so the above data are purely spontaneous.
Greetings & thanks to all Iraqis who helped the story by killing US slime in the way these slime folks deserve it: THANKS!
Lets end this update with a positive note; in how far is the lack of funding for the war effort biting it's way into the US military? Well I have no statistical analysis around that but a nice short story:
Somewhere in Bagdad a US military convoy stops before the shop of a chemist, out of the third vehicle comes a high shot US officer. Not a general but a colonel or something like that, he is guarded by four Blackwater employees (the US military regularly uses civilians to 'protect themselves') and the officer goes to the chemist.
'Wat kan I doo jou four?' the chemist ask.
The colonel grabs a condom from his pocket and says 'There is a
small hole in it, how much does it cost to repair it and how
expensive is a new one?'
A few days later he returns to the chemist; 'Wat kan I doo jou four?' the chemist asks. 'The division would like to have it repaired' the colonel says.
(So far the anecdote from the US Army's 82nd Airborne Division.)
Lets leave it with that my dear reader...;)
(10 May 2007) This has been definitely the most strange Military Bloody Day in this entire war on terror... The most important happenings are of such a nature that they will never reach the news (or only some months down the timeline from now). So I did not follow the news today very intense, all I can do is hope the snipers managed to deliver their interesting payloads...
The last days I thought about something I
wrote a few weeks ago: Snipe that stuff only on 10 May and later I
advised to snipe it also the 15 days after 10 May.
As a teenager I have worked as a cleaner for a few years in a relatively big hospital, I worked on a lot of different departments and so I have some insight in how hospitals work. If the plans work out properly we will observed hefty problems for the US medical facilities inside Iraq and with a bit of luck also in Germany and USA Walter Reed. But again: It will be hard to validate such a claim because it will not reach the Media files. It will not reach the Media files...;(
To be honest: I expected at least one chloride bomb more but it did not happen. Why I do not know. Also no daisy chain was observed in the time period under investigation but a good daisy chain with no civilians dead is very hard to pull off (keep on trying!).
Well I am a bit premature with this update so lets wait until tomorrow so that all death reports of US slime are down the pipeline and into the Media files. So tomorrow I will discuss the rest of this MBD stuff.
At last I want to unfold a detail that is
part of a comprehensive plan: When for example al Qaida in Iraq
asks some scientists for their help and in case the scientist can
be of great help on some parts like for example pure colonies of
bacteria or whatever what: It is important that the scientist has
some kind of veto right in what kind of attacks it can be used.
This veto right is rather fundamental; the weapon should be used
in accordance of the insights of the scientist that created it.
Don't forget: A lot of Iraqi scientists would also like to see America depraved of Iraqi oil for an entire century and if they want to have some local veto power for usage of the more deadly stuff it will be all the more likely we will make it to the goal of depriving the USA of Iraqi oil...
Till updates my dear reader. Have a nice life or try to get one.
(06 May 2007) For the time being I can't comment on the fighting in Iraq/Afghanistan (because I promised so) so this is only a temporary update with a quote from al Qaida in Iraq:
The speaker also denied any clashes between al-Qaida and other "jihadist groups or our blessed tribes," saying reports to the contrary by U.S. and Iraqi authorities were only "lies and a desperate attempt to drive a wedge within the ranks of the jihadists."
Comment: Message understood! It could very
well be I fell into some nice crafted propaganda trap, this could
very well be... In the meantime it would be nice if the Islamic
Army in Iraq can confirm this...;)
Yet I still want to do something about all
those reports of market bombings, ok I know these reports often
contain a lot of propaganda too because it a police patrol is
attacked in the neighborhood of a market it will always pop up as
'Shia Market Place Bombed!'. And if it would be a market mainly
visited by Sunni's the bombing will pop up as 'Market Place Bombed
in Iraq!'. I mean that's the way the Media work in general.
In a very different development I observed
that there will be no new doctors licenses given to Iraqi medic
students... The rational given was that this was to 'prevent
doctors from leaving Iraq'. This rationale has to be rejected as
it is utterly weird: Given the amount of violence in Iraq, the
last thing you do is not licensing future doctors.
Sincerely yours, Reinko Venema.
(03 May 2007) When studying the enemy it is always important to point at their negative values, for example the utter lack of interest in the loss of innocent lives. And so time in and again the US military argues that groups like the Islamic State of (in) Iraq is ruthless and murderous and evil by nature.
[Now don't get me wrong: I have
asked a few years already to stop bombing market places
and al Qaida in Iraq did not take it's leadership role
in this and now I have calculated that something like
500 executions of these folks will bring back the
desired battlefield discipline that is needed to win the
Back to studying the evil nature of the enemy; this time the enemy is Rush Limbaugh or more precise: his mindset and ways of thinking. In case my dear and beloved reader has never heard of Rush, Rush is a leading conservative thinker and his opinions are important. He has a radio talk show and draws over 13.5 million listeners every week and that makes him kingpin of the radio shows in America.
Well this file suggests that Rush Limbaugh truly desires not one but three civil wars in the Middle East. He uses wordings like 'Let the natural process take over' and 'Why induce in diplomacy when you only hinder the natural process'. Of course Rush forgets to mention it were the Americans in the first place that started using Shia to kill Sunnis and therefore crafted the perfect boundary conditions for civil war to set in... Rush is typically one of those who thinks the universe starts and ends in America. Let me quote a bit from the amazing mindset of Rush, quote:
But what the hell! We're going to bring Syria and Iran in to fix Iraq, why not let them just fix the whole region? If we're heading to civil war -- I mean, everybody comes to us: "You got to fix this and you got to fix that." So we go and try to fix it, and our own people, Democrats and the left in our country do their best to sabotage our efforts, and then we get blamed for trying to clean up the messes that these people start. And then they come on our television show: "[Gibberish] George [gibberish] civil war [gibberish] we gotta do something. Palestinians it's a must, it's a must, we must [gibberish] right now [gibberish] war."
Fine, just blow the place up. Just let these natural forces take place over there instead of trying to stop them, instead of trying to use -- I just -- sometimes natural force is going to happen. You're going to have to let it take place. You can spend all the time you like with diplomacy, and you can spend all the time you want massaging these things with diplomatic -- you're just -- you're just delaying the inevitable.
Comment: So every body comes to America with
'fix this fix that'? Well it were the Americans that started using
Shia to kill Sunnis and so they were the ones who started making
fire in a very dry forest. They are to blame my dear but stupid
Rush: Blame America first because they are the first to blame in
One thing is amazingly clear: Rush has no respect for life so I hope sincerely that he will get killed, just like that weirdo Ann Coulter. Humanity is better off without such white trash, kill it please & let nature prevail! Sieg Heil!
That's it for today, till updates my dear readers.
(02 May 2007) In October 2007 (while I was working in Germany) I suddenly realized that the Americans would execute the new so called 'War on Terror' exactly as they did with the war on drugs: Making sure the enemy will grow bigger and bigger and making the problems deeper and deeper and more difficult to solve.
Now it is about five and a half year later
and how did my insight fare all these years?
No, on the contrary: The higher ranking
the official is that I meet the more they push for me being
'mentally ill' or so. Why have most authorities I deal with have
that weird desire of classifying my as 'mentally ill? Why this has
to be baffles me again and again, it makes you wonder what kind of
weed they smoke. Well these years I do not care anymore, why try
to convince those who are idiots by nature?
(Other data suggest a 25% increase in the last year with something like 40% more deadly victims.)
A clear cut example of such an idiot is the
American vice president Cheney, still in January 2004 he hold on
that weird proposition that bio chemical trailers were found in
Iraq. In the Summer of 2003 the first reports of these trailers
came out included a few photo's and after thinking about it for
two or three hours I arrived at the conclusion that it would
technically almost impossible that these trailers were for making
biological and/or chemical agents.
That's all my dear and beloved reader, till updates.
2007) After waiting for over two full
years it was only today that the US dollar came above the 1.3666
on the €/$ pair. Well it was back in 2004 that I published my
analysis of the US housing market, the weird tax cuts, the
negative savings rate of US households and so on and so on. I
estimated the true US dollar value to be somewhere like 1.45 on
the €/$ pair.
Lets leave it with that, if financial folks want to hang out the full blown idiot they are allowed to do so at their own expense! Till updates.
All in all I do not think there is a severe statistical problem emerging from this truck bomb attack, when all noses point in the same direction in a few days & weeks this all will fade into insignificance from the statistical point of view. So I hope that all insurgency groups have prepared well and have success in killing that US military slime...
My plans are to update as little as possible in order not to hinder you, don't forget that I live in safety around here while you have to do the fighting. I am nothing, only that statistical guy... GOOD LUCK!
(24 April 2007) Ok ok, lets make an update & look at the fine news of today: Two truck bombs killed at least 09 US soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division (all paratroopers) and wounded something like 20 others so death toll is likely to rise to a double digit number...
Needless to say this attack was a success on all fronts you view at it: It had zero civil death toll, even zero wounded civilians. It was the largest 'one attack death toll' in something like 16 months and most of all: it was devastating.
But it is easy to see that the statistics from the impending Military Bloody Day will get blurred at bit now we have a 9/16 = 0.56 increase in daily killed US military now we are still in the timeframe before it...
So who did this? Well you do not need that
much brains to understand that and although the umbrella
organization under the name 'Islamic State of Iraq' claimed responsibility
it is very likely al Qaida in Iraq...
Ok al Qaida and Islamic State folks: I understand the message!
I understand the message & again sorry for coming a bit hard down on you lately & ok ok may be I asked for this. Beside this it was 22 April that I wrote 'Lets hope Robert Gates will get a severe beating the coming weeks' so again: may be I asked for this. Beside this, an attack like this is far more pleasant in arousing my attention compared for example to killing members of the Islamic Army...;)
(23 April 2007) FLASHBACK: Military Bloody Day (or MBD) from 26 July last year. One of the details of that MBD was the fact that a Russian helicopter crashed in Afghanistan killing some folks in general and two Dutch military folks in particular.For myself speaking it was good that finally after some long time we had at least one helicopter down on a MBD and the fact we had a Dutch air force officer (lieutenant-colonel mr. Jan van Twist) killed too made it a great work. The only question left was: Was it the will of Allah (meaning it was some mysterious accident) or a clean cut shot from the skies kind of attack?
Local resistance forces claimed they shot it down while coalition forces pointed at bad weather conditions in the region. These claims do not rule each other out; even in bad weather conditions and in case you have luck you can shoot it from the skies...
It has to be remarked that during the first 10 Military Bloody Days we had lots of downed aircraft, it was just so amazing but every time it was bigger compared to the previous MBD. Flush; 15 dead, flush; 17 dead and my mind was overwhelmed with joy and feelings of utter happiness.
So it was not strange that I constantly pushed for more downed aircraft and I know how difficult that is but it also brings the greatest of pleasures. You will not win a war when you can only bring down aircraft but it is one of the most important details in winning this.
Why bring this all up? Well the Dutch
authorities desired to 'investigate' the nature of the 'accident'.
Today I found the so called 'Hillen report', here
it is (pdf format).
ANA = Afghan National Army
I do not understand the need for such a list of abbreviations, if you need them just minimize it and put a list at the END of your writings... I cannot take such a stupid report design serious my dear fellow countrymen! I can't...
Due to lack of the so called 'black box' it could not be validated that indeed it was an attack so the heli crash was considered to be an 'accident' and the culprit was 'bad weather conditions'.
Conclusion (from me): This report just adds
nothing new to what I was thinking already on 27 July 2006. Let me
speak the next words in Dutch to my fellow citizens:
Lets leave this update with that, the clock is ticking and I think I have to concentrate on other things in the coming & impending days. Till updates my dear reader.
(22 April 2007) Yes, 22 April & the clock is ticking.
This update is supposed to be as vague as possible so if you are new you do not understand a quantum from the next words:
Lately I asked for a weird weird thing: Downsizing attacks on US military slime in Iraq. During this time frame the average US soldier slime killed was 3.30 on a daily basis (not all death reports are in but very likely this will stay the number to view.)
That is indeed remarkably down, so THANKS!
Somewhere this week another period will set in, it will not longer have artificially low death rates for US military slime. No we won't have that...
Well we will see what the next weeks will bring from Iraq and may be from Afghanistan too. I have two hopes, here they are:
Strategically speaking the second hope is the most important in the long run while on the day to day tactical level the first one is needed.
Like usual during the last year and this year: One week before the MBD is there I will specify the amount of air ammo that is allowed by the diverse Western air forces. (Just like I order a piece of bread at a bakery...)
For the rest I want to remark that I am not impressed by making the tours of US military folks 25% longer (thus pumping up the volume after some time) and the new 20 thousand military folks. I am not impressed because I simply observe that the US military is only burning in a faster rate and that's it: pumping up deployment numbers will not help very much I just guess.
At last: Last year I gave the advice to try
and kill US military folks in a three digit number in the months
before the US elections. I gave the advice because I had estimated
that the Democrats would win in case we had a three digit death
toll on behalf of the US military.
This 'lack of funding' is just a
detail and often only one detail is not important for the outcome
of an entire decade long lasting war. Thousands and tens of
thousand details will enter the big balance but for the time being
it is all so simple:
Lets end this update with a little wish: I wish you won't get shot or arrested during operations against the US military slime folks. And lets wish that Robert Gates gets a severe beating in the coming weeks, lets wish that all my dear and beloved reader.
(17 April 2007) Second update of this day: I
found out that some US military folks want to do exactly the same
thing as I have thought out with the biological sniper bullet.
They want to use pig meat or may be pig piss or shit.
A 2007 condolences card
to the US dollar.
(17 April 2007) Ok, EFP problems solved! Here we go:
Sometimes a thousand pictures paint only one
Well I found two pictures that save me a lot of difficult math, here they are:
Together these two beautiful pictures sing a heavenly song; it is a song about filled US coffins inside Iraq & the song is of a breathtaking beauty...
(Remark: On this website a liner is a one dimensional shaped charge, when I speak about liners I mean those one dimensional things. But often the word liner is also used for the copper / cone or dish.)
This stuff is just so beautiful, there are no words to describe the beauty in these pictures. Not a thousand words will do. By the way, here is the source file. The source file is speaking of a speed of 2000 meters / second but from other sources I know that the Americans have taken the 10.000 meters / second barrier (a record was set where a shaped charge blew through three and a half meter steel...)
greetings to all Jews...
Oops, only yesterday the Israelis held their annual holocaust remembrance... Oops.
Sometimes one picture paints a thousand words
Lets split my dear reader, have a nice life or try to get one. Till updates.
(16 April 2007) At the moment of writing we have at least 32 people dead in a US university shooting (a tech university in Virginia, USA). My condolences go to the American people but it is all your own founding fathers fault: Your constitution is just plain wrong! It must not be the right to bear arms but the duty to bear arms always when you are out. You can also compromise by stating that every US civilian has the duty and the right to defend themselves. And don't forget to take at least 500 ammo with you because you never know when your time has come to defend yourself...;)In another development it looks like the Iraqi al Sadr has pulled the plug on the Iraqi puppet regime. You can't hide the truth: It is the fact that it is a puppet regime that makes it unworkable and not vice versa. So lets thank al Sadr!
In the Palestine equation already for a
relatively long time some journo named Alan is held hostage. It
was yesterday or so that news was there that he was executed.
The daily average number of killed US
military slime inside Iraq is back at it's long term daily average
(just a requested a few days back by the way my dear reader). Last
year I asked the Iraqis (and the Afghanis too of course: hey how's
the spring offensive going? Not bad so to see, not bad...) to plan
for daisy chains. Again I would like to ask to withhold attacks
with daisy chains if just one civilian is in the danger zone. Now
because this is already a constraint, there are absolutely no time
constrains as we have for example on the biological sniper bullet.
So 10 May and all 15 days before, try to pull something off.
Ha, since I am in a funny mood lets end the day with a bit of fun: It just does not matter if I will make it to paradise or to hell because one way or the other I will always fight the Americans. May be from the military point of view hell is even better and may be I have to sacrifice myself. Once in hell I could stage a military coup against the devil and if the coup succeeds that day will be a bad bad day for America...;)
I think it is high time to split, before you know it my dear reader thinks that I have 'lost it' but I am only in a funny mood, in Dutch we have a special word for it. It is being 'melig' and it means that you want to have fun whatsoever so you start thinking or doing all kinds of funny things. Bye my beloved reader.
Oops, I forgot: Also some small apology to al Qaida in Iraq, may be I came a bit hard down on you lately & I do not know if for example the Islamic Army also had killed in similar numbers inside your ranks. I do not know that but can we please go back to the stage of 'converting agenda's'? Till updates.
And last but not least I read a more reports
and files on the subject of so called explosively formed
perpetrators and more or less they are only large shaped
explosives. So for example an oil pipe is used instead of a 100 or
150 mm tube.
Till updates my dear reader.
(14 April 2007) The Americans have coughed up a
very strange name for a simple shaped explosive or a shaped
charge. It is not Pantserfaust like the Germans did before World
War II but they name it explosively formed perpetrator or the EFP.
In order to keep this update short I have written in a separate file some thoughts about upscaling a particular shaped charge (or a particular EFP, remark that the naming of the Americans is not right because the 'perpetrator' is the copper cloud and is thus only a building and executional part of the shaped charge itself.)
It is only about zero dimensional shaped explosives so not about liners or stuff like that. Here it is.
(12 April 2007) Wow, today the cafetaria of the
Iraqi puppet parliament was bombed, reports indicate is was a
suicide attack (one of the guards of one of the parliament
folks...) For the time being death toll stands at 8 and a few
But there is more, lately I did read some
reports about some rumbling inside the Iraqi resistance but only
today I found out that the Islamic Army and al Qaida in Iraq have
a major dispute. Now why do I feel a major and long lasting
headache coming up?
(10 April 2007) Ok, something like 180 days ago I did set into motion a 90 to 120 day self unfolding plan for minimizing death squad activity inside Iraq (in case you are new my dear reader, here is that original plan as published during Ramadan on 09 October 2006.)
But 120 days after 09 October stuff still was somehow inconclusive although there were lots of promising signs, so I decided to wait and see. Just wait and see...
But now 180 days later I think we can jump to the conclusion that this self unfolding plan has actually worked, for example the New York Times has done some good journalism (that means it is relatively propaganda free) and there is a nice quote to be made:
The death squads show some constrain. (Source)
The NYT article could have been much better
if it, for example, would include a nice graphic upon the next
statistic: Bodies found in Baghdad in the last 24 hours (that was
my main statistic under study my dear NYT folks.)
Well let me not glide into verbal aggression, let me say a few things and here we go:
And now I have said all that in relation with the self unfolding plan from 09 October 2006 I can say I have crafted a plan for minimizing market bombings my dear reader.
Interested my dear reader? Well I would like to push such another 'self unfolding plan' into motion but this times it comes with a price. The price has to be paid by the Iraqi puppet parliament & puppet government. The price is easy to understand and in fact it does not cost much, no no the price paid has such great benefits...
The price is as follows:
Push for legislation that prevents Iraqi oil towards the USA for a full 100 years.
If the Iraqi democratically chosen government decides to pay that price they will get the full four pillar plan that beside minimizing market bombings also has the benefit of much more other security. If they willfully decide not to pay the price I will push for a three pillar plan and in such a case you must not complain about a future military coup...
And if the Iraqi parliament /government think they can easily cough up a better plan for minimizing market bombings well why don't they cough it up? I mean we live in a free world and so if you are that legitimate why don't you do what you are supposed to do in the first place?
May be it is time to split my dear reader, till updates.
(08 April 2007) This all is lovely, what a welcome tribute I get from the Iraqis!
Of course I already expected such a thing since it has happened before that after cyber blast recovery time there was significant more killing of US military slime (I remember that day with 20 US soldiers killed rather sharp my dear and beloved mujahedin) and now the results of just 8 days of action in Iraq are as next:
---Daily average in April runs at at least 5.12 coalition slime killed / day (not all reports from today are in of course and beside that there is always underestimation in the Associated Press count...) Lets unfold the fun until now:
---April 01, the fools day = 7 (split up US =
6, UK = 1)
Well 7 + 6 + 2 + 6 + 6 + 3 + 4 + 7 = 41, see for example this file. (On their home page they have already standing the 41 / 8 = 5.125 standing so they only are a bit behind reality inside the detailed files...)
So the statistical facts are very satisfying, just so satisfying my dear Iraqis & I get so dreamish from this...
We have the next Military Bloody Day located at 10 May so that is 32 days ahead so the advice given is to slowly build down this magnificent average of daily killed US&UK military slime, use the time spared for making better weapons & methods of attack and locate another high daily killing rate in the time frame 10 May and the 15 days before it. (Don't forget that it were the Iraqis themselves that selected this time frame of 15 days during previous Military Bloody Days while I only worked with 'starting days' that were only breakable down into the number 5 and 7, so a 21 timespan could also be real because 21 = 7 + 7 + 7. But these days 15 days timespan before the impending Military Bloody Day is the way things go...)
In case you have fared well on the biological sniper bullet I hope a spike of that kind of stuff on exactly 10 May and no other dates. (Remark by the way that the use of biological sniper bullets will not reach the Media files for a long time but this is not a problem for me...)
Lets leave it with that my dear readers, till updates.
(01 April 2007) This is another temporary update because of course the main reason for returning back online was the statistical analysis around the Military Bloody Day from 02 Feb, see below in case you did not read it.
But let me close this day with a very nice
statistic found: Reuters reported that the Iraqi new born army
death toll in March was only 44. According to the Associated Press
count US military death toll was 81 (remark by the way that the US
military never reflects on the accuracy of the Associated Press
I think now has the time come to expose how
the selfunfolding plan of eliminating death squad activity inside
Iraq has fared, last year I pushed the plan in motion and there
was a 90 to 120 day executional time path involved. At day 120 I
already arrived at the conclusion that it was not needed to
declare Military Bloody Day against the death squad recruiting
fields but I kept silent.
Yet today I can say I will never declare MBD in the short run again in relation with death squad activity. By the way my dear Iraqis why don't you make my day and give me one full week of constantly a one digit number of dead bodies found inside Baghdad only?
Now for the closure of this temporary update: Oil oil oil. I hope that this story also has reached the Shias and Kurdish parts of Iraq, that is what I hope. Well my plans for punishing the Americans for the economical sanctions are very simple: For a full century the Americans can not buy any Iraqi oil on the official markets. (Just like the Americans do not buy oil from Iran as an example). It is only a few bucks lower in revenue a barrel for Iraq but if the Iraqis can help me with withholding Iraqi oil for a full century they would be very helpful to this story...;)
It is time to split, till updates my dear reader.
(28 March 2007) This update is rather technical in nature and may be not suitable for a lot of readers. We will discuss the so called 'military success' of the latest Military Bloody Day (an MBD).
There are always lots of statistical projections possible emerging from military actions and we must take into account that beside me declaring MBD's there are always a lot of other players involved.
Of course we use the same methodology as we used in the MBD's from 2006: We only study spatial restrictions (inside Iraq and/or Afghanistan) and time restrictions (the MBD itself and the 15 days before it).
With regard to the spatial and time restrictions we observe exactly four downed US aircraft in Iraq during the timeframe under study. This amounts like something of a sevenfold intensity increase and so we wonder:
Is this sevenfold increase in intensity just a coincident or is there a more fundamental killing machine involved?
Data are as next: According to not specified
Media files total downed US choppers in the entire Iraqi war was
something like 50 to 60. These include also the 'maintenance
problems' so it is not 50 to 60 due to enemy fire but why not give
these 'power and glory' folks the benefit of doubt: Lets say there
are 60 choppers downed via enemy fire.
Before we jump to the statistical conclusions we make the assumptions that downed US choppers of different days are so called 'independent events'. That means that the yes or no downing of one helicopter does not have any influence on other days...
The above data are elementary and I hope that my statistical colleagues from the US military will say that these are reasonable assumptions. Lets bake statistics:
In this case we can use a very simple
parametric test know as the binomial test, instead of 'Zero
hypothesis' we will write H0 and for 'Alternative' we
will write Ha.
In statistical testing we always have the
zero hypothesis as the 'daily working hypothesis', in this case
the daily working thing is 3 /70 likelihood of the downing of a US
helicopter on a particular day.
X = The number of downed US helicopters inside Iraq during this 16 day timespan.
X has the binominal distribution and in order to check the significance of the zero hypothesis we only have to calculate P(X > 3), to put it in words even the stupid US four star generals can understand: We calculate the likelihood of 4 downed aircraft or worse. That is what we do my dear but silly US four star generals, that is what we do...
Elementary considerations say that P(X > 3) = 1 - P(X<4) = 1 - 0.99594 = 0.00406.
Since I was that stupid not do download a nice crack of the SPSS package (made in the USA...), I had to do all calculations by hand. For example I had to calculate:
P(X=3) = [16*15*14/3*2]*[603 /14003 ]*[134013 /140013 ] = 0.02494 so let me spare you the next of the calculations...;)
End conclusion: If all assumptions are met, that means all 60 downed US helicopters are done via enemy fire and the war was not over 1400 days but exactly 1400 days on its way; In that case we have a 0.00406 : 1 or a 1 : 246 likelihood of the zero hypothesis of being true...
So my fellow US military statisticians, am I unreasonable with the above statistical testing? Did you manage to arrive at that level or are you still brainwashed with all your government propaganda and do you even believe that the USA is a good force for human welfare in the long run on a global scale? Believe what you want but in the meantime I have the right and the duty of killing your military folks in a more efficient way.
Sincerely yours, Reinko Venema.
End of this update, in future updates we will take a look at the chloride tanker bombings, the introduction of the biological sniper bullet and lots of other things....
Lets fulfill our religious duties and kill the Americans! Till updates.
It beats me and I hope it
will beat the SPSS developers, that is what I hope. But I will not
crack down the SPSS folks (although their business prices are just
far to high) but I will be constructive with the next:
Why do the USA SPSS developers not follow the insights exposed in the booklet with ISBN number 0 7619 6152 6? And so for example add at least 10 new statistical tests with every update of the SPSS package? And stop all that stupid 'the market wants this or the market wants that policy'? You could grab statistical might like Microsoft has my dear SPSS developers so why not grab that might?
End of this update around the statistical analysis from the latest Military Bloody Day as it was located at 02 February 2007.
(30 Jan 2007) And so I find
myself back right now sitting on a concrete floor
typing the last update from this house. Nostalgia is in
my mind; eight years I have lived here and so much has
happened in these eight years.
Lets leave my nostalgia beyond and
take a look at some very interesting statistic:
But beyond good smiles on my face I have a few cubic of meters of garbage to collect in order to leave my old house properly to whoever buys it. I have not checked the new internet connection in my new house so I do not know if I am capable of commenting on the impending Military Bloody Day...
Lets leave it with that and we must
never forget that there is high priority at studying how
to kill Americans efficiently. I mean one weird tree in
the garden that scares me is one thing, killing
Americans is another and it is great fun.
(18 Jan 2007) Ok ok I am tired as a 90 old guy after running 5 marathons on a row but I would like to publish a few words. Here we go:
ITEM ONE: My new enemy is Robert Gates, he replaces the old goody dood Donald Rumsfeld as the present US Secretary of Defense. My dear Robert here are my opening words for you:
A few years back I promised to Donald that I would beat the shit out of him.
This is what I did Robert and
weirdly enough I even succeeded in this. Now what am I
gonna do to you? The same or not? To be honest I just
don't know, I do not have that deep hatred I had with
Donald. I do not have that deep hatred so for the time
being you have the benefit of doubt but very likely in a
few months time I will tell the same 'shit beating
words' to you either.
My dear Robert Gates I am a very
friendly man but I also carry a long luggage known as
the Military Bloody Days (the MBD's). Now on some
average MBD often lots of US military folks are killed
and often we write the daily number of death in two
digits. Due to repeated Cyber Attacks I cannot give you
rigid and scientific info on this, but if you want info
on killed US soldiers on certain specified days you must
turn to the military you ride.
My dear Robert Gates, I came to the next info: You were a dean at some US university and you liked that job but when called by your president you gave up the job you liked. I understand very well why you did not want to leave a job like that but you were called to duty by Dubya and now you are called to duty by me. Here we go:
On the next Military Bloody Day
that is located at 02 February this year I will give the
permission of certain amounts of air power used on that
day. It is advised that the Western air forces (in
particular the US forces) do as they are told.
My dear Robert, for following my advice you must not look or talk at the military you rule but search for my strangest of cells as found within the White House. Tap your info from that source and not from these weird US four star generals...
ITEM TWO: The Kurds in Iraq.
There is no denying this: When the Kurds tried to sell their oil fields to Western companies I kept my mouth shut. I mean that indeed I like the Kurds and that indeed they need some territory to breathe. Ok ok it is also very likely that in the Kirkuk equation in the future I will advice at my Sunni friends to kill Kurds in large numbers but all in all the Kurds need their state and as far as I am concerned they can have it.
Now for a nice Media file: It says
that Kurdish soldiers from the 1st battalion of the Iraqi Army's 3rd Brigade, 4th division
are heading towards Baghdad. (Here is the Media
file.) Of course stuff like this is very dangerous
but I meet it with a soft smile, please my dear Kurds
fight terror as it is found. For example the latest
attacks against Baghdad universities can hardly be
classified as the work of al Qaida in Iraq, so who did
ITEM THREE: Since my body is exhausted and it is late at night this is an empty item. In programming language it is 'skip' item. And all I want to do at these very advanced computer spying folks that spy around on my computer systems: Why not try the doorbell? I mean I have a doorbell and if you want any kind of info I am very willing to share it with you.
Well we will see in how far the Americans are able to communicate properly via the doorbell method and in the meantime I hope for a double digit of US casualties on the impeding Military Bloody Day as we have on 02 Feb this year...
Two weeks to go until the next MBD and I am very interested in this little detail of this decade long story: please kill this US slime my dear Sunnis, you are so good at it so kill it and kill it again on future Military Bloody Days!
I often withhold it but: Abdullah Akbar! (This means 'God willing' or better said it is 'Allah willing' and I hope that it is indeed Allah willing that a lot of US slime will get killed on the specified date 02 February 2007. On the local calendar it is something like 1428 Muharram 14 while this is also a so called 'leap year'. )
Lets make this all not too difficult: Kill the US slime in a significant number anyway on 02 February 2007 please...
End of this update that even Robert Gates can understand.
(15 Jan 2007) Now wow wow wow did I have some cyber blast inside my dear computing machinery... And all I did was shredding some files and suddenly thousands and thousands of files were gone within just one or two seconds. So this is the second time this happens and I took my time to investigate what could have happened on the fucking machine.
Well if there were some spying programs on the computer they must have been there a long long time and that did not bring me in a good mood. But lets first see if the internet connection is working properly again.
Here below you can find my latest email to the Pentagon folks, of course there still is no answer... Till updates my dear reader.
My dear US Pentagon/US defense folks,
I already have informed the mujahedin that you would act as a bunch of cowards and not answer the question.
(By the way, there will be no punishment for not answering this second email. There will be no extra filled coffins inside Iraq nor Afghanistan. This second email is only needed to confirm to my brain that you Pentagon folks are just a bunch of cowards. That is all my dear folks. That is all for this second email.)
(21 December 2006) Flip man, it looks like my computer has had some invasion stuff and I was mad as hell when I found out yesterday. The last time I was that mad (as hell) was after reading the Lancet report upon the Iraqi death toll. (A good reading by the way, good science! Yes the Lancet report (a pdf file) is good reading for the soul; you get wise from it.).
After having slept on it I decided that I was childish with my ranting from the previous (and deleted) update and it was unwise to get mad over the modified content of just one computer (although it's my own one). May be my anger was directed at myself; I haven't made a proper update of my system for over six months & we all know the value of making proper updates. So I was stupid & lets leave it with that.
Lets do the serious thing and
discuss it into five items: One around the Palestine
equation (just a detail), one around the words of
opponent Dubya (he stated he wants to help young
democracies, see for example the Palestines) and the
main dish of today: Iraqi death squads (today a 70 to 80
found dead bodies was reported and that is significantly
ITEM ONE: Yesterday I did see the Palestine prime minister on the television and he stated more or less the next (more or less a quote):
They are out to bring the elected Palestine government down and we know the main source on this: That is America.
Comment to the Palestines: In principle this is correct but there is a detail missing. This detail was understood by me within a few seconds as soon as the news of the financial sanctions against the Palestines reached me a long time ago. They want the Palestine Hamas government out and the only way to do this is via the method of civil war. (That is because elections are an efficient way to prevent civil war, so when the outcome of elections is not accepted only non democratic ways will be there.)
Comment to the Americans: It is
hard to swallow that at the moment the USA started
pushing for financial sanctions against the
democratically elected Palestine Hamas government that
you did not see the consequences of your decision. This
is hard to swallow, often I do portray you as a bunch of
dumbheads but we both know this is only propaganda.
ITEM TWO: Dubya and the words he speaks...
Lately I saw Dubya on the television via the CNN and suddenly he stated that America like to help young democracies... As an example he quoted the young democracy of Lebanon.
Now my dear reader why should Dubya
like to express his desire to help Lebanon and not help
the young democracy of the Palestines? That is because
of the Lebanese 34 day war we had last Summer, it was a
devastating blow for the Israelis and they cannot repeat
that trick again. (For example the slimy Israelis want
to double their defense spending...)
Lets get serious: How does Dubya dare to day that America is willing to 'help' young democracies? And tout as an example the Lebanese folks? Is it arrogance of utter stupidity? You can make up your own mind my dear reader. (The Americans help only those when it is in the line of their so called American interests, for the rest they only speak wonderful prose about hugging & kissing.) Lets proceed to item three.
ITEM THREE: Today's civil death toll from death squad activity in Iraq was something in the 70 to 80 range. I did not obverse a vital detail: Was it inside Baghdad alone? The media report did not say that explicitely but very likely it is so.
What are the fact? Allowed maximum
death squad activity was two days of triple digit
numbers (this was allowed because they had the right of
revenge after the large car bombings at soft targets we
had lately, look for details below yourself my dear
reader because I am not a walking encyclopedia.)
Why am I that harsh? (Because most of the days we see easy to swallow numbers like 26 reported found and dead, 17 reported found and dead and so on.) Why am I that harsh? I am that harsh because most of the bodies found that clear signs of torture and I know that is a hobby in your society. And I also know there is much underreporting in these 70 to 80 numbers so very likely the Baghdad death squads have their more realistic first 100+ day.
So that is one more 100+ day left my dear Iraqi death squads. It is only one more day left...
Please do not get me wrong: I am not some weirdo from hell, I understand all the emotion that is going around. Just a few details on this:
In both cases I would stop attacking the global and long lasting enemy (the Americans) and try to kill those who did this to me. That is what I would do.
I understand all this emotion, I do
my dear death squads. But you do not understand that the
Americans are those who did this to you for so long.
Some of you might be smart (because they stage daring
attacks against local opponents) but they lack insight
in the global puzzle of this all: It are the Americans
that are the opponents, but again: It I would have my
brother dropped in my garden with a head full of
drilling what would I do?
Lets leave it with that; One more 100+ days to go for the Baghdad Iraqi death squads & lets leave it with that...
ITEM FOUR: We had input from the al Qaida number two related to the Palestine equation where al Qaida stated that new elections would not liberate one sand particle at all.
Ok ok the message also contained more stuff but lets look only at the sand particle: Would new elections bring good for the Palestines?
We can be short on this: With
asking for new elections the Western world hopes that
Fatah would take a blunt victory and that without Hamas
they could take the entire government.
One thing is clear: The Western world thinks with her emotions and this Western world does not understand sound reasoning: Elections can prevent civil war and that is all I have to say on this stupid push of the Western world for new elections.
ITEM FIVE: This is an empty item, it contains just nothing. But do empty items exist for real? May be they do may be they don't. But if empty items do not exist I would like that the US hedge funds ponder the next question for a long time during the impending holiday season:
Do you follow the wisdom of Dubya or do you follow me?
And with following me I do not want you to turn into slaves, no no you have your hedge fund agenda for yourself. But in case there is some room inside your agenda you can make an appointment with this story if you know what I mean.
For the rest: This item is empty.
That's it for today, I could rant on for many more items like this but I would like to listen to some wonderful music I found on the p2p networks and I am gonna do that. Lets shove all civil war in a place where the sun never shines & till updates!
PS: Never forget it is very important to study about how to kill Americans efficiently! Never forget that, after all we all hate Dubya don't we?
(17 December 2006) We only have two items or two subjects in this update: The first is complaining to the Hedge fund cell structure about why they do not do their best into bringing the €/$ pair to the desired level of 1.45 US$ against one €. And the second item is a complaint towards the Pentagon upon not answering my reasonable questions.
Here we go:
ITEM ONE: Some time ago when the €/$ pair did hang before the 1.30 level I told my audience that the crossing of this particular threshold would be taken with abundant hedge fund activity. It did not happen in those long lost months, but the second time around the 1.30 threshold was taken efficiently.
So you do not hear me complain about taking it in two steps instead of one my dear hedge funds. But you hear me complain about lack of activity into taking the long time threshold that is standing at something like 1.3666 (I have never registered intra day stuff or so and therefore my reported threshold of 1.3666 could be not exact...)
Well after the 1.30 barrier was taken I only observed lazy behavior on part of the hedge fund structure and why not cross the long time border in the €/$ pair I wonder all these times. I only wonder because my original estimation from a few years ago is still standing: It is 1.45 on this pair and my patience is running out my dear hedge fund structure. My patience is running out although I understand that in the currencies markets the most important events always happen years later. I understand that detail but do you understand the details of a overvalued US dollar? Do you? Now? (Come on US trade deficit is still something like 2 billion US$/day and lately Dubya asked for a full 100 billion US bucks to finance the war, I have heard rumors that this 100 billion does not go into the 'official' US deficit account but I do not know if that it true; Juan Cole was the source on this detail.) Down dollar down please...
ITEM TWO: A few days ago in a previous update I told my beloved audience that no matter what kind of email I post towards the Pentagon they never answer anyway. In this case it has to be remarked that the last email towards the Pentagon was placed years ago and now I only asked them the next information (quote from the entire email):
Dear Pentagon folks/US military service people,
So that was all I asked for: Give me some reliable info around the number of US military deaths in October 2006. Now my deader what did happen: No answer from the US military so I am obliged to hang around with a few more years of Military Bloody Days and stuff like that to get them so far that they are willing to answer just a simple email. I am not doing difficult on this detail, email from the Pentagon has always been a very very minor detail in this war on terror anyway so why not study how to to fill the US coffins a bit more efficiently? Why not listen to nature instead of waiting upon US military emails?
I leave the beloved hedge fund cell structure and the beloved US military with this but only post; a nice pic as found on my most beloved website, here is the pic & till updates:
Ok ok, these 25K also include those who managed it to return to duty within 72 hours so it is a fake number anyway. But the previous €/$ pair number in the 1.36 range was also a fake, reality is around the 1.45 exchange threshold and I hope the hedge fund cell structure thinks that I am in the right where the other players in the field only talk short time rubbish... That is what I hope. Till updates my dear reader...;)
(13 December 2006) Ok the kids are sound asleep and I finally have the time to post a little update. Where shall we start because a lot did happen since 07 December?
Start with the fact that in this week total US dead and wounded crossed the 25 thousand threshold? That was a jubilant number but from the military point of view these 25 thousand also contain those US soldiers who were able to return to duty within 72 hours (three days).
Or start with that remark made by a
US lawmaker lately: From all regiments/divisions right
now in the USA about one third is just not capable of
going to Iraq because of maintenance/equipment/manpower
problems? Yes yes, one third of the total US
groundforces are not capable of serving in Iraq. This is
tremendous valuable information and I have to thank that
particular US lawmaker from the bottom of my heart!
But I could also have started this
update with a correction: On 06 December it were exactly
13 dead reported US slime inside Iraq (my compliments I
say with a broad smile on my face). So the previous
reported 10 and 11 dead are withdrawn.
So I could start this update with a
lot of stuff, for example the next would also be a good
starter: After studying the diverse databases that track
the US military death toll in Iraq I arrived after some
calculations that for example the October US death toll
could be as high as 131 instead of the reported 106 by
the Associated Press count. The CNN database for example
reports 126 dead US slime in the month of October (the
run up month for the US elections) but of course CNN
keeps it's mouth shut and never ever criticizes the Ass
Press findings. Details will follow later; I have
started a text around this subject but it isn't finished
yet. And there are a few problems to be solved: CNN does
not expose how they compile their database and if they
use other methods than the other databases around I
could make a fool of myself with stating that in October
2006 we could have at least 131 dead US military
Of course also to be discussed is
how the plan of wiping out death squad activity in Iraq
is unfolding itself. Well I am still humming with
satisfaction: from the moment I pulled of the plan we
had no triple digit dead Iraqis found in the Baghdad
zone in a 24 hour timespan.
Or would you like me to maximize death squad activity?
Would that be handy for your long term survival? Now?And last but definitely not the
least is the Palestine equation: Lately three children
were killed with about 60 bullets. And ok ok it were
three sons of a high ranked Fatah member and ok ok Fatah
is on a very smoothing path with the Western forces. But
it is three children against 60 bullets and this is
utterly and totally unacceptable. So I hope that not for
only one decade but a bit more longer the Hamas members
will hunt down those who did this. And if for example
one group or one cell claims responsibility, just
execute the entire group or the entire cell. And if
later another group comes in stating that whatever that
previous group or cell has said, in fact they were the
ones who did it. It is just the same: Execute the entire
group or cell. (With execution I mean the execution of
men of military age, so the kids are not killed.)
Lets leave this update with that, I know that senior so called 'terror analysts' will never visit this lovely website because all their website visits are logged. And you cannot have that kinkythirt thing on your logging list in case you desire for promotion. I know how stuff works my dear reader, but do you know? And is there anything that can prevent the impending third civil attack after the Madrid and London attacks? There is no such thing my dear reader, there is no such thing. Till updates.
(07 December 2006) Flip man, the previous update contained some little faults: It was not 10 US slime killed in two roadside bomb attacks but 11 killed in four separate attacks... So the bad news is it were not two attacks and the good news is it was not 10 but 11 killed.
So what can I say? I can say I fell into a simple emotional trap yesterday: so much I long for killing US military more efficiently and when you observe a relatively reliable media file stating this is actually at the scene you just believe it... And it were my own emotions that did me make fall into this trap (but I was aware of my own emotions and I knew it could be a hoax).
Also yesterday I placed the next Military Bloody Day at 02 February 2007(if my calendar converter is not fooling me it is 14 Muharram in the year 1428), that is something like 2 months from now. Lets discuss my expectations or my estimations. Here we go:
That's it for this update, it is not temporary because the next Military Bloody Day just has to be published. Till updates my beloved reader and do not forget it were the Americans that pushed for the so called 'military solution' while now a few years later down the line they have about one third of all regiments/companies/and so on that are not ready to deploy to Iraq because of maintenance/manpower problems & and let me ask once more to the Americans: How stupid can you be?
(02 December 2006) Man oh man I feel bored in the Iraqi equation; stupid attacks like market bombings keep on continuing and it is slowly getting clear that new weaponry to kill Americans more efficiently are likely not found over there. That is a pity, but if the Sunnis and Shias love to hate each other then why any longer put my energy in that?
Lets look at the next war, the war against Iran. In the past I already have instructed the Iranians to prepare for war and for example I have unfolded some thoughts upon efficient bunker building.
One of the things in my past thoughts upon more efficient bunkers (that counter all non nuclear bunker busters the US military has inside her arsenals) was based on concrete pyramid shaped structures (with a base of 2 or 3 meters) on top of the bunker so the incoming bunker buster (that is shaped like a long needle) gets a 45 degree angle to conquer. Therefore the initial penetration of the bunker buster was hindered largely.
Yet lately when I studied more
efficient sniper bullets for the Iraqis I came by
accident across so called 'reactive armor' on tanks.
Reactive armor is in principle an explosive kind of
armor that prevents penetration of the ammo fired at it.
Counter measures are for example double copper layered
shaped explosives. Like we have for example the famous
hellfire missile often fired from the remote controlled
End of the update, may be I will delete it (turn it into a so called temporary update), may be I will leave it into these writings...
Have a nice life my dear reader. Have a nice life (I am having one of those lives and I hope you will get there too.)
(24 November 2006) I have some private stuff the last days (I can move to a better home and that is needed because the kids get bigger and bigger, furthermore I have to look for a job because after all these years my savings have run out...).
But yesterday we had the largest attack inside Iraq until now, reported are over 200 dead Shia/Shiites and over 250 wounded and lots of the wounded are in very bad condition. For me it is very important to study how this attack with five car bombs influences my unfolding plan for minimizing death squad activity (because without doubt this kind of attack in Sadr city pumps up death squad activity).
Since I have set this plan in
motion there has been no tree digit number reported in
my most favorite statistic: Bodies found in Baghdad over
the last 24 hours.
Shia/Shiite death squads are allowed exactly two triple digit days for revenge.
And although the car bombs in Sadr city killed woman and children alike it is not advised to 'death squad' woman and children. Just 200+ men of military age is advised. Good luck with it.
There is also good news flowing from Iraq: al Sadr declared that his political party will withdraw from the puppet Iraqi government in case the puppet prime minister Malaki would go and visit main enemy Dubya somewhere. This is a very good development because it minimizes the likelihood of future oil contracts going to the Americans. This small detail simply proves once more that al Sadr is carved from the good wood, his morals seem to be in order but he still has to learn how to amass military power like Hezbollah did...
All in all the amount of chaos inside Iraq is just too much, it hinders all kinds of welcome developments like we have the development of new weaponry. In the country where I live (Holland) the amount of chaos is too low to deliver new weaponry in the hands of the desired parties; the ruling powers succeed in keeping the population satisfied and so there is no new weaponry flowing from my country to Iraq. But in Iraq the amount of chaos is too high. I think it is not controllable, only details like Military Bloody Days and (hopefully) Shia/Shiite death squad activity is controllable. We will see how my views will pan out.
After having delivered my sermon I would like to concentrate on a few so called items in the itemizing thing. Here we go:
ITEM ONE: Shaped explosives or
shaped charges. Many years back when I was working for
the Dutch army in Germany I came across a wonderful book
about shaped explosives. I only could read about 10
minutes in it and these days they do not hire me anymore
and I am broke so I cannot buy lots of those books
myself. And it was five years ago so my memory is vague
on this but may be the next book is good info for the
Sunni shaped explosives builders (it is a bit late but
But advanced armor on for example
Russian tanks use so called 'explosive armor' and they
could hinder the blast of copper coming in. So in my
head it took a few minutes to come up with a wonderful
weapon with 5 to 10 copper layers to ensure the blasting
copper stream long enough. Well these were stupid
fantasies because on some South American website I found
out two copper layers are enough, they are named tandem
shaped charges, here is some info on them:
Detail: May be you need two detonators inside the explosive material to get the most effective kind of weapon when all the Abrams tanks inside Iraq have explosive armor on the bottom of those tanks. But may be one detonator inside the tip of the leading copper cone will do the trick necessary.
With shaped charges you can do lots of tricks, you can use the copper cone shape (aluminum seems to be better for concrete) but you can also make lines of that stuff. And when you can
make lines you can also make curves of this. Here is a pic to get an idea about liners:
ITEM TWO: Better sniper ammo.
Something like eight months ago I only published a small
video fragment on my website, here
it is again. I never highlighted it's meaning
anyway, I only waited. Well now after waiting all these
months it is reported that sniper training in Iraq is
centralized and therefore the next obvious detail has to
be discussed: Better sniper ammo. (Yes yes my dear but
stupid US military, I am a guy with a lot of patience
when this is needed.)
For over a year in my mind already a bullet exists that kills US slime far more efficiently. But I had all those stupid fantasies around it, I wanted advanced bullet fillings of the hollow cap with all kinds of new and surprising diseases. But given the Iraqi equation with far too much chaos inside it, it is better to bring a more rude version forward. So I did the Google thing and I found that indeed these kind of bullets can be made.
I found the desired info that was exactly what I thought upon this: I found that one American guy drilled a very small hole in the hollow tip of a bullet and filled it with aspirin. (He used aspirin because he thought that would prevent bleeding so the wound would not stop bleeding, a very naive kind of filling I think.)
So the kind of bullets that are needed do actually exist these days: They have a hollow but closed tip and you can drill a very small hole in it and fill it with an injection needle. They do exist but I do not know if they exist in the bullet size used by the honorable Iraqi snipers. I do not know.
But we need bullets that expand or fragment inside the bodies of US soldiers and so the entire wound is sprayed with a nice biological payload. Weirdly enough it is not forbidden, I studied the 1899 The Hague covenant upon allowed ammo but it only said that explosive bullets below something like a 400 gram threshold are forbidden. So this concept of a biological sniper bullet is not illegal or so, my dear reader must know that I always abide the law...;)
Info on hollow bullets that
expand/fragment upon impact (for introducing the
biological sniper bullet in the Iraqi equation); Terminal
To get an idea of the effect of these kind of bullets I show a picture of a bullet used in hunting animals:
How to fill the bio-sniper bullet? Advanced new diseases are not at the scene now we live in a
timeframe where scientists often refuse to side
with the Iraqi insurgency. So lets keep it simple:
rotten human blood is a nice payload, or just throw a
piece of animal meat in a bit of water and wait for a
few days until you have your special brew to fill you
sniper bullet with. You can be so creative with this,
why not buy feeding
stuff for the acrobacter species? Or with whatever
you want kind of filling your sniper bullet...;) That
would be a nice counter to all those stupid CNN reports
we have lately that say 'See how good we are in the war
hospitals here in Iraq'. Please give me a few surprises
More sniper stuff: When you have filled bullets the tables for gravitation and side wind are not longer valid. Create your first tables with help of your own brain and after that convert them to all other zero's with help of the ultimate sniper website. See converting your stuff. Good luck with it.
More sniper stuff: Ordinary bullets can be transformed into the high class sniper bullets if you apply some kind of coating on it. I have never done this (I even never fired a sniper rifle but I would love to do this in the future). Here are some not understandable files on this, for example you need Moly (Molybdemum Disulfide) or so. What it is I don't know, I have no clue but here's the Google thing upon 'Moly coatings'. It looks reasonable that Moly coatings also need their new sniper tables of gravity and side wind.
ITEM THREE: Old but funny news found; a US corporal felled by a sniper bullet on the latest Military Bloody Day from 02 Oct 2006 (audio file, in English of course).
As always the fantastic features of the dead soldiers are highlighted, from the dead nothing but good. For me as an individual it was nice to hear the good qualities of this particular dead US soldier.
ITEM FOUR: Yesterday morning I got a visit from two Mormones, one American and one Dutch Mormone... And they visited me so we could have a little discussion upon religion, I always like religious discussions with Christians.
And so after the introductionary talk, giving them a glass of water (they do not drink coffee for example but I already knew this) of course I had to unleash a very simple question:
Can you think of a bacteria as being your daughter?
Both the Dutch as the American Mormon instantly saw that bacteria's are never daughters of humans. They did not buy this.
So my next question was:
Is the Almighty we often refer to a God (or Allah) not much greater compared to any human?
This was also confirmed by the Mormones.
And so their mind was vulnerable to attack, the obvious third question was of course:
So how can a human named Jesus be the son of God?
But weirdly enough my logical line of reasoning was not followed any longer.
ITEM FIVE: It is now 23.53 hours local time so I have no time left to make it a solid item before we have day closure. So let me only highlight the most important detail from this update: Two triple digit death toll days are allowed for the Shia/Shiite death squads inside Iraq.
Now ok ok. lets bring up the best of the US snipers. Here they are:
End of this update, till updates my dear reader.
(09 November 2006)
Good news in the US mid-term elections: The Democrats
have also taken
the US Senate! It is now 51 seats for the Demo's and
49 for the Rep's and the last seat was so wonderful: It
was something like 8.805 votes more for the Dem's that
Last subject: How is the plan for
wiping out death squad activity in Iraq going? I think
there is a small scaling down but I have never compiled
any statistics on daily found bodies in for example
Baghdad. My gut feeling says there is a small decline
(last week we had on Friday or so 54 dead bodies found
but we also had a Shia/Shiite wedding bombed) and last
week we also had a report of only 11 bodies found. So we
must not jump to conclusions prematurely, that is all I
have to say.
(08 November 2006)
Yes yes yes, there is no denying this: Dubya is a lame
duck for the rest of his presidency... I am having fun,
big fun. BIG BIG fun!
So very likely this US election result will bring all kinds of benefits for the so called central front in the war on terror (the war in Iraq, the so called Iraqi equation). Right now at the moment of writing Dubya is on the television explaining that there are no problems at all and that it is good that there will be fresh leadership at the Pentagon... (But only one week ago he said that Rumsfeld would stay the entire next two years, ha ha I have fun and I smell blood.)
But there was another major
development today: This morning at dawn the Israeli
defense forces started shelling Palestine civilians and
there were something like 18 civilians dead included
many children. The slimy Israeli forces were a full half
mile wrong with their targeting so they did it
deliberately or it was a giant blunder. We will see.
(06 November 2006) Tomorrow there will be the so called mid-term elections inside the USA and I hope that the 105 killed US soldiers will do the trick this time and give success to the Democrats... But you never know, Democrats are Americans too and therefore they are often stupid. Yet according to the polls victory is there for the US Democrats and may I thank the Iraqi mujahedin once more for staging all those attacks? Without doubt you must have been exhausted at the end of October, so thanks for your help!
For the rest so much did happen,
for example the death verdict of Saddam Houssein came to
light yesterday. For the time being I have only little
comment on that but I will only remark a few small
ITEM ONE: In the previous update from exactly one week ago I informed al Sadr of the next detail, quote:
No no, people that do go out and bomb a Shia wedding in the morning and come back in the evening to bomb the funeral are people that need to be executed.
Well within 24 hours a Shia/Shiite
wedding was bombed and there were something like 25
people dead. It has to be remarked that the funeral of
these 25 people was not bombed, these are the facts.
So I repeat my advice: Execute
those who bomb Shia/Shiite weddings in the morning and come back in the
evening to bomb the funeral. Dear mujahedin Shura
council in general and al Qaida in Iraq in particular: I
need your help too.
ITEM TWO: Lately there is all kinds of talk that compares the present situation in Iraq with the Vietnam war (the Vietnam equation). I only studied how this war started and for the rest do not have expert knowledge on that equation. Yet I came across a very taunting detail that I just have to expose, quote:
The Tet Offensive was strategized by the North Vietnamese Gen. Vo Nguyen Giap, a former schoolteacher who was said to be very familiar with the details of Napoleon’s campaigns. Source
Comment: Now I am not gonna compare
myself with Gen Giap, my lifelong favorite is still
Dhengiz Kahn. That was one hell of a general: he smithed
all these warring Mongul fractions together in one
mighty army and crushed the world. Wow wow wow.
I only hope that in a few decades I can indeed compare myself to the Kahn, but if not no big deal. But I would like that, that's a fact...;)
ITEM THREE: Fun fun fun, it was the American John Kerry who at a certain point in time made more or less the following statement:
to do your best and get a good education, try to get
This gave a whole lot of emotion
inside the USA and Senator John Kerry (a leading
Democrat over there) explained he only made a joke
towards commander in chief George Dubya Bush (the USA
president from these days). Well if you look at the John
Kerry words it is actually a very funny joke, anyway I
could laugh very well over it...;)
This was a very wonderful reaction and once more it shows that inside the US military there is about 90 percent support for the Republicans (so the left over 10 percent are to be split over the Democrats and the so called 'independents'). And although the pic above proofs indeed that the whole US military is nothing but a Republican militia it is also very funny. We cannot deny that; finally the US military gets creative and not in achieving in the building of hospitals inside Iraq or so but by attacking Democrats it is where creativity is found...
Let me adjust to the above slang, let me adjust to the creativity inside the US military. Here we go:
Hallo UZ melitarry jou ar stukc
inzide Irak, thet iz trou. Zo jour stupit cummander en
sjeef cannod mace Moore warz everywhare, hah hah vun vun
iz vound. Ant bey te wai, whai dit jou fuk te 14 jear olt
Iraki girl ant killet te entirez famili? Ai doo nod
understant thiz becauze jour wan cummander zays zhee
asket vor te stuf ant id waz te 14 jear olt thad rapet
te UZ soldierz ant avter thad zhe efen killet heR entirz
famili witd a boks kutter ant zhe efen callet vor aair
forze to haaide te efidenze.
Butt te UZ melitarry iz alzo aj stupit melitarry becauze vor tree ant a halv jears ai attakc tham widt Melitarry Dloodi Dayz zo led mee brang onze Moore too jour attentione te nexd tabla, haf vun gujz:
Zo ai kan zay thet wee zhoud ent thiz dizcussion bey ztating thet I am zmart whyle jou ar stupit. Butt jou hef eir suppord ant ai hef e wepsite zo wee wil zee whad te vuture bringz. Letz leef id witd thet.
ITEM FOUR: Since we have US
mid-term elections tomorrow lets take a look at the past
and once more look at the 2004 prez elections in the
On Oct. 29, 2004, just four days before the U.S. presidential election, bin Laden took the personal risk of breaking nearly a year of silence to release a videotape denouncing Bush. Right-wing pundits immediately spun the videotape into bin Laden's "endorsement" of Democrat John Kerry. Polls registered an immediate bump of about five points for Bush.
However, inside CIA headquarters, senior intelligence analysts reached the remarkable conclusion that bin Laden's real intent was to help Bush win a second term.
Comment: This all was rather smart and 100 percent in line with what I was thinking of this subject. Lets proceed quoting:
However, Bush's campaign backers took bin Laden's videotape at face value, calling it proof the terrorist leader feared Bush and favored Kerry. source
Comment: Once more I am shaking
from laughter, Osama more afraid of dumbhead Dubya
compared to Democrat John Kerry? No no my dear
conservatives, it was not fear that lead to the decision
to try and keep Dubya at his post. It was the fact that
Dubya is dumb that motivated this all.
Oh oh, often the Americans are charming in their stupidity. Just like children can be charming but when a child has a 500 billion a year military under it's ass it is where the trouble starts.
ITEM FIVE: From stupid US generals
and the things they say.
Now here is a very interesting CNN file from 3 September that states the next, quote:
The announcement Sunday of four more U.S. military deaths in Iraq raises the death toll to 2,974 for U.S. military service members in Iraq and in what the Bush administration calls the war on terror.
The comparison between fatalities in the war on terror and 9/11 was drawn last month by Gen. Peter Pace, chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, during testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee.
Comment: On 11 Sept 2006 total US military death toll stood at 3005 so we see that indeed Peter is a full blown idiot that does not have his dossiers on order.
There are hundreds of stupid US generals more to find but lets name only one: US general Casey (the leader inside Iraq). Lately he was on the television with his stupid head and he stated the next:
In 12 to 18 months we can start withdrawing because at that point the Iraqi forces are capable of defending themselves.
Comment: Well Casey this is a
stupid remark because you use Iraqis to kill Iraqis and
this is a strategy that has a high failure rate from the
military point of view. So your stupid estimation will
likely not come out asshole!
Lets leave the itemizing stuff with that and we will see what tomorrow brings on behalf of the US elections and after that we can study how to get rid of the Iraqi death squads... Till updates!
(30 October 2006) It was just five days until the last update and so much has happened in just five days. Lets go to work:
ITEM ONE: The plan for minimizing death squad activity was set in motion some time ago and the plan contains three pillars (Sunnis crafting attack plans against the recruiting fields from the death squads, help from the Iraqi clergy and al Sadr doing his stinking best to wipe out all death squad activity in all Shia/Shiite militia's and if he does that his militia will be spared).
So how is the plan unfolding
itself? It looks like the third pillar is cooperative
too and I think I must whisper softly to the Mahdi army:
Al-Zaman (in Arabic so I cannot read this) reports that another leader in the Sadr Movement, Ahmad Sharifi, revealed Friday that a committee set up by the Sadrist leader Sayyid Muqtada has begun the process of purging the Mahdi Army of death squad cells. They are chasing other such cells, which kill innocents. Sharifi charges that these cells are being funded by "factions" in the United Iraqi Alliance, the umbrella coalition in parliament for religious Shiite parties.
Comment: I am pleased and honored
to observe that the Mahdi militia or army is willing to
enforce a so called rigid battlefield discipline.
But there is more to say on this subject: Although I would like to see some rigid battlefield discipline inside all Shia/Shiite militia's there is no reason to spare the Sunnis. No no, people that do go out and bomb a Shia wedding in the morning and come back in the evening to bomb the funeral are people that need to be executed. That is also a way of getting the desired battlefield discipline at the desired places but all in all my reader must understand that I am only a guy with a website and I do not long for so called 'Media power'.
ITEM TWO: A few days back I arrived
at my home after a visit to a neighbor and it was 21.37
hours in the evening and I pushed the button 'refresh
page' from my most favorite
website. And it said to me: US death toll in October
is written in three digits...;)
ITEM THREE: CNN reported that total
tonnage of air power in Afghanistan is a ten fold of air
power as applied in Iraq. Because the size of the Afghan
occupiers is only a fifth of the size of the occupiers
in Iraq we instantly see that per capita occupation
soldier in the Afghan landscaper there is a 50 fold more
use of air power. From the military point of view this
is rather weird; why should the brave NATO/ISAF forces
need a hefty 50 times fold in using air power?
The rest of this item number three is in Ducth because it is meant to arrive into the brains of the political NATO leader named Jaap de Hoop Scheffer (the Oops Keffer so to say). Here we go:
Zo vuile christenhond het is nou
tussen jou en mij. Snap jij nog steeds niet dat het
afvullen van civiele lijkkisten in Holland altijd een
meerwaarde heeft omdat een zekere Hollander genaamd Jaap
het wel leuk vond om wat swing aan zijn internationale
cariere te geven?
May be this is a wise point in time to stop updating and only express to my audience that if indeed the CNN report on used air ammo is correct (I cannot validate it otherwise) it is advised to the ISAF forces in Afghanistan that less air power always brings more friends at the scene.
Till updates my dear and beloved reader.
ITEM FOUR: Well after bicycling a
rough 50 to 60 kilometers I have gotten rid of my hate
towards the Oops Keffer and why not post a nice update
around the sniper stuff in Iraq?
Army... By the way I observed you used a
so called standard work: "Ultimate Sniper", written in 1993 by Major John L. Plaster.
order to be a good sniper from a relatively large
But there is more: There are also drugs that make you a better sniper because those drugs reduce trembling. Now please do not get me wrong: I like the mujahedin because of their religion and I do not want to turn them into some wagon load of drug users but very likely the US snipers use those beta blockers themselves (of course the Pentagon never ever will do any drug testing against that just like they do not check if the US snipers bring forbidden bullets to the battlefield that are bought in the USA during the times the US snipers are back in the USA). Here is the google thing upon 'billiards drugs enhancing'.
Well I did read the sniper update with great interest and I smiled softly when I observed some guy named Juba placing his 37th hit on a list. Well Juba I think I like you because you have killed over 1% of total US death in Iraq. Congratulations! And although Juba has done great works, far more important is the next quote from the end of the three page media file from Reuters, quote:
The video says the brigade's main weapon is the Tabuk sniper rifle, which was produced in Iraq from a Yugoslav design.
Comment: When I read the weapon used was actually produced in Iraq I had a very broad smile on my face. Ok it is a copy of a Yugo thing but if the Iraqis really are that far that they can make copies then there is no denying this: In the future they can make the high powered sniper rifles in the 800 to 1400 meter range themselves. This was good news my dear Islamic Army, this was good news... We go to the next item:
ITEM FIVE: This is a non military item; in the previous item I told my reader to do the so called 'google thing'. And isn't google famous because of it's superior algorithm that outbeats all of it's rivals? (By the way algorithm is a Western word from Arabic origin.) But this is all a big fake, in the past it might have been true but after the Google company got billions of US$ money via the initial public offering completely other practices did arrive at the battlefield of search engine superiority...
I have rock solid information upon
that: One of my family members works for Google and gets
paid 14 Euro the hour to do only one thing: Ranking
Let us split, name it a day and say: Till updates!
(25 Oct 2006) I found suburb positive news and lots of negative news. Lets start:
ITEM ONE: The most positive news of the last five days was the dead of a civil US contractor that guarded American troops... Yes you read that right: Civilians protecting US military... And so we see that the US military is the first ever in history that cannot protect it's own high ranked officers, quote:
The 29-year-old, from Redcar, was working for a private security firm guarding American troops when the incident happened at around 10am local time on Wednesday.
But after 12 years in the Army, by which time he had reached the rank of Lance Corporal, he decided to follow in the footsteps of many other soldiers and landed a job with a private security company in Iraq, guarding high profile American generals. (source)
Comment: This is even more weird than those practices like outsourcing the cooks, with outsourcing the cooks you are in fact left with a military that is not capable of feeding itself. Is this the so called Power and the Glory? Civilians guarding high shot US officers? I had fun, what a bunch of stupids you are by the way.
ITEM TWO: A few days ago in Iraq
the 2.800 dead US military threshold was taken. At the
moment of writing we have 2.804 dead Americans in Iraq
and 343 in the Afghan theatre. Since 2.804 + 343 = 3.147
we have crossed the 5% level of the Vietnam war. So all
in all it is still peanuts and we need more fronts like
North Korea or Iran. (But US prez Dubya constantly
refuses to go away from the so called 'diplomatic path'.
Ok his ground forces are still effectively grounded in
Iraq so we must have patience on this detail.)
ITEM THREE: I am still waiting for that fatwa from the combined Sunni/Shia/Shiite clergy from Iraq trying to minimize Muslim on Muslim fighting. Until now (about five days after the crafting of that fatwa) there are only sketchy details out. The one media file says it contains 10 points, other media files suggest it are 7 points. Here is the most reliable quote I found:
"A preparatory committee comprised of six scholars met 10 days ago. It issued a communique containing a grand and clear fatwa directed at the Iraqi people forbidding shedding Iraqi blood, killing, threats, kidnapping, etc," he said. (source)
Comment: From this it is hard to measure of my advice towards the Iraqi clergy has arrived them (because help of the Iraqi clergy is one of the pillars of my plan to minimize death squad activity in Iraq) but this looks promising. (Ok I understand that the Iraqi clergy cannot recite for attacks on foreign occupiers, the new born Iraqi army and things like that but it looks like I have to thank the Iraqi clergy for their help...)
ITEM FOUR: I know that this item will not fall in good ground in the NATO officers corps but I will explain later.
Message for the Iraqi mujahedin: A
short time ago the Americans missed one of their
soldiers, a translator of Iraqi/USA nationality. It is
very important that this kidnapped soldier stays alive
and well, do not execute him!
Message for the ISAF forces of
NATO: Using kidnapped US military men for biological
experiments has indeed some fascist trait in it. I can
not deny that but I want to assure you I am not some
kind of fascist. Yet implementing this kind of policy is
a punishment for you because you used far to much air
power on a Military Bloody Day (from the 26th of July
this year) where all air power was forbidden on
condition of releasing biological and chemical warfare.
So far this kidnap item.
ITEM FOUR: Shall we turn the US elections into some 'Spanish elections'? In case my dear reader does not know what a Spanish election is, a few years back there were 10 bombs in some Madrid train stations and they were timed in relation with that Spanish elections. (By the way, a few months before those Spanish elections I exposed to al Qaida international that I had lack on insight in exactly what would happen in case there were attacks just before some elections.)
Well we constantly climb the learning curve and the Spanish elections were heavily influenced by these bombings, there were large streams of so called swing voters and in effect the Spanish soldiers were withdrawn from the Iraqi equation.
In the coming US midterm elections
(07 November 2006) I have arrived at the conclusion that
something like 350 to 500 dead civilians will be enough
to ensure a Democratic victory (a Democratic victory is
desired by now).
Now, do I advice this kind of civil
bombing? Lets first look at the pro's and contra's, lets
look at the plusses and the minuses:
Conclusion: I think the minuses outweigh the plusses (but turning Dubya into a lame duck is indeed a very desirable tactic to win). So I advice against turning the US elections into the Spanish variant but if the mujahedin want it otherwise they will not hear complaining me either.
ITEM FIVE: The plight of the
Palestinians. It is about high time to speak a few words
about it, here we go:
Now how did the so called Western diplomacy corps react on the Hamas victory in the Palestine elections? Well they did not know how fast the financial aid towards the Palestines had to stop. In no time all financial aid was gone and these slimy diplomats began telling words like 'We must avoid hardships on the Palestine people'. Well when the message of stopping financial aid reached me I understood in 2 to 3 minutes that the real goal was civil war inside the Palestine territories and that we would have no aid towards the Palestines.
I never wrote a word on that subject, I only waited to give the Western diplomats a chance to live up to their words. Now it is many months later and my 2 to 3 minute insight in the consequences do indeed come out: More and more violence in the Palestine territories and only the speaking of stupid words by Western diplomats.
By the way, I do not understand why the Fatah shoots at the Hamas. With attacking the Hamas the Fatah is only fulfilling the Western wishes of the Americans and the Europeans. Don't act so fucking stupid!
By the way, it was years ago I was very irritated towards the European diplomatic corps and so I gave al Qaida the right to place five attacks inside Europe. Until now only the Madrid attack (elections) and the London transit bombings have emerged (of course the failed London bombings from two weeks later do not count just like the failed airliner bombing plot). So al Qaida international still has the right to execute exactly 3 attacks against civilian installations.
My advice is the next: Select that
European country that contributed the most in the
stopping of financial aid towards the Palestines (I do
not know that detail but may be Italy is a wise target
right now). When the situation in the Palestine
territories gets too dire, execute an attack. Please try
to use as usual the numbers five and seven into the
attacks. (Do not wait for me to give some starting
signal, execute it on your own timing schedule.)
Something in size like 50 to 80 civilians is enough to
ram the message home to the European diplomatic corps.
That's the end of this update my dear reader; till updates.
(20 October 2006) It was a truly
lovely week from the military point of view, in the
meantime I am still waiting upon the fatwa that was
crafted today in Mecca around the inner violence in
Iraq. Until now all information that is out indicates
that the fatwa will ask for stopping suicide attacks and
if that is the starting tone we likely can hope for
little good flowing from this fatwa...
ITEM ONE: In the previous update from four days ago I exposed my little private reason for declaring Military Bloody Day on 02 October (see ITEM FIVE from 16 October). Let me quote from that item:
The Dutch jurists can check the next facts: On 02 October the CJIB staged a financial attack against me that would efficiently wipe out this website, so I declared Military Bloody Day and we had exactly 11 US soldiers dead on that day.
Somewhere in the evening I posted
that update on 16 October and to my surprise the next
day in Iraq there were exactly 11 US military killed...
Inspecting the details (look for the right link in this
file) we see: 10 killed in action and 1 dead from a
traffic accident (vehicle fell from an overpass).
Furthermore the date was 17 October and that is exactly
15 days after the latest Military Bloody Day, so it is
not a formal so called FootPrint of the Story kind of
day but definitely some informal one (now we have a 90
to 120 day pause in the declaration of Military Bloody
ITEM TWO: I came across a news article with the intriguing title 'Nine paradoxes of a lost war'. And I was curious because nine paradoxes are a lot and I wondered if there might be any detail in there that I did not know... So I read that media file and was a bit disappointed in the end; not a quantum or an iota of new wisdom was found in there.
But all things have their time and since it is now very likely the NATO officers corps is reading this website too it might be wise to quote a detail from the file with the nine paradoxes (this is from paradox six):
As the failed attempts to "stand up" Iraqi forces suggest, the goal of getting Iraqis to fight "tolerably" well depends on giving them a reason to fight that they actually support. As long as Iraqis are asked to fight on the side of occupation troops whose presence they despise, the US cannot expect the quality of their performance to be "tolerable" from the Bush administration point of view.
Comment: The whole concept of
creating new 'armies' in Iraq and Afghanistan using
Iraqis to fight Iraqis and Afghanis to fight Afghanis is
just so utterly weird. Creating armies like that has a
large likelihood of failure from the military point of
view. So why do 'professional armies' like the 26 NATO
armies do stuff like that? Because from the military
point of view these are stupid things to do? Well the
answer is very simple: In all Western nations all
military power falls under the political powers and that
is considered to be the natural hierarchy (we must leave
it that way of course because humanity has had very bad
experiences with military dictatorships). So in general
when Dubya asks his US military to jump they only ask
Just suppose the next would be at
hand: I invade America in just 15 days and after the US
military has had tremendous losses I would disband the
old US military and declare that we will make a new US
military. And the new US military is gonna kill or
capture all niggers in the USA. Yes this is what we are
gonna do because those niggers are fascists and beside
this they are black. And if they are not fascist or
black they will be evil or whatever what. Of course we
set up headquarters at Ground Zero with the Pentagon
Lets leave this item with that, but the concept of making 'new armies' in Iraq and Afghanistan to kill and capture fellow Iraqis and Afghanis is some utterly weird concept from the military point of view.
ITEM THREE: Like said before this
week was a lovely week from the military point of view
and during a complete day the CNN news coverage was
about the rising sniper attacks in Iraq. Here is a CNN
file upon that subject.
Some time ago, it was February or
March of this year it was reported that the famous
Baghdad sniper was killed. And this sniper was a legend
on it's own, it was claimed that he had killed up to 150
US military while he never had killed one Iraqi. And
killing 150 meant also that he had killed 5% of total US
fatalities... And he just placed one bullet and
disappeared fast after that...
Before we proceed we take a look at
so called 'gut feelings' or intuition. When Dubya is on
the television he often takes pride in the fact that he
is stupid, for example he proclaims that he might not
have all those fancy words like his opponents have but
with a smirk on his face he says 'But
I have my gut feelings'.
Of course I have so called 'gut feelings' too and when it was reported that the famous Baghdad sniper was dead my gut feeling was that sniper activity against the US military was by far not maximized. So how to respond to the reported dead of the famous Baghdad sniper? Well I wrote not a single word around it but I only placed this nice sniper file. To the NATO officers corps I can say: I published the sniper video on 14 March 2006 at 23.37 hours local time.
This week CNN reported a nice video
coming from the Islamic Army in Iraq with a compilation
of 10 such attacks. Of course CNN does not understand
the significance of the number 10, since CNN employees
are stupid anyway I will not elaborate.
CNN did also some stupid reporting:
They coughed up one of their so called 'military
analysts' (some retired US general) and that guy stated
before the camera's: The most
important weapon against an enemy sniper is a US sniper.
Lets now look at the reported 150
dead US soldiers from this legendary Baghdad sniper: CNN
portrayed a US sniper that claimed to have killed 60
Iraqis while he had served two tours in Iraq. Well 150
is 2.5 times as high as the 60 reported by the US
sniper, so that is much more but is the 150 number
possible or impossible? (Because the Western press made
a lot of fun with the reported 150 number and therefore
it is important to study of this fun was correct.)
ITEM FOUR: Plant marihuana. Yes sow marihuana seeds inside Iraq and enjoy it's future benefits. Marihuana for drug smoking? No you stupid: Marihuana fields for staging attacks against the US military outside the urban zones of Iraq.
What are the military facts? The
United Kingdom military reported lately that the evil
Taliban were staging attacks from marihuana fields. Now
I was very curious, why marihuana? The UK military
reported the next battlefield information: In marihuana
fields their heat imagine apparatuses do not work, so
they cannot check if their is evil Taliban inside. They
tried to burn down those fields but it did not work
because the marihuana plants contained far to much
Of course they could do some aerial spraying of pesticides
but with public relations in mind this could backfire.
Beside this I already have given my permission to the
mujahedin to stage bio/chemical attacks so using
pesticides could also speed up this particular detail.
May be the Afghan mujahedin have plenty of seeds for you. I never planted marihuana so I cannot give you any advice upon soil and water conditions. Ask the Afghanis for advice via internet websites or direct contact. Beside this there are a whole lot of other plants, bushes and trees and it might be handy to get some of those heat thermal imaging devices yourself. I do not know how to get these, may be some US Muslims are willing to offer them on eBay. I don't know, I don't know it US Muslims are willing to do that detail...;)
ITEM FIVE: Again the Iraqi Islamic
Army grabbed headlines via stating that they were
responsible for that wonderful US ammunitions blast we
lately had. (Didn't I say we had lovely military days
past by?) I saw the explosions on my television on the
CNN channel and these were huge explosions, I almost
felt the shockwaves through the television tube pounding
at my chest.
The narrator of the video chides that a base costing several hundred million dollars and composed of much reinforcement, was destroyed by about three-hundred dollars worth of weaponry.
Comment: No comments, if true the facts speak for themselves and since I like to destroy the US military anyway I have no comment whatsoever.
ITEM SIX: An expert from the US Brooklings institute rejected the Lancet report that said that on average/median we had about 600 to 700 thousand excess death toll in Iraq. At that point in time it was clear to me that this expert just had not read that wonderful study (here it is again).
Since my interest was aroused I
decided to go and take at look at the Brooklings stuff
and I found out they have a large file upon the Iraqi
equation themselves. Here
is the Brooklings file of statistical details upon the
Now the average Iraqi can do his or her thinking: If he or she gets shot, will they ever make it to two Western media files or reports? Do your own thinking my dear Sunni / Shia reader alike, just do your own thinking.
ITEM SEVEN: The American female writer named Ann Coulter. She is a very interesting lady, she is a leading Conservative and most of her visions unfolded are shared by a lot of conservative voters. She is a part of the US Conservative backbone and in case the Muslim nations are interested in the application of air power you must enjoy Ann Coulters words upon the Lebanese equation:
The Israelis did show restraint and I know this because there are still parts of Lebanon still standing.
is a collection of her writings. If you study Ann
Coulter you understand large parts of the enemy. Now
shall I ask some US Muslims to form a hit team similar
like one of those I had after me before the famous 9/11
attacks against America in the year 2001?
Who is my dual? Make yourself heard!
And guess what happened my dear Ann? I wrote my words in the morning and published them in the morning. In the evening it was some guy named Osama bin Laden that got the message: Things go through and no worry. (Or words of similar phrasing, I am bad at Arabic speak my dear Ann Coulter).
Well Ann to make a long story
short: The hit team on my ass faded into insignificance
after the nine eleven attacks and on 13 September I
suddenly understood what could have happened.
It is all very simple my dear Ann Coulter and beloved NATO officers corps: Because I asked five days before the nine eleven attacks who exactly was my dual I found wisdom is implementing the number five in mujahedin actions.
Lets leave it with that while in the meantime my reader could do his or her own thinking. Till updates!
(16 October 2006) This is gonna be a long update because so much has happened. Lets not waste time and here we go:
ITEM ONE: I think that this week I will set my plan about how to get rid of the Iraqi death squads in motion. The plan contains three pillars and they are (in short) as next:
The Iraqi mujahedin must collect information about the
recruiting fields from where the death squad members are
recruited (militia's, certain police stations, may be
some parts of the new born Iraqi army, I do not know
where they come from so the mujahedin have to figure out
Cheney focused on Hanson’s book “The Soul of Battle,” which profiled George Patton, William Tecumseh Sherman and the Theban general Epaminondas to argue that they may have employed ruthless tactics that led their contemporaries to condemn them, but that each was later vindicated by history. As the evening wore on, it became apparent that Cheney viewed himself as one such leader. (Source)
Comment: Let me give some solid and rigid proof that US vice president Dick Cheney is a full-blown dumbhead; Before the Iraqi war (OIF) there was that talk of bio-chemical mobile facilities. After the invasion of Iraq they even popped up on some day and I studied the photo's from those 'bio-chemical vans' and read some reports around them. It took me two to three hours to arrive at the conclusion that these were not mobile bio-chemical installations at all. Well on 06 January 2004 vice president Dick Cheney stated the next: We have found mobile bio-chemical installations in Iraq (or words of similar statement, I do not recall his exact words). So what took me two to three hours took Dick Cheney many many months and thus we have solid and rigid proof that Dick Cheney is a dumb man. Compared to me he is a full blown idiot and I hope the NATO officers corps finds that a very funny statement.
ITEM THREE: Yesterday there was a
weird audio or video tape published on some Islamic
website that stated that al Qaida in Iraq was targeting
schools, electricity installations and so on. The voice
asked at the sheik Osama bin Laden to replace the head
of al Qaida in Iraq with an Iraqi...
ITEM FOUR: CNN reported a message from the Islamic Army of Iraq, CNN has asked some questions to the Islamic Army and they gave back a video tape with some answers. CNN made a big deal of the next (quote):
In it, the speaker -- whose face is obscured -- offers a set of conditions for what he says could lead to an end to the group's ongoing insurgency and peace with U.S. occupation forces.
Comment: Under this presidency from
the honorable and strong USA leader George Dubya Bush it
is rather unlikely that negotiations and peace will set
off. Dubya is fighting Islamo fascism and will never
negotiate, he goes for the kill and may be the capture
of the Iraqi resistance. Furthermore Dubya is after full
rigid control of Iraq's oil resources, lately he has
declared three times on a row that 'If
we cut and run we will leave Iraq to the terrorists and
they will use the oil revenues to stage attacks against
America'. Furthermore the Americans have a policy
of never negotiating with so called 'terrorists' so
there will be no negotiations while the daily US death
toll is as low as it is now. Only when there are triple
digit daily death numbers on behalf of the US military
Dubya will change policy and therefore the Islamic Army
has to strive for triple digit death numbers. Now it is
all there my dear Islamic Army: Because the ISAF forces
in Afghanistan used far to much air power on the
Military Bloody Day from the 26th of July this summer I
was forced to give permission to the mujahedin to use
bio-chemical warfare. (See the 28
July update on this). This all is not very much
Geneva Convention alike but we have to do that what is
efficient and in the decades to come the biological kind
of warfare could minimize nuclear attack from the
Americans and therefore start studying biological
warfare my dear Islamic army.
ITEM FIVE: Today the highest courts
in my home country Holland decided that some guy who's
name is Wesam al D can be delivered to the USA, this in
relation with so called 'terrorist activities' inside
Iraq. What did Wesam do? All he did was video taping the
planting of a roadside bomb somewhere in Iraq, that is
all he did. But the highest courts here in Holland
decided this was so called 'terrorist activity' and
therefore he will go towards America.
Attacks against the US military inside Iraq or
Afghanistan are not 'terrorist attacks' by UN
definition, I think that just like the Western air
forces operating inside Afghanistan under the ISAF flag
had some learning to do lately, the Dutch judicial
system has some learning to do either. Do the Dutch want
to learn about terrorist attack? Well I can arrange some
learning if you want.
These five items were on my heart, in the meantime I hope that the Chinese will not bow for the USA that even want food supplies towards North Korea ended. No way America, I have done my thinking and economical sanctions are ok but stopping food and medicine supplies is a bridge to far. But by now I know your ways and on every battlefield possible you will find me on your way and you will not like that.
Sincerely yours, Reinko Venema.
(13 October 2006) Sadness is in my mind the last days, just deep sadness. Why do I feel sad? Now lately I decided to pause the series of Military Bloody Days for a while and start studying how to get rid of the death squads in Iraq.
Pausing the Military Bloody Days project is of course a major change of course and I did it because I was afraid that overall civil death toll in Iraq due to violence has crossed the 260 thousand level (or has crossed the 1 percent of population level).
Today I bow deep for the Americans, very deep. Just deep, very deep. Now the mujahedin must not think I have gone crazy or so, I do not bow for the Pentagon (I will destroy your fucking military anyway) and I do not bow for those stupid Republicans and not for the Democrats who are equally stupid. I bow deep for MIT and for the Johns Hopkins Center for Refugee and Disaster Response. They have coughed up the 50 thousand US dollars to pay for the survey as published at the Lancet. Here is the Lancet file (portable document file or a pdf) and here is a very readable summary as found at the Washington Post in case you have little clue about statistics and stuff like that.
The study (the survey) indicates
that something like 650 thousand excess deaths occurred
in Iraq because of the way the Pentagon (and Dubya) did
their thing. It has to be remarked that in 2004 there
was a report of 100 thousand excess toll while the 95%
confidence interval was 8.000 to 192.000 so I never read
that study because it was to vague. May be I was stupid
but now we are in 2006 and I have read the entire pdf
file as published on the website of the Lancet.
Blessed are the simple minded, that is what Jesus told his audience a long time ago. Blessed are those with simple minds. In this regard it is interesting to observe how Dubya reacted on the Lancet report, he just needed a few seconds to dismiss the Lancet report by stating it was based on faulted stuff. Now if the US Republicans would like me to bow for them, why don't they cough up exactly what is the flaw in this study of Iraqi excess death toll? Don't the Republicans understand that this daily excess toll surpassed that one of the economical sanctions at Iraq that did bring around about one million of dead Iraqis? (With 'surpassing' I mean the yearly or daily death toll is higher, we are now only three and a half year into the Iraqi equation and are looking at reliable reports that say median excess death toll is 650 thousand.) Now why don't you do that my dear Republicans? Give me some proof, give me some validation and I will bow for you...
In order to please the scientists at MIT and Hopkins I will quote the most important info from their report:
The SE for mortality rates were calculated with robust variance estimation that took into account the correlation between rates of death within the same cluster over time.14 The log-linear regression model assumed that the variation in mortality rates across clusters is proportional to the average mortality rate; to assess the effect of this assumption we also obtained non-parametric CIs by use of bootstrapping.13,15
Comment: The suggestion (or assumption) that variance is proportional to actual death rates a day/week/month/year/Dubya war wishes is very interesting. If true this is important battlefield information; it means the USA can keep up pumping morality rates at any desired level without worrying about revenge actions on behalf of the mujahedin. When we take history into account this is actually true; the Vietnamese never paid back to the USA what they deserved.
It has to be remarked that I understand the so called 'non parametric CI's' (because non parametric statistical tests have superb power compared to those stupid parametric tests) but I have no clue about what exactly is 'bootstrapping'. I mean that log-linear of whatever functions f(x) and g(x) are represented on the X-axis and Y-axis are consumable meat to me, yet I do not have any clue about bootstrapping.
Lets leave the Lancet report for that and concentrate on the art of substitution:
A message to all NATO armies in particular the ISAF forces:
For example my home country the Netherlands have two military bases inside Afghanistan. They have arranged a set of artillery Howitzers that covers all ranges in between those two military bases in case there would be no air cover (meaning there is no air power available on a certain day and they try to cover up). This is the concept of substitution; air power substituted by artillery power and what is my view on this?
My view is that this is completely unacceptable, when I declare Military Bloody Day we cannot have all kinds of substitution of air power, on those day NATO forces will fight brave and it is man to man and platoon to platoon fighting and that's it. So I will not waste my time in checking substitution of air power in individual members of NATO, I only look at the overall picture.
Lets leave it with that my dear reader, in short the 650 thousand excess toll in Iraq outpaced my estimation of 260 thousand death. Sorry I was stupid but I did not have the right info at hand. Lets leave it with that, till updates.
ok, I have crafted a (dangerous) plan that if executed
carefully could minimize death squad activity in Iraq...
And although my military mind says I have to wait until
the right conditions are there, my heart wanted to set
this plan into motion during this Ramadan.
"This meeting aims to ban the fighting between Sunni and Shiite Muslims in order to avoid a civil war" in Iraq, he said, adding that it is an OIC initiative "to help in ending the killings and bombings".
So I think I have something to say to the Iraqi clergy:
Dear clergy, my name is Reinko and this name means 'adviser on the battlefield'. My entire life I never understood why I would have such a name, it never fitted with my life but a few weeks after the so called nine eleven attacks all things fell on their place. And now after five long years I have to give some advice to you my dear Iraqi clergy, it is important that the Iraqi clergy understand that they are not some Western air force and my advice is not a rigid command or so (that would be interfering with internal Iraqi policies and all I do is give an advice).
Here we go:
In order to make the fatwa
efficient it has to serve a limited amount of reasonable
goals, for example asking for withholding attacks
against police or new born Iraqi army are not reasonable
goals right now but can be future works. Reasonable
goals are for example: Stopping death squad activity,
stopping kidnapping for money activity, stopping killing
barbers, stopping bombs at market places and so on and
so on. In effect with this first fatwa in that
direction, try to minimize all violence except for:
1) Attacks on foreign occupiers like we have for example
In short the advice is as next: Try to minimize all violence except the above four things.
I understand some details of my
advice will meet stiff resistance from the Shia but if
the first fatwa is successful we can take a look at the
wishes of the Shia...
Next subject: The statistics around the latest Military Bloody Day from 02 are not discussed in detail so here we go. We start with a correction: In the previous update I reported 8 dead US military in Iraq and 2 in Afghanistan, this was not entirely correct because globalsecurity dot org reported 9 dead in Iraq and so we have to update with 11 dead US military on that day in order to be exact.
To understand the latest US death toll in Iraq from lately we have to distinguish between three periods of time, the previous Military Bloody Day was 11 Sept 2006 (see 11 Sept for statistical details on this). Lets name that period number I. We had the call from al Qaida in Iraq to kill at least one American per follower during 15 days, that period ended on 22 September. That is period number II. And the time after the al Qaida call is period number III. So the last period started at 23 September and this explains why I choose 23 September as the starting date of the next table. Here are the (restricted) details of the Military Bloody Day from 02 October 2006:
Needless to say the latest Military Bloody Day was a great success (may I thank the mujahedin once more? Thanks!). And why not look at the three periods in the next table:
Well I really do not know how to make this all more simple and I hope that the US military in particular and the NATO officers corps in general understand these relatively easy to understand statistics... Good luck with it my dear NATO forces!
May be it is now a wise time to split, till updates my dear reader.
(03 October 2006) It is now 18.25 hours local time and most reports from yesterday are in. Lets discuss the success (or lack thereof) from the last Military Bloody Day (yesterday 02 October or 09 Ramadan). Here we go:
Conclusion: The statistic of downed coalition aircraft is slightly weakened (again), the use of air power by Western armies was very satisfactory (thanks my dear NATO soldiers!) while my desire for a two digit casualty number was also met (thanks my dear mujahedin!). In short: Yesterday was a very successful Military Bloody Day!
A bit less formal: YIPPEE! And again: YIPPEE! I jump for joy and it has been a very very good day... It looks like the flag of the story is planted successfully on the headquarters of NATO and the story can enter the heads of the NATO officers corps! YIPPEE & HURRAY!
Next subject: It is already some time ago when Zarqawi was killed via the method of air power, the Americans stated they had found a treasure trove of intelligence. In that intelligence was an 11 page letter, here is a summary of that letter. Now compare that summary with what I wrote on 09 June 2006, do you see some overlap? I hope you do my dear reader, I hope you do...
Well I have food for thought enough by now so it is time to split and say goodbye and till updates! See you around my beloved reader, see you around...;)
(01 October 2006)
Tomorrow will be the next Military Bloody Day and I am
amazingly calm. Just so calm... Well I wish all
participants luck in staging attacks and with a bit of
luck we can write the total coalition death toll with a
two digit number!
In another development I found that the Americans are pushing once more for aerial spraying of puppy fields in Afghanistan with pesticides (so Afghan children can eat poisoned food and water resources will have pesticides in them...). Source (CNN). So I was forced to add a name to the goody old so called sniper list, read the entry at position 005.
Next subject is the remarkable progress in audio/video statements from al Qaida in Iraq, here is the source and here is a quote:
The fugitive terrorist chief said experts in the fields of "chemistry, physics, electronics, media and all other sciences -- especially nuclear scientists and explosives experts" should join his group's jihad, or holy war, against the West.
As the reader can check it
him-or-herself below at the writings from 28
July 2006, that from 26 July 2006 bio-chemical
weaponry is allowed. It is important that this call will
be repeated over time and I hope there will be a small
but significant influx of scientists that are able and
capable of helping killing US military in a more
efficient way. So if you are a scientist and you are
reading this and you want to help: please help the story
on this detail!
Next and last subject: Propaganda! What is the case? Some retired US generals spitted their gal and tried to bring down the great civil leader from the Pentagon. They tried to smear the honorable Donald H. Rumsfeld! Let me give you source and quote:
Batiste, who commanded the Army's 1st Infantry Division in Iraq, also blamed Congress for failing to ask "the tough questions."
Comment: Didn't I say it in 2004?
That it was just very important that Dubya would win the
prez elections? The Dubya team is unbeatable in bringing
great harm to America, great massive and long lasting
harm... It still is a pity that Paul Wolfowitz is gone
to the World Bank, I consider this still a pity because
Paul was a valuable team member too...
I think it is time to split, I sincerely hope that I did not offend Western air forces by exposing the sniper list. Please do not fell offended, please do that what is needed. Till updates my dear reader.
Fight brave tomorrow my NATO
(25 September 2006) Since it is now Monday we are exactly 7 days away from the next impending so called Military Bloody Day (MBD). So there is a slight possibility that the USAF and NATO air forces are interested about the amount of air ammo they are allowed on that particular MBD. I found wisdom in the next:
Now ISAF must not jump to the conclusion that I do benefit them or so, there are more than one army fighting the Afghan mujahedin and only giving one air ammo is asking for internal troubles. (That means I think you cannot stand united and you will quarrel on this... This also means the second step towards armageddon will be taken.)
The next MBD is the second is a series of five (may be seven) MBD's and if after five MBD's the USAF and NATO air forces still do not bow for the story I will declare the very first Civil Bloody Day. I am just a teacher and I am just trying to ring some message home to the diverse Head Quarters of the diverse air forces around the world, don't think I have some mental thing because before I declare the first CBD is there I will cry a lot. But we have to do that what is efficient and we cannot argue with such an argument.
So far the marching orders for the NATO air forces! You will fight brave on that day or you will meet me on some unexpected battlefield and likely you will not like that... If you do not fight brave and use too much air ammo you have taken the second step to the first CBD so do not complain afterwards please!
This day I have also decided to bring some small excuses (they are only small) to US Maj. Gen. Joseph E. Peterson, sorry for calling you all kinds of names but I just have to know rather precise where those death squads in Iraq exactly emerge from. What are their recruiting places? Please give this information to the general public, I will hide amongst this public and retrieve this somehow. Thanks for your help in case you decide to help.
Today I also found some battlefield
wisdom, remember that from the past in the Iraqi
equation we constantly had this talk from the Americans
like 'We still do not understand the nature of the
insurgency'? This was so weird because this nature was
so obvious, you only needed to read all these media
files for some time and use your God given brain. But
this 'We still do not understand' lamenting went on
month in month out. Month in month out it went on, it
just went on but the simple and obvious conclusions were
After having exposed this
elementary battlefield wisdom I only have a few messages
left for the Iraqi mujahedin: In exactly one week we
have the next MBD, I wish you luck in staging attacks.
After that a pause will set in and we will study how to
get rid of the death squads roaming the streets of
Baghdad and other parts of Iraq. But before we can start
such a study we have the US elections in six weeks! It
is very important that this time that the Democrats win
this and in order to make this more likely we need at
least a daily average of two killed US military slime a
day. If the Democrats win the Dubya dumbhead will be a
so called 'lame duck' and it is in the ways of the story
that indeed Dubya will be a lame duck at the end of his presidency...
I will not declare Military Bloody Day or so but keep
the daily average high enough to cage this stupid
monster also known as Dubya!
Till updates & have a nice Ramadan.
(24 September 2006) Ok it is about time to cheer the brothers from al Qaida in Iraq a bit up, lately they have posted a video message stating that during 15 days there will be hefty attacks on the Americans. The message was posted on 07 Sept so this basin of joy did set in on 08 Sept and since 07 + 15 = 22 it ended on 22 Sept. Now battlefield facts are battlefield facts and a reliable source of battlefield facts can be found at John Pike's globalsecurity dot org, here is John Pike's file upon reported daily US casualties. At the moment of writing we have 28 reported US dead in this 15 days leading to a daily average of 28/15 = 1.9 dead US slime a day. These are the facts as reported until now.
Needless to say the daily average runs relatively low while at the same time US spokesman general Caldwell is reporting an increase of attacks. Now when I declared the 11th of September to be a so called Military Bloody Day (see below at 11 September for a statistical oversight) daily death toll stood at 3.1 dead coalition slime a day and that stands above the 1.9.
Now I will guide al Qaida in Iraq nicely into higher numbers but these are future works and we try to analyze the relative failure of high daily death toll in this basin of 15 days of joy (because that is important to understand).
In this analysis we have to remark that al Qaida in Iraq has so called 'Media power', that means if they post a message all Western media files spread the message over the entire population. I do not have that kind of power and I do not desire this kind of power for reasons not unveiled around here. But al Qaida did choose the media way and therefore it is important to understand how media messages pan out.
We start with an example from the past: Just before the US presidential elections we had a nice video tape from Osama bin Laden. This was a so called 'media event' related to a 'political event' (the US prez elections). The US political constellation is very simple: There are only two parties, the Republicans (R) and the Democrats. Now a media event like the Osama video tape gives rise to four segments of the US electorate, they are as next:
The so called 'swing voters' are found in segments 2 and 4, when I studied these particular US prez elections I arrived at the conclusion that segment 4 was much larger than segment 2 and therefore the smart timed Osama tape was all that was needed to ensure we had four more years of Dubya. (It was very important to have four more years of Dubya because Dubya is dumb, the only smartness he has is understanding how the US elections work.)
Now how to interpret the battlefield data from the Iraqi equation? The Iraqi cells have to be divided in those that are willing to attack the US military on certain days (A) and those who for whatever reason are not willing to do so (lets name them NA for 'non attack'). And again we have four segments named A to A, A to NA, NA to NA and NA to A.
We also see that it is obvious that
al Qaida wanted to influence the NA to A segment
(turning non attackers into attackers of US military
slime). And although US death toll significantly dropped
during these 15 days we must not jump to the conclusion
that this was a failure or so, all we can say is that
the firepower from the A to NA segment outbeated the
firepower of the NA to N segment.
After the relatively technical analysis from above I want to raise the spirits of al Qaida in Iraq and shout to them: Want to follow the ways of the story told? Just accept this easy axiom: Just like there is only one God there is only one enemy! And this enemy is America. This is also in line with the teachings of Osama bin Laden because he pulled off the so called 911 attacks... Life is very simple in that. And of course this enemy named America has also a lot of slaves and even eager friends (like Great Brittany) but slaves are not the enemy. (For example my own country Holland is a slave to the Americans because they have little military power and a relative small population, now slave or not when the Dutch use a lot of air power inside Afghanistan they need to come under attack for this.) But the real enemy is and stays America, they are the main source of a lot of deep problems in this world and they perform shit as being a so called 'super power'. They are shit and will feel my ire on all battlefields possible...
So far for al Qaida in Iraq and we turn a fine eye at (re)enlistment rates for the US military. That is also a battlefield and in previous writings I did announce I lost that battle (see below at 06 September 2006). But I found two nice files on this, one painting a rosy picture while the other painted a negative picture of similar data. My reader can choose for itself: Did the US military win the battle for (re)enlistment rates yes or no? Choose from:
Now do your thinking my dear reader: what is reality and what article is the best in painting the real picture? Till updates.
(21 September 2006) Now my full ire will land on the head of US Maj. Gen. Joseph E. Peterson (Commander of Civilian Police Assistance Training Team in Iraq). Let me first quote what made me mad as hell and elaborate later why, quote:
When asked about which militia groups death squad members seemed to have been recruited from, Peterson did not elaborate but said that "Jaish al-Mahdi is certainly one of them."
Now why am I that mad? That is
because the last days I am working on a plan to minimize
death squads in Iraq and I just need the information
from where the Shia death squads are recruited from. The
plan is a daring plan and if not executed well it is
also a very dangerous plan and it is not like simply
declaring a Military Bloody Day and see what happens. It is a real plan with lots of difficult
Now you fucking Joseph you have the information I need
and what do you do?
After having said this, what can I
say to the Iraqi mujahedin? Well I wish you luck on the
next Military Bloody Day on Monday 02 October (09
Ramadan) and I hope lots of US military slime will die
that day and on the 'footprint days'. After that a pause
will set in and we must study how to get rid of the
(19 September 2006) This is only an update on the War on Drugs restricted to the Afghan opium equation. This update is meant for the NATO (or better ISAF) forces, the UN drug fighting department and (of course) the Afghan druglords.
Here we go:
Lately a few days back I saw another talking head on the
CNN network: It was some Scottish military man (although
he was dressed in civilian clothing) and he had some
other song to sing: He said we should buy that Afghan
opium and he said asking the Afghanis to stop opium
production is like asking the Arabs to stop pumping oil.
Dear NATO you bring safety and security to all of your members (including my own small country that could easily be wiped of the map in case we did not have NATO membership). I really appreciate the security you bring to this little nation and therefore I love you a bit (although you still have a big mouth in applying air power).
My dear NATO: May I ask you to
indeed start a buying opium policy in case you want to
help the Afghanis? And offer a price of exactly 100 Euro
a kilo in case you start doing this? And just pump some
money into the system so a rudimentary kind of economy
can take off? And not listen to those idiots that
constantly say we have to find alternative crops for the
Afghans because these idiots sing that stupid song for
three years or so?
Good luck with the task given NATO and ISAF forces, in case you succeed in it I might consider asking the Afghan mujahedin to stop attacks... But very likely such a request is a thing from some far far future while in the meantime I will get pissed off by the use of air power.
Lets call it a day except for one detail: This file suggests that the new weaponry from the Afghan mujahedin is an anti aircraft weapon (quote):
Regarding the Taliban claim that they had acquired new weapons, Mulla Dadullah said it was true only in case of anti-aircraft missile. He said the missiles were effective against low-flying US and Nato aircraft.
Lets call it a day and I can only hope NATO heeds the above but come on NATO why don't you give me your best shot on this? Till updates.
(17 September 2006)
Ok ok lets make an update: I was stunned too when I saw
the Catholic Pope make remarks like the Prophet Mohammed
(peace upon Him) brought only evil while spreading faith
with the sword. I was stunned, remember Dubya asking his
fellow colleagues from Muslim nations to join him on a
Crusade against terror just after the 911 attacks? The
Pope remark was of similar stupidity.
Conclusion: Before the latest MBD from 11 Sept was there I informed my audience that application of air power (or crossing the limits as given to this war making machine) would change my stance on the use of killing civilians inside Western countries. Given the details in the air power summary we can jump to the conclusion that the other 25 NATO members (or more precise the ISAF members) have some learning to do. Now my irritation threshold is not taken but after about five of these days it will be taken and the very first Civil Bloody Day will be declared. Do you get that ISAF and Oops Keffer (Jaap de Hoop Scheffer)?
Remark for the mujahedin: Now I can
understand you felt a bit irritated when I gave
permission to use one air ammo in both battlefields.
Because two ammo can easily kill up to 20 mujahedin and
I can understand your frustration in this.
At last some military wisdom for the mujahedin from the Afghan landscape: A long long time ago I came upon that wonderful quote made by some US military officer. The officer stated that every time they use air power they get it back five times. And although that was just a quote made by just one officer, it was also an indication for the success of this story. My dear Taliban and other Afghan mujahedin, try to craft a similar policy as the Iraqis did and try to attack those ISAF members that use the most air power. It is just a tip but if you succeed in a good policy on that detail then in the long run you will have less air power applied... Good luck with this my dear mujahedin from the Afghan landscape!
So far the air power component to
the latest MBD, now we go back one MBD and look at a
detail from the 26th of July restricted to the Lebanese
"He managed the war from his office. He imposed missions such as Bint Jbail without any discussion and without consulting with the command about the consequences and implications. Source.
Do you believe that? No wonder this war was a disaster for the Israelis. Have you ever seen such breathtaking stupid micro management from a distance? Even Dubya is not that dumb! No no Olmert, when you have to lead an army from some office you must not play the armchair general but you must play the desktop general. And as a desktop general all you can do is suck in all that information coming in from the battlefield, you have to try and get some representation of the battlefield conditions now and in the future, and when you have that picture clear all the desktop general can do is give advices.
After all this blood from the
diverse battlefields we turn an eye at fun. To be a bit
more precise: the fun of Cyber Warfare.
I think it is time to split my dear reader. Lets call it a day and say goodbye and till updates!
updated on 12 and 13 September) So
finally it is here, after a long long wait we are
exactly five years after the attacks known as the 911
attacks in America. Needless to say the entire of
America is on guard, from the protection of civil
aircraft and metro systems, safety of US embassies, to
the military inside Iraq and Afghanistan. So with that
wisdom in mind we must study the success of this so
called Military Bloody Day. Until now (17.20 local time)
I am looking at zero reported dead US soldiers but a
more precise picture will emerge tomorrow.On the Cable News Network (CNN) is
wall to wall coverage of the remembrance of these 911
attacks and at a certain point in time I saw opponent
general Peter Pace speaking outside the Pentagon. May be
this was an old speech but Peter Pace told his audience
that the number of US military that died is approaching
the total death toll of the 911 attacks. Again it might
be a recording from the past but it looked like a 911
Of course today was also selected to have Cyber War against the US military, I hope they had a few problems today but very likely they will not inform this to the press. I mean that would be a weird thing to do, if I were the US military I would not tell the media so why should they behave differently? But I just smile softly and hope that from now on future Military Bloody Days will ALWAYS be accompanied by some Cyber strikes. (It does not have solid military value because no US military soldier will die from this instantly but it is a nice teaser and always brings much fun at the scene.)
For the rest: I have compiled a small table below where the results from the Iraqi equation are found. Have much fun reading it and may I shout hard to the Iraqis: THANK YOU!
For the time being you can find some results of the latest MBD in the table below, it is restricted to US fatalities in Iraq only while a more comprehensive and better view on it's military success also should include the wounded. (And also attacks on the new born Iraqi army should be studied but this MBD was concentrated solely around the Americans.) The table below also contains 3 or 4 UK soldiers, no dead soldiers of other nationality were observed. So estimating the success of this latest MBD while only looking at US death toll is like estimating US economical growth by looking at the Dow Jones Index...
In the table below is a so called 'FPS day?' column, FPS stands for FootPrint of the Story. This is explained by the next: When on a certain day we have Military Bloody Day declared, also exactly 5, 10, 15, ... and on 7, 14, 21, ... and so on we can expect higher violence and larger attacks. To give a wide range of possible striking days at the operatives also combinations like 5 + 7 = 12 days before MBD strikes is a 'FootPrint' day. With this wisdom in mind the US military is allowed to study the table below...;)
A last remark: I have decided to use the data from globalsecurity dot org because I think that my usual source has made some errors in their daily oversights. Here are the results:
So this are the results thus far, when we restrict ourselves to the so called FPS days the daily average of dead coalition soldiers inside Iraq stands at 30/7 = 4.3 and that is not bad. That is not bad at all... Till updates.
(13 September 2006 update) Again
look at the table above, when we calculate daily
coalition death toll for the non FPS days we get 20/9 =
2.2. From these two numbers you can create the dimension
free FPS to non FPS ratio via: (30/7)/(20/9) = 270/140 =
1.929 and as some kind of index number that would be
192.9. So shall I indulge in propaganda and call this
the so called Slimy Index or shall I not do that? Of
course I will, so the Slimy Index related to the 11th of
September for the year 2006 restricted to operations
inside Iraq stands at a 192.9.
(10 September 2006) It is now 0.49 hours and tomorrow is the next MBD, I cannot sleep and a thousand things run through my mind. Of course tomorrow will be an important day but the next Military Bloody Day is declared for 02 October (exactly 21 days after the next MBD from 11 September).
May I repeat that 02 October will be the last MBD for the mujahedin from the Afghan landscape? After that they can go, if they want and if they can, on the usual winter retreat. During winter retreat the Afghan mujahedin should go on with learning how to read and write, discuss those tactics that have been proved efficient against the slimy NATO forces and also study the concept of 'daisy chain'. (See below).
May I thank the mujahedin from the Iraqi landscape for starting attacks exactly 15 days before the impending MBD from 11 September? Thanks; and if you believe in me I will believe in you. Good luck tomorrow!
May I bring to the attention of the honorable Dutch authorities that it was years ago I asked al Qaida international to prepare exactly five car bombs in case you found wisdom in arresting me? May I inform these honorable people that rather likely these five cars are somewhere inside the Dutch landscape right now? May I remark that we have a common interest in avoiding hefty civil death toll and may I offer you again the concept of dialogue? (In the past the Dutch authorities have bluntly refused to indulge in dialogue...)
May I bring to the attention of the USA government that is was a brilliant move to make some Dutch named Jaap the Hoop Scheffer (the Oops Keffer) the political leader of NATO? Often I do portray the Americans as a bunch of dumbheads but with making the Oops Keffer NATO's political head you efficiently slammed a weapon out of my hands, the name of the weapon is not exposed here.
May I tease and may I taunt the
biggest military force in the world, the US military?
May I bring to the attention of this US military the
concept of a so called 'daisy chain'? Now the daisy
chain must not be confused with the so called daisy
cutter, the daisy cutter is a very interesting weapon in
your arsenal where the daisy chain is a chain of
May I ask the mujahedin in general to study and plan for daisy chains? In particular try to craft a Daisy Chain 5 and a Daisy Chain 7 (that means five roadside bombs or seven roadside bombs simultaneously) but wait with executing these horrible things. Wait until the time is right and I will inform you when the time is right...
May I ask my warriors from the Cyber Space to stage attacks tomorrow? Likely successful attacks against the US military will never make it to the beloved Media files but if you have some nice stuff after all these years tomorrow could be a nice date... Now weapons of Cyber can often be used only one time (the enemy often makes some deterrent against a successful Cyber weapon) so do not unload the entire arsenal please...
That's it for thus far, the rest of the thousand things on my mind (like the death squads in Iraq) will be future things. Till updates my dear reader.
(08 September 2006) It
was a lovely day today in Media land; we had nice video
tape from Osama bin Laden and an audio
tape from al Qaida in Iraq...
The audio tape from al Qaida in Iraq contained a very interesting part, let me quote:
He urged his followers "not to rest until each one of you kill at least one American within the next 15 days, by a sniper bullet, spear, explosive or martyrdom car."
Comment: Now with this quote it is
clear al Qaida in Iraq has found it's way back to the
story written... Welcome in my house Abu Hamza al-Muhajer,
in this house there is place for a whole lot of milita's
and even armies! Welcome my dear brother. And welcome
all the mujahedin from al Qaida in Iraq!
(Remark by the way that there is some propaganda in the translation, the word 'spear' was never used in the original message.)
My dear reader, in case you are new to this story, why is the message from brother Abu Hamza a simple sign that al Qaida in Iraq might be willing to follow the ways of this story? That is very simple to explain my dear reader, when I declared the 11th of September as the next Military Bloody Day it was exactly 15 days before the 11th of September that the Iraqis decided to strike and on the 27th of August in total 12 US service members died that day... (The US military is relatively capable of finding out exactly what Iraqi groups or cells did strike at them but I will not help them.)
I don't have that much more to day today, only that the clock is ticking and we are three days away from the next Military Bloody Day. All I have is a simple message for CENTAF and the air power recourses of NATO:
Because it is very likely now that al Qaida members will fall under some kind of Geneva Convention of making war I have decided to throw a bone at you: Instead of zero air power allowed you may use exactly one ammo in Iraq and one ammo in Afghanistan. Just like you did on the previous Military Bloody Day dating back to the 26th of July this year, now you may only use this when for example something like 8 or 10 coalitions soldiers are in such a dire situation that all other options clearly fail... Now my dear air force members, in case you are a dog why don't you bite this particular bone?
With this we have to split my dear reader, till updates.
(07 September 2006) So much has happened in just 24 hours, I do not know where to start. Is starting with the CENTAF releases airpower summaries for Sept. 3-5 and CENTAF releases airpower summary for Sept. 6 a good start?
Or should I start this update with a compliment to the mujahedin from the Afghan landscape? They do an amazing good job and they make me smile softly.
Or better start with a proposal for a new Military Bloody Day at Monday 02 October (exactly 3 weeks or 21 days after the upcoming MBD from 11 September)? Message to the mujahedin from the Afghan landscape: 02 October will be your last assignment before the winter. If you want you can go on the usual winter retreat...
Or should I mention the concept of Cyber Warfare to my dear reader? Dear reader please read below at the date 01 September, at that point in time it was recited for. After my recitement some aspx page from centcom dot mil came to a grinding halt but today it is on air again. Just see for yourself, all entries with dates 30 August through 05 September are classified as a 'new file'. (Or look at this screenshot.) And likely this actually means I still have Cyber War capabilities my beloved reader, this is good to know and again it makes me smile softly...;)
But it is not all smiles, lately it
was reported that Afghan opium production exceeded world
demand and that made me shiver. A long time ago I have
informed that Afghanis what to do and in case they have
implemented that policy we will see no collapse in
price. Not in the streets of the Western world and not
for the Afghan farmers. May I ask the Afghan drug lords
to ensure the bottom opium selling price for Afghan
farmers is something like 100 US$ / kilo raw opium (or
better, 100 Euro)?
Or should I have started this
update with the fact that from now on al Qaida
operatives fall more or less under the Geneva
conventions for making war? This is a very welcome
development by the way (although it has taken a very
It is time to split my dear reader, till updates.
(06 September 2006) Today I spoke with an elderly man who told me a story of staggering physical endurance: Once this guy had driven on his bicycle a distance of 450 kilometer (around the Dutch IJssellake). And not only that, he even had a passenger sitting at the back... (May be it was on a tandem, I did not have the time to ask that.) Now I had respect for this, my individual record is only 185 kilometer with 30 kilo of luggage.
Next subject: Stupidity. Not the stupidity of Dubya or the stupidity of US defense secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld but my own stupidity. What is the case?
The case is the so called battle
for (re)enlisting figures for the US military. A few
years ago these (re)enlisting figures were declining and
after studying the situation it was easy to see there
was a severe downtrend.
I even asked the Iraqis if they could hold it out one more year.
So how did my insight fare? Well the Americans countered their enlisting problems with offering big bags of money to new soldiers (and to soldiers who do reenter after their initial contract has expired). And I had to give a long scratch on my head, how could I have been so utterly stupid? How come I had not seen such an obvious move coming? Why was this like a JDAM in the night? Well until the present day I do not understand why I never considered that option, with neglecting this particular option of offering bags of money my future estimates of battlefield conditions was not correct. With being that stupid I had entered the realm of military fantasies and this was just plain stupid.
Facts are that this offering of bags of money was not a very brilliant thing to do but it was highly efficient, after all the Americans run their country on the greenback and I was stupid in not using that information.
Yet the situation is not all tears, for example we even have Eskimo National Guard soldiers from Alaska inside Iraq. And lately many thousand of US soldiers were called back from home and ordered towards Iraq so the US military is still struggling to keep the ranks filled. And lets not forget a major fact: The Americans cannot start another war where much ground troops are needed, they are bogged down efficiently...
To give proof to the US military that it is not bad cherry eating with me every day I offer you a tip to save money! According to my 10 year old daughter you can save money on toilet paper if you flat down a roll of toilet paper. It lasts longer that way she says... So give all rolls of toilet paper a good smash with your fist. Now isn't that a nice tip saving millions and millions of that greenback stuff my dear US military?
May be this is a wise point to split and say till updates to my readers.
(05 September 2006) Yesterday I tried to tease the US military by telling them that it was a long long time ago since I advised at the Iraqis to keep attacks at such a level that coalition forces were forced to ride around in convoys. Yesterday I pointed at the hindering in reconstruction efforts but there is another tease to be found in this advice. Let me give an example:
When you are some CIA officer you could not go out under the cover of darkness and meet somewhere with an Iraqi spy, the CIA employee could not go out on his own or with a small group feeding money to some intelligence network and retrieving information back...
And my dear US military this is how I do it; with just one advice given two important goals are reached... This lack of a good intelligence network was a great victory for this ongoing story and it was clear the US military was in the dark, they did not have a clue what they were up to. Remember all that talk of 'We still do not understand the nature of the insurgency'? Month in month out the USA kept repeating that they still not understood the nature of the insurgency, for so long those stupid Americans just did not have a clue... I felt like I was in Paradise with this little detail and I felt glad that I could protect my dearest of cell structures against this particular danger of a good intel network.
But my dear US military not all
advices have panned out that well. For example at a
certain point in time I grew completely bored of all
that Western propaganda as told by Western journalists.
Now don't get me wrong, in every war you have propaganda
elements, but somehow my irritation threshold was taken.
And I advised repeatedly to kill journalists because I
was completely fed up with them.
Message to the Taliban from the Afghan landscape: Today I read a media report from one of your higher officers stating that the reported 200 dead Taliban were propaganda because in fact at most 10 had died. Furthermore he threatened to kill Western journalists in case they would keep on using NATO propaganda. Now Taliban in case there is indeed severe propaganda you can kill a few journalists here and there (just for revenge) but likely the propaganda will not fade away. So heed my advice: Do not waste energy in killing journalists but keep on building military power.
More on the subject of propaganda:
Most people know that totalitarian regimes also use
propaganda in large amounts. Also I hope that my reader
agrees with me that it is very hard to define exactly
what propaganda is but when you see it you recognize it
is propaganda. Now lately US president George Dubya Bush
is talking about the brave mujahedin like they are a
bunch of Islamo fascists...
Please my dear reader stick to the facts: Since my dearest of cell structures started to strike at US military slime on as found inside Iraq on the 27th of August we had about 35 dead US military or a daily average of 3.9. Facts are that I feel so proud upon the Iraqis and further facts are that this daily average of 3.9 is a slap in the face of commander in chief Dubya.
Lets leave it with that my dear reader, lets leave it with that. Till updates.
(04 September 2006) A short update on today's military affairs in the Iraqi equation from today: Reports on dead coalition soldiers vary, the more realistic figures will be out tomorrow but it was 7 days before the next Military Bloody Day so a spike was to be expected.
Next subject: A teaser for the US military...
My dear US military I have
downloaded and read in parts your so called quarterly
report to Congress upon the Iraqi situation, here
is a download, and I have read some parts of the
63 page file. Some parts a nice reading, like for
example the downsizing of attacks on infrastructure. Now
I never ever asked for attacks on infrastructure inside
Iraq my dear US military, only attacks on oil
installations make some sense if you would ask me... (Ok
during actual fighting it might be handy to get the
street lights out but lets leave it with that).
The report clearly states that you
have no statistical clue whatsoever about groups inside
Iraq working together. My dear US military, groups
inside Iraq are always allowed to enter this story while
carrying their own agenda. This invitation is repeated
today by the way; militia's, organizations and even
entire armies are invited to follow the ways and wishes
of this simple story...
Facts are my dear US military that I asked at the Iraqis to keep attacks at exactly at that level that will force you to ride around in convoys (thus rendering out all reconstruction activity indefinitely...). Now let me tease you my dear and brave US military but exactly that did happen and it was in the timeframe of the first so called Military Bloody Day from a long time ago.
Next subject: We had new video
coming out from al Qaida international offering a possibility
of converting to Islam. Senior CNN journalists told us
that we had seen a previous occasion of this, the so
called Bali bombings.
Now my big word is a humble word: next 9/11 civil death toll has to be lower than latest Israel bombing campaign in Lebanon so something like at most one thousand civilians might be acceptable. If there is an upsurge towards 2000+ dead civilians you will not here a complaint from me. After all, the IDF forces need a bit of the 'reeling thing'
Yes yes, Israel needs a bit of the 'reeling thing' and I hope civil stuff will be kept at these kind of levels and my dear reader what can I say? I am very curious too at the next 11 September.
I am just curious too, of course and foremost I have the obligation to study the use of Western air power on this particular day. Bye bye my dear reader, till updates.
(02 September 2006) Good news today from the Afghan landscape: British aircraft down killing all 14 on board (ok it looks like a technical failure but that does not take away this is good news).
Yesterday I asked at my cyber
warriors if they could do something at this
file, the server it is on or whatever what. I know
it is on a short notice but if some trouble could be
brought at the Pentagon (or the US military in general)
on the 11th of September this would be very helpful to
Last and most important subject of this update: The Iraqi equation.
Facts are that when I declared the 26th of July as a Military Bloody Day (that was a few weeks after that Shia shrine bombing from February) I asked the Iraqis to try and make the month of July the most bloody month until now...
But I observed only 47 or 46 dead US military slime inside Iraq so as stupid as I was I thought I had lost the attention of the Iraqis and that indeed the chaos of civil war had set in... I have made a grave error of judgment with this and therefore I have to make my apologies towards the Iraqis. Sorry I was stupid...
According to the quarterly Pentagon report to the US congress the situation is far more subtle, let me quote a bit:
--The number of attacks per week in July was the highest since the war began, the report says.
--More than 60 percent of the attacks are aimed at coalition troops, but attacks on civilians are rising and now constitute about 15 percent of the total.
The first quote states that July did have indeed the highest number of attacks so this is solid statistical evidence that suggests the Iraqis try to follow this story. THANKS! But the fact we had less then 50 coalition forces dead inside Iraq is a matter of grave concern.
The second quote has the numbers 60 and 15 in it, it looks like a sharp statement but it all depends on how you define a so called 'attack'. When in Iraq an individual is killed, this likely will not reach the statistics as an 'attack'. So I will make use of these numbers offered to me but I will apply a so called standard deviation of 5 to 10 percent on it... (When US congress members read this they will likely get a severe headache from the words 'standard deviation'.)
Lets leave it with this, may be I have to remark that it might be unwise from me to refer to that old old CyberWar stuff so when I cannot update on the 11th of September I might be under Cyber attack... Till updates my dear reader.
(01 September 2006) An update on the Iraqi equation: It might have occurred to my reader that last Sunday 27 August suddenly violence in Iraq increased sharply. As far as I know now we had about 17 dead US soldiers in five days, so daily average stands over 3 until now. That daily average is about twice the level we saw in July when we had 1.48 dear US military slime a day.
Needless to say the 27th of August was exactly 15 days before the next and impending Military Bloody Day that is located on 11 September this year. May I thank the Iraqi mujahedin Council for their help? THANKS!
We will see how this all pans out, we still have 10 long days to go to the next MBD at 11 Sept 2006...
After having said that I also have
a few remarks for the US military and the NATO forces:
Just like on previous Military Bloody Days you are not
allowed to use air power in Iraq and in Afghanistan on
the 11th Sept impending. Now I do not want to hear that
talk like we do not negotiate with terrorists or stuff
like that, you don't have to talk to me, you do not have
to negotiate with me, you will do as you are told.
My dear US military and NATO forces you do not have to talk to me and you do not have to negotiate with me, but if I see air power applied inside Iraq or Afghanistan on the 11th September impending I might change my stance on declaring Civil Bloody Days... Of course I am not sure if these words will make it to commander in chief Dubya or honorable SecDef Donald H. Rumsfeld but when air power is applied you will find me on your way and you will not like that.
So far the Iraqi equation, lets
proceed with the new Lebanese equation:
Now we talk Cyber War. Cyber war?
Yes Cyber War... It was a long time ago I even mentioned
Cyber War and I stopped mentioning Cyber War after I got
to many devastating Cyber attacks attacks against my own
computer infrastructure. For example I had to swallow
Cyber Strikes that took away all my computer files away
exactly five directory layers deep. And believe it or
not it was an astonishing thing to see your computer
break down five directory layers deep within just 2 or 3
seconds. It made me scratch on my head.
(31 August 2006) Today I went to the shop and what was on my shopping list? Tomatoes....check! Onions...check! Chopped meat...check! Apple juice...check! Bombs at the banks...check!
Bombs at the banks? Yes, they
finally arrived. For a long time I have recited for that
because I want to study it's possible effect on the
currency markets. For example I want to know if it is
possible to bomb down the US$ value? Can that be done
yes or no? I simply lack a sharp insight in this and
therefore bombed banks can give some clue in how far
this is possible...
Something like 22 or 23 (small)
bombs exploded in Thailand and it has been a long time
since I mentioned the Thai equation... Hello Thai
Muslims, how are you doing?
Needless to remark is the fact that this Thai bank bombing is not timed with the next Military Bloody Day because the next MBD is now exactly 11 days in the future. It was timed towards local needs (independence day or something like that).
Next and last subject for this
update: In the Lebanese equation the United Nations is condemning
Israel's use of cluster bombs inside civil areas. You
can talk long and short on this subject. let me keep it
(30 August 2006) Three
days ago in the previous update I tried to explain to my
readers (or armies) that there are risks involved in
using air power. More precise the word 'risk' referred
to a civilian plane from the sky. A few hours later I
turned on the television and guess what? We had a plane
from the skies; it was flight 5191 and it crashed in Lexington
And there was far to little time
between when I pushed the button 'publish website' and
the time of the crash, at most 20 minutes. Now I cannot
believe that attacks can be executed that fast. You have
to take your time.
Back to the present: I still have
not answered that question about who has won in the
Lebanese equation, in the 34 day long war starting on
the 12th of July.
So far this update, in 12 days time it will be the next Military Bloody Day and I hope there was time enough to spread this message around. Till updates my dear reader.
(27 August 2006) Ok the two FOX employees are freed, may I thank the Holy Jihad Brigades for this? Thanks.
The rest of this update is around
that foiled airline plot (plans were to bring up to 10
planes down while en route from the GB to the USA).
Known facts until now are that on 10 August arrests have
been made and the date 16 August was set for executing
Because if the plot would have succeeded the Israeli air force suddenly would have learned the next lesson: There are risks involved in using air power.
This is an obvious and elementary observation my dear reader, back in 2003 I hoped for a similar strike and even tried to get a grip on the US air force (with making threats of attack) during that shock and awe operation in Iraq. Facts are that during shock and awe no al Qaida attack occurred and no plot was foiled. So this time (Lebanon) I decided not to write upon that subject again (that would make me look like some kind of bluffer in case no attack would have occurred) yet there was some work in the making.
My dear reader, the people on board of those 10 civil air planes would not die for no reason at all. There would be a lesson involved and of course there can be more lessons drawn from this but the lesson that there are risks involved in large scale air campaigns is one of the most obvious and easy to understand lesson there is. Till updates my dear reader.
(25 August 2006) A short update on the two FOX journalists that are kept hostage inside the Palestine territories by the new group called the Holy Jihad Brigades. Since there might be an al Qaida element involved in this (that is not sure but the demands are towards the Americans and not towards the Israelis) I have decided to make a little bit comment on this:
Since the Americans are not willing
to negotiate it might be wise to execute the two FOX
workers, there are lots of reasons in favor of this. For
example the FOX channel is the favorite channel of vice
president Dick Cheney and Cheney is a dumb man. But
there are also arguments against execution and in favor
of releasing them, for example it was quoted that the
workers in question were not unsympathetic towards the
Palestine cause and that was one of the reasons they
went there in the first place...
As a side mark I repeat the advice as given to the Hezbollah: Execute the two captured Israeli soldiers (because the Israelis killed to many civilians via the method of air power, they have to feel it). And what concerns that IDF soldier in the hands of the Palestines I simply do not have a clue, that's up to the Hamas either.
As a closure this very funny file, it is about India being a bit pissed at the Dutch for the arrest of 12 law abiding Muslim citizens. Yeah yeah my dear Dutch, making war on terror is a hard thing as you might have found out. Till updates.
(22 August 2006) Temptation is in my mind, now I have decided to go on with the series of Military Bloody Days shall I declare the next 11 September as one?
It is so tempting but it is now
already 22 August and the next 11 September is only 20
days in the future... So there is ample time to spread
the message around, this might be unhandy.
So my dear mujahedin what is wisdom? For the Afghan equation the 20 day period might be too fast to get the message out, in the Iraqi equation we see more and more that the Iraqis prefer fighting amongst themselves and in case the new Lebanese equation can be tied to the series of MBD's it might be wiser to stick to the present ceasefire. So what is wisdom now?
Let me give it a try: 11 September
2006 will be the next MBD. But if the mujahedin consider
this is on a too short notice, just skip that day and
proceed with the normal work. We will see how this pans
Next subject: In India, Bombay,
there were 7 bombs going off inside trains on 11 July
this year. That was exactly 15 days before the last MBD
so my interest was aroused. Of course the Indian
authorities follow more lines of investigation but one
group under suspicion is Lashkar-e-Toiba (LET).
The LET has become as great a threat to regional and
Next subject: Militia's, often in
case of countries like Iraq and Lebanon Western
observers always jump to the conclusion that militia's
undermine the state. And of course sometimes this could
be true, yet in the case of Lebanon it could be very
unwise for Hezbollah to disarm. They should not do that
in my opinion, Lebanese military might will be weakened
even further in case Hezbollah disarms.
Next and last subject: Osama bin Ladens sex life. Yes why not? Since CNN is sending out a documentary named 'In the footsteps of bin Laden' I can zoom in on this very laughable file. A few quotes:
Terrorist whacko Osama bin Laden was so obsessed with crack-addled songbird Whitney Houston that he contemplated taking out her hubby, Roxbury homey Bobby Brown!
Yes it is the New York Post again!
So we instantly know how reliable this wonderful quote
is; this is all weird shit from some US media outlet.
Remember that at the end of 2001 there were all kinds of
rumors saying that Osama and Taliban leader mullah Omar
had married their respective daughters. And just like
that daughter-daughter thing this quote likely belongs
to the realm of US fantasy or to the realm of US
propaganda via the Media files.
Till updates my dear readers, the most important thing of this update is of course a proposal for a new Military Bloody Day on 11 September. Lets hope for the best or should I write LETs hope for the best? See ya!
(18 August 2006) It was some time ago, somewhere in April this year, that I asked the Iraqi insurgency to try and make July 2006 the most bloody month until now...
Ok, since there were no major operations like Fallujah raidings it would be a sheer impossible task for the Sunni only. But I was hoping for more action on the Shia front in Iraq so it was not illogical to recite for the most bloody month until now.
Well it did not happen, facts are that 47 coalition forces died in Iraq in July (44 US military, 1 UK and 2 of other nationality). So why bring this up since it clearly failed? That is because there is an interesting remark to be made, just look at the picture below. It clearly says that in July a record number of roadside bombs was placed. Lets look at the graphic:
It is not an overwhelming extra number of roadside bombs but the number is growing and growing. Worrisome is the fact that only 47 coalition military died, this can only be explained via successful counter techniques as found by the Americans and their allies.
Yet there is another small success to be mentioned: Something like 62% of all mortar attacks against the Green Zone in Baghdad Iraq is coming from Sadr city. May be my reader doesn't know it but Sadr city is a non Sunni environment from Baghdad. Again it isn't much but it is a positive development, yet these positive elements are outbeated by the fact that Sunnis and Shias name each other infidel.
But it is not all tears, let me kindly remember my reader to the fact that a long time ago I advised al Qaida in Iraq to follow the Hamas model. Here is a quote from the Media files:
Al Qaeda is attempting to build a political arm in Iraq to refine its resistance to the U.S. occupation, U.S. Army spokesman Maj. Gen. William Caldwell said Aug. 16. Caldwell added that al Qaeda is trying to increase grassroots opposition to U.S. forces and the Iraqi government by becoming a legitimate political organization with a military wing.
So my day was good when I read that news, let me wish al Qaida in Iraq much success with building a political and humanitarian arm. Good luck!
At last an audio link, it is about 38 minutes long (English spoken) from a journalist upon military affairs (likely an American journalist: Michael Gordon, chief military correspondent for The New York Times). Here is the file. So far for this update, till updates.
(15 August 2006) Ok I
am back after a short but nice bicycling trip of seven
days and enjoyed the old ways of gathering the news: Via
a so called newspaper!
I loved it because I needed a good
time out and ask myself the question of continuing the
series of so called Military Bloody Days (or MBD's) yes
or no. Before the latest MBD from the 26th of July I did
set some targets of course (like more countries) but to
me as an individual I wanted to stop this series of
MBD's if there would be no significant attack inside
Back to the present and let me stop dreaming about old MBD's, after all we are still looking at some fallout from the latest MBD and that is the Lebanese equation. Of course I could never proof that the Lebanese equation is tied to the latest MBD (this is the principle of social quantum mechanics), but suppose for hypothetical reasons that it does. How should I view the incoming news as found? Here we go:
My dear reader, although the battlefield changes swiftly often I still do not withhold you from this one old story; here it is and it's from CNN (the cable network that brings you live bombings, say hurray to CNN!).
Say hurray to CNN (and by the way I am still waiting for legal opium inside Afghanistan my dear UN and NATO readers...) Till updates.
(07 August 2006) I will be gone for one week may be a bit longer, have a nice time and till updates.
(05 August 2006) Ok what can I say? Shall I say it is now 05 August and the latest Military Bloody Day was on the 26th of July? Shall I link down that Taliban teaser from 19 July or shall I write other words?
Should I be diplomatic and express my concern for the Lebanese population now the latest highway to Syria was bombed away? Shall I be undiplomatic and welcome the new Lebanese equation as a gift from Allah to this story?
Or should I update on future wars
and highlight the change in the Chinese military
doctrines upon the use of space
as a battlefield? Or is wisdom found in publishing the CENTAF
releases air power, space support summary?
Should I return from space and tell
my audience I have low thoughts upon those thousands and
thousands of Iraqi Shia/Shiites that rallied in favor
of Hezbollah? Especially those with those funeral
shrouds upon them stating they were willing to die. Let
me say to those weirdos: Fuck you, the Americans are
already in your midst and why don't you kill them?
Should I pepper this update with the fact that in the months prior to the 26th of July I simply thought "When there is no success in Iraq I will stop this series of MBD's"? Or shall I not use that kind of pepper talk?
Or should I hang out the history guy and tell my dear reader that only after Afghanistan's Karzai asked for a permanent US military presence in the Afghan landscape I advised the Afghan mujahedin to prop up attacks? Or should I highlight the relatively quiet we had in Afghanistan before Karzai asked for the most stupid question on earth?
Should I hang out the statistical guy in the Lebanese equation and explain via a simple Chi square model and a 2 times 2 table of civilian death compared to military death that the IDF has a future problem? After all, the Lebanese equation will be sold as some part of the war on terror and the UN definition on terror states that when you deliberately target a civilian audience your attack is classified as a terrorist attack. Or shall I not hang out the statistical guy and ask the IDF to make that simple 2 times 2 table and carry the easy Chi square test for themselves...
No my dear reader I will not emphasize any of the above, I only say that right now I will bake some egg for one of my children. They need their food and you as a reader need your food. Till updates and please bake an egg at times.
(03 August 2006) Lets look how the Lebanese war started on the 12th of July last month, roughly three things happened:
A: Two Israeli soldiers were
kidnapped and some more killed,
Now how exactly did it happen? Did C only start after B? Media reports vary on this subject, for myself speaking it would be logical if C only started after B. This is important because so many world leaders spoke words like Israel has the right to defend herself, but if the Hezbollah rockets are only an answer to Israeli air power you can also argue it is vice versa (Lebanon has a right to defend herself). Because after all it was only a small border intrusion, two kidnapped and three killed or so.
A sad thing and a joyful thing in
the Lebanese equation, here is the sad thing:
But there is more fun. Contrary to the situation in Iraq, Lebanon already had a civil war. So it is unlikely the Lebanese will return to that state of the state. You can argue that it has a civil war vaccine in it's communities, that is a positive thing. But that also means that the larger the military strikes done by the Israelis the more the Lebanese get united against Israel. And the heavy reliance of the IDF on the use of air power might be a self destructive policy in the long run.
Yet my dear reader, there is so much more fun found. You only need an eye for it but on the Drudgereport I found this wonderful media report stating the son of Osama bin Laden is heading from Iran to Lebanon to organize terror... Oh oh, Matt Drudge knows what to tell his audience, that New York Post article with the title 'OSAMA'S EVIL SPAWN IN LEB / IRAN UNLEASHES QAEDA HEIR TO AID HEZ' sure made me laugh. It sure made me laugh.
All funny things come to an end, I
hope the reader will agree with me that the Israeli air
power could be counterproductive in the long run. The
same goes for drawing other nations into this conflict,
the more air power the more Iran and Syria are willing
to get in because they are not a bunch of pussies but
have vast reservoirs of willing and able martyrs. Are
the Syrians and the Iranians willing to step into this
Lebanon equation from the military point of view? I sure
would love that but I also think this is 10 to 15 years
premature, as far as I know only 10 to 15 years of
outbeating the USA and Israel in developing new and
better weaponry could wipe Israel from the map or draw
it back to it's 1967 borders.
After having said this (and I doubt that this message will make it to Tehran) we have to split. Till update my dear reader... (Oops, I just forgot another funny detail: According to my website statistics the US military is back. And not with a lousy 0.05 percent of visitors but with a full swing. Sorry I can't disclose the exact number but it was funny...). Now for real: Till updates.
(02 August 2006) I will hide my utter joy over the two killed Dutch soldiers in that helicopter crash in Afghanistan from the 26th of July; in this short update we only look at the Lebanese equation. A new front so to say, a new front in the war on terror or however this war will be sold to the public.
--In the first place I want to
remark that it could very well be that the small
military action done by the Hezbollah on the 12th of
July was exactly timed with the impending military
bloody day from the 26th of July. If so (I can not prove
this of course) the Hezbollah are welcome to this decade
long story. Welcome Hezbollah!
So far for the Lebanese equation, before I end the update a short view on the Iraqi equation: Somewhere deep down in internet news files I came across that wonderful phrase: For every dead US soldier in Iraq we have 50 dead Iraqi civilians right now... This was a sheer brilliant remark, you can only make it when you keep an eye on that particular statistic that compares civil death toll to military death toll. It was just brilliant, I never ever looked at Iraq in that way but when stuff is running at a 1:50 ratio who could deny we are indeed in a state of civil war?
With this I leave you alone, have a nice holiday or perhaps a nice war.
(28 July 2006 update) Sorry I did not read the entire US air force air power summary correctly, facts are that in Afghanistan and in Iraq exactly one munition was applied via the method of air (a bomb from some plane so to say). My fault, I stopped reading after I found the Afghan bomb thrown. Sorry, but facts are we saw a JDAM in Afghanistan and a GBU-12 in Iraq. Again I am sorry I was not complete, conclusions stay the same: biological or chemical warfare is allowed from the 26th of July by the mujahedin.
(28 July 2006) Sorry, my entry from yesterday was not entirely correct, only today I found the so called 'CENTAF releases airpower summary' file. Like I expected air power was used, not in Iraq but (like expected) in Afghanistan. It was only one bomb (a JDAM or a joint direct attack munition, number of pounds not specified) but it was against the rules for the 26th of July... And it could very well be that the NATO requested for this particular JDAM yet as far as I know reality most air power is done by the USA. Here is the summary file.
Therefore there is no excuse, from now on biological and chemical weapons are allowed to be used by the Mujahedin. If the mujahedin prefer other methods I would be delighted but if in a few years time there will be some chemical attack in London, Paris, Rome or whatever what, you won't hear me complain...
But it is not all bad news, there
is may be some good news as well. This time it is not
like previous Military Bloody Days that we have stuff
like a Chinook, a Hercules, two helicopters colliding
because one was shot and flew away in a panic. We don't
have a perfect car bomb killing nine US soldiers, we
don't have those perfect 3 killed US soldiers from the
very first Military Bloody Day (something like 18
September 2003, anyway that date that had 3 dead US
soldiers, there are not many days with that in the
Now why am I smiling softly? I am smiling softly because the Taliban claim could be true, I am smiling softly because two Dutch soldiers were on that particular helicopter flight (a lieutenant colonel and a sergeant), I am smiling softly because those Dutch soldiers are now dead, I am smiling softly because it happened on the 26th of July and that is my birthday...
So my dear mujahedin you have found one little detail in the latest Military Bloody Day, it was my birthday and in the culture I have grown up in it is a habit to give each other presents at birthdays. Who did give the biggest present? For the time being I think the Lebanese Hezbollah have won by firing 151 rockets (a record in the Lebanese equation) and killing 9 Israeli soldiers but it was a close call. The Taliban helicopter downing is just so beautiful (but at this point in time not confirmed by Western media). So for the time being the Hezbollah staged the best stuff (although they likely did not select this date, that was done by those IDF officers who decided to take it out at that Bint Jbail place).
Before we end this entry we take a look at Afghanistan:
Hopefully the Taliban claim upon that crashed helicopter will be validated, but just like that Hercules down from 30 Jan 2005 in Iraq it could take months before details pop up in the press.
To the Afghan mujahedin there is a
message: NATO will take over in your landscape, the USA
would like to get out, air power is often applied in
Afghanistan. Lots of countries make up the NATO and some
of them are in the Afghan landscape. Attack that country
that asks for the most air power support...
Now for attacks on elementary
schools and stuff like that: A long long time ago
suddenly all kinds of reports popped up upon attacking
(elementary) schools. I grew worried and asked a
question at the Afghan mujahedin. Later spokespersons
from the Taliban and al Qaida in Afghanistan confirmed
only hard targets came in question, I was relieved.
Years after asking not to attack schools I repeat this, I have carefully thought about the next problem:
Via schools lots of Western propaganda comes in. I will not deny this, yet the capability of learning how to read and write is just far to important to leave at the mujahedin only. Therefore schools in general should not come under attack, only that one school that was opened by the wife of the USA commander in chief is allowed for attack. That is some university likely located in Kabul, I do not know the name anymore, but that's the only school target that brings power to this story.
My dear reader, you are now at the entry of this 28 July update and again I want to ask you this question: In how far we can see the 26yh July as a Military Bloody Day? Did the Lebanese equation evolve enough that day? Was there spectacular downing of coalition aircraft? Were there spectacular car bombs? Was there this or was there that, or was there also silence from those who are still thinking?
Dear reader I have had enough, todays CENTAF air power summary spoiled the day, till updates.
(27 July 2006) Today the US air force summary on air power will be released, I will read it with interest.
For the rest, how did yesterday go
from the viewpoint of military attacks? It did not go
well in the sense that only a few US soldiers died
yesterday, well to be honest I was expecting this for a
Now lets talk about the so called 'footprint of the story': When a particular date is mentioned to be a military bloody day (or whatever kind of day) there are also attacks on 5, 10, 15... and 7, 14, 21... days BEFORE the particular date mentioned. To complicate things and give a broad range of possible attacking days to the operatives also combinations like 5 + 7 = 12 are allowed.
Furthermore I often asked the mujahedin to incorporate the numbers five and seven into operations, just ask yourself the question of how did the 26th of July fare as a military bloody day...
Well on 11 July or 15 days before
the 26th of July exactly 7 bombs went off in Bombay (Mumbai)
India. To the collective Indian memory it will be 7/11.
Flashback: On 25 August 2003 there
was also significant blasting in Bombay India, at that
point in time there was a 'Tour the world' operation
going on, this operation was some despair of me and I
wanted to know from al Qaida who was talking the truth.
So I asked al Qaida to make that August month a 'Tour
the world' kind of operation to show who told more truth
on the 9/11 subject: me or president Bush. Well the Tour
the world operation was a great success, many countries
and lots of attacks. But the way the Americans reacted
was a big failure, with every big blast the US president
George Dubya Bush only worked the phone, called his
colleague in the country the attack was staged and tried
to lure this colleague on his side of the war on terror.
One day later on 12 July, or exactly 14 days before 26 July, some Shia group named the Hezbollah from the Lebanese landscape did capture two Israeli soldiers and killed some more. And with me still reeling from the 190 dead civilians in India the day before all I did was thinking so what. Two captured Israeli soldiers so what...?
But the Israeli response was
nothing like 'so what' and an undisclosed tons of bombs
are thrown on Lebanon in the last days. The whole world
was and is watching and what can I say? What can I say?
So my dear reader what do you think? Do you think that the 26th of July was a successful military bloody day yes or no? Well my dear reader, what do you think?
My dear reader you are at the end
of this update, live well and fight
(21 July 2006) So finally this internet connection is working again, lets go to work:
In a few days time it will be another so called Military Bloody Day (or a MBD), I wish the mujahedin luck in staging attacks. It is hard to say for me in what countries attacks will be staged that day but as far as Iraq is concerned I simply repeat what I wrote before:
The US military in particular the US air force is not allowed to use air power on that day regardless what. If air power is applied in Afghanistan or Iraq on the 26th of July I will give permission to the mujahedin to stage future bio-chemical attacks. This is what I wrote a long time ago but I repeat it anyway...
Since I was without internet connection (and even with two phone lines broken) I had trouble following the news but this file was welcome news. It says Baghdad will be a focal point, the US military even says that the mujahedin are making themselves up for an all out attack on Baghdad. So this is good and exiting news to me...
So far the situation in Iraq and the impending MBD, all that is left to say is that I hope the Shia/Shiites will stage attacks on that day too.
Now for the situation in Lebanon, Syria and Iran:
It was only two captured soldiers
from the Israeli IDF forces but Israel is preparing for
long lasting war to wipe away the Hezbollah (anyway that
is the situation until now). For me it was funny to
observe that even after 40 or 50 dead Lebanese civilians
the Israelis still expected the soldiers returned...
What Iran concerns is the next: The lack of condemnation of the Israeli attacks on Lebanon by the Western community could be explained by the theory that most Western countries see this particular military situation as some kind of proxy war against Iran (and Syria). (Some analyst on CNN did cough up that theory, my compliments to CNN because there are times they have brains...)
For the time being I have said enough, I did not mention the Palestine and Afghan equation but that will come. Lets hope on a successful Military Bloody Day in five days. Till updates.
(30 June 2006) This file is a translated text as found at the site where al Zarqawi was bombed to death, it contains a lot of information but the most striking is the fact that the writer complains that the new born Iraqi army is shielding the American military... This complaint is hard to understand because it was the lack of leadership from al Qaida in Iraq that made the new born Iraqi army grow this fast and now the troubles are here.
In this file Osama bin Laden is
defending the killing of Shia/Shiite civilians in Iraq
(because they act in favor of the Americans). Well it is
true that the Shia/Shiites have lack of historical
insight and that for example Sistani choose the easy way
to power for the Shia/Shiites but this does not take
away there are also media considerations to be made. And
these considerations say that that party that kills the
most civilians will loose this war in the long run.
(09_June_2006) In memoriam: Zarqawi.
Catapulted to power via the famous
Colin Powell speech before the United Nations, Zarqawi
grabbed the power and explored the terror landscape.
He was bad at making new weaponry, for example in Sunni areas there are still ample reports about shaped explosives. He was bad at turning al Qaida in Iraq into a potent weapon to fight the US military, we could have had hundreds more of dead US military if it wasn't for Zarqawi. He is also to blame for the fact that al Qaida in Iraq has not grown out to a broad movement, this is a serious failure but life is hard with a 25 million bounty on your head.
By making the Shia/Shiites an integral part of warfare, Zarqawi made the same mistake as Hitler did when Russia was invaded by the German forces. Zarqawi forgot that the Sunnis only make up 20 to 30 percent of population so a war against Shia/Shiites will be lost in the long run, especially when Shia/Shiites have the backing of the most powerful military force in this world (the Americans).
With the wisdom of hindsight we see that it was unwise that Osama gave an 'emir title' to Zarqawi, but Osama had only limited candidates to choose from... So I had to stick to Zarqawi. This was a pain in the ass because Zarqawi has given (with his placement of bombs) a kind of green light for the emerge of the Shia/Shiites death squads, when you are a Sunni it is a bad thing to do...
Zarqawi also forgot that it takes
time to place the perfect attack, the Jordanian hotel
bombings were originally a good idea but the execution
of this first international adventure was bad.
So what can we say? Zarqawi is gone and that is good, making him emir was bad. Violence in Iraq will continue. Al Qaida in Iraq will keep on not understanding the lessons of the Palestine Hamas regarding elections. What can I say, all in all it was a good day yesterday when Zarqawi was killed via the method of air power.]
So far this memoriam.
(02 June 2006) One of the three to four incidents from yesterday is this one (reporting by the BBC). It is about 11 killed including five children and four women... Well we will keep an eye on this and only wonder if this is the tip of an iceberg or just four isolated incidents. Till updates.(01 June 2006) Only yesterday (see below) I wondered how many 'Haditha incedents' have gone unnoticed. Of course this question is hard to answer but answering how many investigations are ongoing is done by Maj. Gen. William Caldwell, spokesman for the U.S.-led coalition. Here is the media file and here is the quote found:
Caldwell said "three or four" other investigations into similar allegations were being held but gave no further details.
Comment: So we have three or four investigations done by the US military itself and one on instignation of Time magazine. Besides this we have the behavior of the Iraqis towards the Americans and together they lead to the same question as yesterday:
How many incidents go unnoticed?
Next subject: Currency wars.
In case you can't sleep you should read the minutes of the new Bernanke... Now if I would be Bernanke I would not change those minutes, it is so nice to see the rest of the world swallowing that kind of talk. We need a 30 to 40 percent further dollar decline to bring the trade deficit down is what some experts say. Other experts, like those at the European Central Bank have taken the words 'sharp downward pressure on the dollar' in their mouth! Till updates.
(31 May 2006) Flip, the minutes of the FED indicate a bit that more rate hikes will be there in the future... With stuff like that it is hard to cross the 1.30 threshold on the €/$ pair. Here is a sample of a newsfile, flip this is just flip.
In the Iraqi equation we just
wonder how many 'Haditha incidents' have gone unnoticed.
It is a big shame that only after Time magazine started
reporting that the US military started investigating.
The Pentagon proved once more they are just a bunch of
perfumed princes, that is what they proved once more.
(30 May 2006) Will the 1.30 threshold on the €/$ pair be taken this week or one of the next weeks? At the moment of writing we are at 1.2875 and that is a full 126 pips up for this day. It looks like the market wants to test 1.30 in the short run but will it be this week? If yes, very likely it will be a (combined) hedge fund action that will lead the markets to above 1.30 on this pair and all other pairs involved.
So far my free investors advice, till updates.
(29 May 2006) Ok, I admit it, I have grown lazy upon readers of the Long Story. Now finally here is the latest entry at 29 May of the Long Story. Till updates.
(25 May 2006) Today it
was even on CNN: How the US military hunts Osama down...
You saw some soldiers walking up and down a mountain,
you saw a mortar being shot a few times and you could
see a talking head from a US officer stating that only
hindering the goals of Osama bin Laden was quite an
So far the fun of today, here we have A dozen Marines may face courts-martial for alleged Iraq massacre. Here we have UK Ambassador escapes as Hercules explodes (Afghanistan) and here we have a Saudi view upon the situation in Iraq.
Last but not least we have a Dutch file from nu.nl, it is about the European envoy to Afghanistan warning the Taliban for a bloody nose. Here is it: Afghanistan-gezant EU waarschuwt taliban voor 'bloedneus'. Well I just guess the Taliban are shaking from fear right now... Ha ha, till updates my dear reader.
(24 May 2006) On Breitbart they have a translation of the latest Osama tape, the tape contents reasoning around brother Zacarias Moussaoui stating that it doesn't make much sense when Moussaoui was learning how to fly while he had no crew to control the (hijacked) plane... It looks reasonable that Moussaoui knew nothing from the 9/11 attacks in advance.
On the Drudge report I found
sensational news, another Osama sighting! Drudge filed
the link in red meaning 'very important' or stuff like
is the file. It seems Osama has moved to a place that is
only 'two weeks from civilisation' because previous
tapes took longer to reach the media...
Money markets go bad today, there was a strong housing report in the USA and that lifted the dollar. What a horrible day, brrr. Till updates.
(22 May 2006) Horrible was the previous week when your salary depended on markets driven by inflationary worries. Lucky me on the currency markets the effect of possible US inflation was not that big. When you ask me about the time of breaching the 1.3000 on the €/$ pair I am humble; It will likely not be next week because the TICS data from last week still rule.
The 1.30 level on the Euro/Dollar pair has to be taken decisively and with TICS data running in the back of our minds we cannot have this particular kind of weakness in the US dollar. This is what I had to say, till updates.
(18 May 2006) Here we have a story about possible war crimes done by the US military in Iraq. I have read that story before but now it is more in the mainstream news, just read the media file and ask yourself the next questions:
1) How much more investigations
like this are on their way but not in the media?
Next subject: Here we have a very readable translation of some al Qaida letter from Iraq, the writer complains that in the Baghdad area there are far to little mujahedin compared to the many thousands of soldiers... The problem(s) raised by the writer are correct; how to turn the insurgency into a mass movement when there are also Sunni platoons in the new born Iraqi army?
At last: Currency markets have found the 2 deficit equilibrium again, that is good, dollar weakness is always welcome around here. Here is an internet file tracking currency values combined with currency news. I don't think the 1.30 level on the €/$ pair will be taken this week because the TICS data came in strong. You know, al Qaida in Europe should place attacks against banks in order to lower the TICS data (instead of bombings against Denmark for the Muhammed (pbuh) cartoons). That is what al Qaida in Europe must do...
(08 May 2006) Always interesting; morgue statistics from Baghdad. Needless to repeat but the 22 February bombing in that mosque was a stupid attack. Although CNN reported that it triggered much more power towards Zarqawi (al Qaida in Iraq), this is not the way to go forward.
The morgue statistics (numbers) speak for themselves, I have nothing more to say. Till updates.
(16 April 2006) I am
very satisfied with the sudden speed in the evolution of
the Iranian equation, here
is a file with some response of the head of the Iranian
National Guard. It looks like both parties (the USA and
Iran) are willing to confront each other. Please my dear
reader, read the entry at 24 March below. The situation
has altered dramatically until now...
(12 April 2006) Ok, the
computer is running again. Lets go to work:
(10 April 2006) Computer troubles are back, it is not as bad as that one time I lost all files five directory layers deep (destroyed within a second) but I have to format the hard disk and stuff like that. So see you when this computer system is properly working again... Till updates.
(06 April 2006) Funny
news observed: Iran is supposed to stop all nuclear
activity while the commander in chief wants to produce
125 new nuclear bombs a year...
(01 April 2006) Here is a bit of news around NATO in Afghanistan. May I ask the Mujahedin from the Afghan landscape to place attacks against Americans (and their followers) in the next Military Bloody Day on 26 July this calendar year? May I recite to other countries? I hope in lots of countries there will be significant Mujahedin activity around 29 Jumada t-Tania (26 July if my calendar converter is correct...). That is what I hope because after all we have 63 Muslim nations to smith together in the long run... Till updates.
(29 March 2006) May I thank the Iraqi Mujahedin for the release of journalist Jill Caroll, thanks. And this release was the only good news found today, just look at this. Lots of air power applied in Afghanistan and that does not bring a good mood around here. It makes me feel a bit aggressive...
May be it has occurred to the reader that lately US fatalities in Iraq are horribly low, to me this is a source of unhappiness. Yet this report suggests that deaths might be lower but wounded are up... So looking at fatalities only gives not a clear view of what is happening. That's it for today, till updates.
(28 March 2006) The
long story is open again! In another development I
found a very promising file (in case it is true). It is
about a US general stating the scene of yesterdays 'mosque
attack' was altered... If true this brings hope for
the next Military Bloody Day on July 26, so much I hope
it will be a day of national resistance in Iraq. So much
I hope the Shia/Shiites will help this story too...
(27 March 2006) Bush
was set on
path to war a British memo says... These days we
know why Saddam failed to disarm, there was nothing to
disarm. Those weapons of mass destruction were a
collective hysteria in the Western world, that point is
often forgotten but it was a serious mass hysteria based
on 'good versus evil' thinking that has a central part
in US government thinking about the world.
(24 March 2006) And
here we have
another report without the words 'precision
munitions dropped'. To make a long story short: The
Americans have formal permission to wage war against
Iran. Although it cannot be excluded that indeed the
Iranian nuclear program is purely for peaceful purposes
the risk it isn't simply can't be taken, that is all for
(23 March 2006) Has the
use of air power stopped in Iraq?
This file and previous files suggest so, of course
there is always the possibility that no longer it is
reported when precision bombs are dropped but that would
May be I have to say thank you to the US military... Till updates.
(19 March 2006) Operation swarmer in Iraq does not amount to much, it looks like some exercise between the US occupational forces and the new born Iraqi army... So why not pay attention to the US dollar once more, this time not paying attention to the deficits but to the plafond of US debt. Here is a simple minded file explaining to the public that total US debt stands at 1500 US$ for every person on earth....
(15 March 2006) More on the use of air power in Iraq is here while a set of 279 photographs and 19 videos from Abu Ghraib is found at Salon.com. The air power file says one in every two days bombs are thrown, this information offered for free looks reliable... Till updates.
(14 March 2006) At
first they were a rumor, death squads inside the Iraqi
government. But those rumours looked for real a long
time ago and now there is lots of evidence found. For
example this is the story of
just one family...
(13 March 2006) Here we have strange American females singing thank God for dead soldiers... From the same source (the Drudge report) we have Dash to Baghdad Left Top U.S. Generals Divided, although the article does not say it the original war plan of US general Tommy Franks foresaw 120 days of combat until Baghdad was reached. It is hard to say how the present Iraqi equation would have been in case they would have stuck to the original 120 days to Baghdad. Till updates.
(24 Feb 2006) The US military is using to much air power in Iraq, look for example to this daily report. Now with acts like this the Americans are forcing me into an impossible situation. What is the problem? I want to declare another Military Bloody Day to unite Iraq in wiping out the occupational forces. But the operatives know that on a MBD there is no air power, if there is air power the next moment bio-chemical attacks are allowed.
You see my problem, asking for a needed MBD will also bring bio-chemical stuff at the equation. We all must stand united in avoiding bio-chemical attacks against the Western world but we must also fight brave.
We must fight brave, the next Military Bloody Day is located at 26 July this year. 26 July is in the middle of the summer and is exactly five days after the first anniversary of the failed London bomb attacks.....
(22 Feb 2006) What can be gained by civil war in Iraq? Nothing, that will not bring closer any long time goal. The attack on that mosque in Iraq this morning was a stupid attack done by people without brains; what is there to gain in attacks like this? What? Till updates.
(11 Feb 2006) Update on the London bombings: The numbers five and seven were used (like I asked for) in the attacks, lets look at a few details: On 7/7 four bombs exploded and 14 days later there were five (failed) bombs.
Only the four bombs from 7/7 did not fit in the usual scheme, did something go wrong? So I have to thank the operatives for implementing the use of the numbers five and seven into operations, thanks!
(21 Dec 2005) In the first place sorry that it took so long to update again (computer trouble time in time out). But, in the second place, there was no reason to hurry because in the Iraqi equation things went fine.
In the latest Iraqi election things went fine, no attacks on voters and all in all it was a relaxed day. Fine. It has to be remarked that that attack lately in the surroundings of Fallujah that left 10 US military (part of a foot patrol) dead were a great work. My compliments, yet there is more to say because those figures who made the roadside bombs a bit better so now they can penetrate armoured vehicles need a severe compliment too. (Shaped explosives are the best...)
Lets hope more technical improvements will be there in the future.
On the investigation towards that
Hercules plane shot down in Iraq during a previous
election day, the investigation says it was a lucky shot
from a Russian made machine gun. A bullet of specific type
was found in a fuel tank from that Hercules. (The plane
was flying low to avoid ground fire.) Although a lucky
shot I am again impressed upon the luck on the so called
Military Bloody Days.
Also remarkable is the fact that I would like me a Christmas present this year, a new focus of money traders on the towering US deficits would be a nice present. One of two things will happen:
So far this first update in a long time, what will happen with my Christmas present? Will it happen and will we see a new period of weakening dollar again or not? We all can enjoy the future developments in this and at last to the Iraqis: When good days come along to be promoted to Military Bloody Days I will inform you as soon as possible. Good luck to all my readers.
(01 May 2005, 17.05 hours) Warren Buffet is keeping up his 21 billion dollar bet against the US$ and YES it seems confirmed:
In US libraries you cannot lean comics!
Now you may be think oh there we have that guy again that also has those unconfirmed trigger hypothesis around the 9/11 attack but the 'no comics lending' theory is confirmed by high sources. Quote first lady Laura how she met the love of her life George Dubya Bush:
"I was a librarian that spent 12 hours a day in the library. Yet
Comment: Now do you need more proof around the comics theory yes or no?
(28 April 2005) A hundred of things could pass revue here but they won't, when I saw the next beautiful warart I just felt tranquil. So lets honor the deaths on all sides this day. Love this pic & till updates:
(25 April 2005) Good
news observed around remote controlled machine guns is
at the end of this media
file. They are not named remote guns but improvised
launchers that rain down on US military convoys French
anti vehicle ammo.
So many months I have waited for reports like this, this report is the first one I ever read. Needless to say I feel proud upon the Iraqis because one way or the other it is a hell of a job to take it out at a 500 billion / year military...
But if the situation stays as it is, this 500 billion military will run into significant trouble in a year or so. Throwing more money will not help much, a new draft is out of the question and what else can the Pentagon folks do to keep enlisting high enough to be a serious military?
Time is on the side of the operatives, they are only starting to test the will of America. Only starting that party, or not my dear reader?
(13 April 2005) Today I feel a bit softer again but man how pissed I was yesterday at the Pentagon boys & girlz, ok I was may be a bit over the top when I wrote that nuke subs will fade into insignificance. Better compare it to the next:
centuries after guns were first invited (on the
battlefields) one can
So now I have to stay very vague but one part is likely already in possession of the Pentagon boys & girlz: Some apparatus that can transform electricity into straight kinetic energy, if my assessment of reality is correct somewhere in 1996 or 1997 you started suddenly working on that one...
Now the new US envoy to the UN: Congratulations with this Bolton choice, when you look him in the face he looks like he has chronic high blood pressure and he gives the impression he can have uncontrollable violent outbursts in private. I consider him a very good pick for this post, even better than Wolfowitz on the World Bank. I hope he gets appointed, I mean the security council needs a good laugh every now and then or not? (Update: Later I found an entire blog dedicated to Bolton, the info offered seems consistent with the impression I get from the Bolton guy on television. Does he have uncontrollable outbursts of violent behavior?)
At last: Afghanistans Karzai is sinking hard in my opinion, he wants a permanent US military presence in Afghanistan to 'protect' Afghanistan from foreign interference... Now I am well aware of problems like the child death rate (up to 20 percent doesn't make it to age five) but is it really impossible to create a good Afghan army? I do not buy that it's necessary to have US military presence in Afghanistan and that is my opinion.
(09 April 2005) The difference in Zarqawi photo's explained? Interested? Go to 09 April of the long story. It is very well possible that the Americans had captured Zarqawi in Fallujah but that they let him go because of.....
(08 April 2005) Weakness, always this weakness from lately from the US military. Now someone is arguing that 12 month long deployments to Iraq are bad for US recruiting! Do you believe that? (source)
Do the fresh potential recruits a possibility to show what the words 'serving your country' mean and they all get lost. Now plans are to make it six months employments whenever possible, so I will be waiting for the moment it is possible.
By the way, did you know that US military recruiters have a 'right' to visit schools and beside that sometimes highschool kids hang around with nice army recruiters every break from classes. In decent democratic countries often a military person visits a school once a year to give a presentation about jobs available. But regulary hanging out with army recruiters? Playing that video game that lures a lot of stupid boys into the US military? It is all a bit weird and this is the military leader of NATO, we must kick them out of NATO or not?
At last do you want to have a nuanced look at how Americans view Europeans? Here is it. Till updates.
(04 April 2005) Iraqi army update: First the American tried to mix the diverse ethnic groups of Iraq on the platoon level. This failed hefty. Later they tried the oldest trick in the handbook for colony ruling: Just put up tribe against tribe, there are always old revenges out there! A nice sample of this latest is found in this media file where the (Iraqi) Freedom Guard wants to do a tribal dance near their enemies and get a remote controlled bomb in their faces... Now plans are to smith together all these groups like this Freedom Guard together in a wonderful new born Iraqi army. Will it work? Will it work?
When the first method failed (mixing on platoon level) it would have been wiser to study how high in the hierarchy one could work together and split up in the diverse ethnic section below that level, so Sunni platoons versus Shia platoon to put it simple.
Now we ask ourself
the next questions: Can a so called Iraqi army take over
the roll of the Americans in killing enough Iraqis and
can the operatives keep up enough attacks to ensure the
US military is a full year longer in this situation?
(That because I expect serious trouble for the US
military in a year or so.)
(03 April 2005) Colin Powell update: It were the Germans that planted disinformation around Iraq's WMD in our intel communities. (I am exaggerating a little bit, source is here). So that Curveball information is the blame of Germany... And in case the Americans want to know why all other intel agencies around the world were also under the WMD spell, here it is:
When already a rough 500 thousand Iraqis have died from the economical sanctions, you don't doubt the course any longer. The human brain cannot take this, you do not doubt the course and struggle is the right one.
Well all have blundered but who blundered the most? Till updates.
April 2005) To Iraq's Sunni clergy: Ok it is filtered
info but if you want what in in this
file I simply take notice. Please don't forget there
still are a whole lot of reasons to abandon this new
born army and we will see how reality unfolds.
(01 April 2005) Remember Colin Powell before the United Nations making the case for war against Iraq and telling upon those mobile bio-chemical installation? Even the timing of bio-chemicals was done when mosque service started on Friday evening, this to fool the UN inspectors we were told.
That part of the info was based on one person nicknamed Curveball, read about the adventures of Curveball in this Guardian file. General tendency in the media is that the intel on Iraq was wrong because there were 15 intel agencies at the scene, spies tried to get 'consensus' in their briefings of politicians and so on and so on.
It is all a bunch of crap, the problems run much much deeper than only 15 intel agencies. Didn't we have Dick Cheney at 20 or 22 Jan 2004 still talking about so called bio-chemical vans? Didn't the Pentagon sent out a press message stating the goal of those vans was still not clear? They did.
It is nonsense to
put the blame on a few agencies, the WMD question turned
into a hysterical society wide American hobby. The hobby
of the evil boogeyman and this time it was Saddam.
Present boogeyman is Osama and that is the way it goes
over there, Americans are miserable people very
vulnerable to mass hysteria.
So far the bad
news, the good
news is that in a timespan of just three days two US
Predators remote planes were lost. That is good and fast
given my reciting below.
This looks like a very good job and I am softly humming
with good feelings...
(29 March 2005) Life is full of surprises and some derivate of life known as the internet too. Just look:
Nice or not nice?
In the meantime I
am only waiting if the al Qaida in America statement
from lately around the Texas refinery blast will have
the promised video cover up. If there will be no video
it is likely to expect that this 'al Qaida message' is
in fact from the CIA or the DIA. (This for stabilizing
(22 March 2005) Money talks: One century ago the Dutch invested heavily in Russian railroad bonds, this was an staggering amount of money and if it wasn't lost to this day still a very significant portion of the Dutch population could live without the need to work. It was considered a rock solid investment after all the signature of the tsar was on it...
We all know what happened to the tsar. That old money was not smart money but stupid money, that kind of money exists too you know.
Now, today the US federal reserve members will meet and everybody is eager to look for the word 'measured'. They will meet under the eye of money tsar Greenspan.
Greenspan has pumped a whole lot of money in the US economy, below you can see a picture of the amount of so called M2 money. You see during the timespan of 2001- 2004 there is a rough 30% more M2 money, the M1 and M3 components have similar behavior.
Now ask yourself the next question: Would you invest in a country where the economy has not expanded 30 percent but the money stock has?
Would you invest? In January there was net capital inflow of 90 billion, a lot of smart people do invest. Or are they stupid people?
You know there are even days when I would like to see a nuke on that city where the Black-Scholes equation lives...
My eggs are hedged with
futures on options on options on stocks.
(18 March 2005, update & smoke screen action) Here is a lovely 17.2 mB video explaining that it was in fact the US military that did the 9/11 attacks. It is a true & lovely example of US conspiracy theories but almost all in the video can be explained via alternative theories. Only that part with the shadows of the planes on the former twin towers is something I cannot explain.
For the rest: It is very well possible that there was a large truck bomb combined with the two NY planes, Dubya stating he has seen the first plane dive into one of the towers is just Dubya stating something. The Pentagon bunker busting itself? I would love that, that's a fact, but I hold it not for very likely. The buildings in New York coming down like a controlled explosion? One must come with architectual facts that make that unlikely and not a fireman stating it heard like a series of explosions coming down the floors. No, I am not convinced by the theory that it was the US military that did the 9/11 attacks.
Have fun looking at the 52 minute video.
A steroid soldier guarding a
garbage car blast hole, no roid rage observed on the pic.
(Thursday 10 March
18.35 hours) The Pentagon said it's policies did not give rise to the
abuse in Iraq, Afghanistan and Guantanamo Bay, here
is a media file. So they say they are not guilty, this is correct in my
We must kick them out of the NATO alliance, they are just no good. When after some years the US military has repaired itself may be new membership of NATO can be allowed. Till updates.
(Wednesday 09 March, 21.30 hours) To the Iraqis: The US marines are even discussing where to place the roadsime bomb jammers in the convoys! That means with just 25 to 50 meters (yards) of television cable (coax cable) and after that attaching the antenna you can still use radio controlled roadside bombs. It is just a little tip...
09 March, 21.17 hours) To the Iraqis: There are a lot of reports out
there saying that the quality of the roadside bombs is going down. This
could be US-led propaganda of course but skilful bomb crafters always
must train their students too, the spreading of knowledge is in the long
run far more important than any bomb maker. (Although individual bomb
makers can have a large influence of course, but train your students!)
Yet other reports say via roadside bombs the last two months give a
significant higher percentage of success, may be both are true:
the way, here is general
Casey stating there were about 300 attacks during MBD9 (30 Jan), all
I knew was a 125 number...
(Wednesday 09 March, 11.34 hours) Useless knowledge: The website statistics for this month say that 1.57% of the visitors around here are from the US army, 2.67% comes from Israel and US commercial is running at 11% of website visits.
Why is that useless knowledge? Because there are so many ways to visit this website without popping up in the statistics, jokes like that date back to August 2001 (two or three weeks after this website started).
knowledge: An actor named Russell Crowe claimed he was an al Qaida
target in Feb 2001 (and the months around that). That is useful
knowledge because likely I had one of those teams after my holy ass. But
they failed, I was better.
(Tuesday 08 March 2005) A few comments upon the inquiry of the Hercules plane down from 30 Jan (from Military Bloody Day number nine as it was declared) is in the long story at date 08 March.
(Monday 07 March 2005)
Now do you believe this?
The left upper dot means one dead US soldier during 183 days and the lower right dot means 37 dead US soldiers during one day. It looks like there is some hyperbolic relation between the two variables and a bit of study with a statistical package says this is correct, it is even significant at the 0.000 level so statistical figures know what I mean. The correlation between the inverse model and the real data is R = 0.975.
The scatter plot above is based on all days in Iraq with actual fatalities, the war is now 719 days on and the 185 days without US fatalities are left out. According to my US-led American statistical program the model is as follows:
Example: You want to know how many days there were with five US dead? Fill in X = 5 and calculate Y = -10.9 + 212/5 = 31.5 say 31 or 32 days with five dead US soldiers. Easy or not? (The real answer is 29 days, the simple formulae only gives an approximation of course... The model returns a number and not a bandwidth)
Man oh man, with a few discoveries like this I could win the Nobel prize for war! Till updates.
(Sunday 06 March, 17.45 hours) The Italian journalist/hostage/shooting/rules of engagement are very tempting to comment upon again but good future weaponry to kill the Americans more efficient is far more important.
For one or two years already I am reciting to all non-US armies to create for example missiles that can strike in concert like a pack of wolves. For example they strike in on exactly the same spot in a very short time span, or strike at the same moment a wider field. Now I have found out that Pentagons darling DARPA gets four billion to investigate in packs of remote controlled fighter jets, I hope other armies have similar plans...
(Friday 04 March) The Americans are putting a big big lid on all information around attacks in Iraq, it started with naming only the province when in fact it was Fallujah where they were attacked and now nothing useful info anymore. So how can I in circumstances like this estimate how far the development of remote controlled machine guns is? All info is with holded so how can I estimate the size of the future significance now? It is just so important that the Iraqis work on that one too (the remote controlled roadside bombs are a big hit, that's a fact).
In another unrelated development in the BulletsForOil program I made today WarArt number 23 (that' s jswa23). And at last; here is a bunch of nice video' s from a show named Frontline that lean towards propaganda but the propaganda can easy be filtered out. Nice to view when you have the time. Especially part three with the announcement of that dead soldier due to sniper fire is good viewing. Till updates.
(Thursday 03 March) Now huffely puffely the USA is a bit disappointed in the Indonesian Bashir sentence of 30 months in relation to the Bali bombing. After my humble opinion a nation that has something to hide in the 9/11 attacks and likely knows a bit more upon the reasons why Indonesia was chosen (but will not tell to other nations), such a nation has a right to remain silent.
Please cut the crap US State Department, please cut the crap. You do your crusader thing, the Turks have 1,357 soldiers in Iraq to fight the Kurdish PKK and we all think this is war on terror. Can the fuckheads please cut the crap, just please?
(Thursday 03 March) Finally I made Just some war art number 22 (that is jswa22). It is made from a picture from that mosque shootout from some wounded civilians in Fallujah, the second raid around.
(Thursday 24 Feb 18.05 hours) To the Pentagon: In a normal democracy application of military power falls under the rule of the political figures, that is why most people are against military rulers of countries and stuff like that. So your plans as outlined in this media file need to fade into insignificance. We cannot have undercover teams roaming the Dutch landscape, the landscape of any other NATO member or whatever nation around without knowledge of the local ambassador. No way.
case the Pentagon pussies are interested: A long time ago already I
informed the US ambassador the honorable Mr. Clifford M. Sobel of some
alternative hypothesis to the 9/11 stuff. Clifford didn't answer and so
I turned him into a Cliffhanger by asking al Qaida to prepare five car
bombs in case it was needed. Simple & efficient my dear Pentagon
(Thursday 17 Feb) Now the high priest of the Pentagon perfumed princes US general Meyers has spoken: The Iraqi insurgency is loosing the battle for the hearts and minds of the Iraqis. Now, it is just a little detail, but often Iraqi prisoners had to stick one of their fingers in their ass and lick it clean. Even captured journalists had to do this, dear high priest of the perfumed princes you cannot beat behavior like that.
Now how come average US soldiers upon behavior like that Mr. Meyers? That is because they download to many gay scat movies with p2p programs. Or do you have a better explanation asshole?
(Tuesday 15 Feb) Are the British and American military forces a little bit corrupt? More at 15 Feb of the long story.
(Sunday 13 Feb) Now
here is a US
army Muslim chaplain explaining a few of the faults the US military
makes in Iraq, the newsarticle gives a bit the impression that this
Muslim chaplain thinks pointing out the wrongs is enough to solve them.
We can ponder the question of why the Americans are not constructive in the 'likely true details' of the 9/11 dance but this is not relevant from the military point of view, they just aren't constructive and if I knew why we would not be in this anyway. Yet it looks like the American society is gearing up into swallowing hundreds and thousands more casualties so it is important that this materializes.
(Friday 11 Feb, 13.37 hours) In the ongoing soap of What brought down the Hercules on MBD9 north of Baghdad we now have this Guardian media file where the RAF is denying that there could be a bomb on board. This is getting better by the day, do we have some battlefield surprises at the scene yes or no?
another development I am considering placing the US State Department’s
top anti-drug official Robert Charles at position nr 005 of the sniper
list. The guy is only talking about opium crop destruction via the
air while he is doing nothing to get Afghanistan a few billion / year
slice of the world legal opium growth. (Lets not forget that opium for
pharmacy is a growing market the two decades to come, but people like
Robert Charles look to much Hollywood movies and prefer bullets compared
to being constructive.) This all is not acceptable and like stated
before if there is one thing that will trigger a massive chemical attack
it is Afghan opium spraying.
(Thursday 10 Feb, 12.32 hours) Finally a bit more on the Hercules crash from 30 Jan, ok ok it is from that tabloid the Sun and that cannot be considered the most trustworthy source of information but anyway. The British RAF likely goes for the 'bomb planted in a wing' hypothesis, well this could very well be. They have studied the bits and pieces as found on the ground so lets trust in them... Here is a media file upon this.
By the way, in most media reports there is a weird contradiction. It is constantly stated that it cannot be a missile while the lucky RGP shot is mentioned at the same time. But if the plane was out of reach of (shoulder fired) missiles how could it be within reach of a RPG? (Max horizontal range of the Russian RPG-7 is five hundred meters, vertical range unknown to me.) This looks like an example of the 'shit recycling attitude' of the press folks. End of update.
(Thursday 03 Feb 20.05 hours) Joke of the day: Ok ok lately I asked the US military to withhold air power on 30 Jan during MBD9 and what does the UK air force do? They indulge in a air-to-surface martyrship operation against a poor Iraqi farming community!
serious, I have done strange things in my life but I have never fired
rockets. So I just cannot judge the value of the picture below, I just
dunno. Yet this concert of so called 'experts' stating the video was a
fake looks more based on emotion then on true reported facts. I mean the
lack of quality in the video editing just does not proof a thing, so now
what exactly is flying in this picture below? Is it the stuff dreams are
made of or was MBD9 crowned with a fake vid? What do you think my dear
(Saturday 14 August 2004, 17.03 hours) So my dear reader, I have to change tactics and you find yourself at a historical moment in the story; Right now I have the honor and the pride to declare economical sanctions against America.
Let the Economical
against North America begin!
(Friday 30 July
hours) Oh oh, what fascinating reading is the 9/11 report. It all fits
nicely again, only some timeline details were wrongly estimated by me. For
example the study of the smuggling of knives aboard of planes was far
longer going on then I expected. But these are only details,
important details but details anyway...
On June 21, near the height of
the threat reporting, U.S. Central Command raised the force
Again this is
perfectly in line with my so called 'trigger hypothesis' like so many
hundred other details. But the (local) authorities still refuse to
investigate a bit, they even tell me at face value that they are not
capable of seeing any kind of connection between what I write and the
unfolding of attacks in practice...
Index below is
UnderConstruction, stuff to sell is not finished yet.
A 2006 condolences card
to the US dollar.